Stagflation (Econbrowser)
It’s simply too horrendous a word for the media to utter, so at the moment all you see are articles proclaiming that the markets are getting slammed on inflation worries. But let’s be honest; a lot of this inflation we’re seeing is nothing new. The real devilish specter is stagflation. If the 70′s are indeed back, it’s a logical component of the potential economic malaise. The housing story, which everyone had forgotten about, is getting play again, and of course the headlines aren’t as rosy on the backslope. The declines in starts and prices (in some markets) are real, as is the decline in consumer sentiment (which might be related). So start saying it baby, stagflation.
Mittal set to launch bid for Arcelor on Thursday (Reuters)
Game on. Mittal steel formally launched their bid for Arcelor after several months of pre-game interviews and activities. The company has received regulatory clearance from the relevant nations. The offer values Arcelor at $24.5 billion, and could have strong ramifications across the industry. Steel is one of the more fragmented of the industrial materials industries. There are just a couple of suppliers to their industry (BHP Billiton, Rio Tinto) and not a whole lot of buyers (car companies being some of the biggest); meanwhile there’s thousands of steel companies, hundreds in China alone. The deal could be more important than ever, if there’s an industry downturn and a possibility of overcapacity.
Hedge-Fund Manager Arrested (WSJ)
An Atlanta hedge-fund manager whose clients’ funds mysteriously disappeared has been arrested in Miami. This is gonna be an interesting story, and we can only hope it gets turned into a TV movie. The manager, Kirk S. Wright, had a lot of money that had belonged to football players. At one point, they tried to hunt the man down at his home, when they realized that their money was missing. Also, at some point, he was able to deliver 30,000 to a Brooklyn ex wife, for alimony payments. Any suggest of wrongdoing is, of course, alleged. But if he did do something wrong, and it appears from all the evidence that something weird was going on (you know, being on the lam in Miami and all), it could be like one of those movies, where someone makes a bad decision and gets themselves into a world of trouble. Or maybe someone kidnapped his wife and demanded $100 million, and the attackers surgically implanted a microphone into the Wright’s throat, so he couldn’t talk to the police, and so he had to embezzle the money — something like that. Hopefully, the story is more interesting than regular crime.
Stopping the Sprawl (BusinessWeek)
Check out the picture of HP CEO Mark Hurd at BusinessWeek. He must be quite the visionary with looks like that. Right now HP is doing everything that Wall St. likes; they’re increasing sales, gaining share, shutting down factories and moving to China. The company announced that it plans to slash $1 billion in costs, which is the kind of announcement one expects after bad earnings. When it comes after good earnings, that’s a major bonus. But right now, HP is simply playing it by the book, playing the outsourcing game, etc. which is fine. But Dell is still keenly focused on their strengths, manufacturing excellence, and they may rumble back to life yet.
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