All Nardelli, All The Time

While Gret-Gret more or less blew a gasket over Bob Nardelli‘s exit from Home Depot–she describes it as a “watershed,” a “warning shot,” a “defenestration,” as an end to “arrogance”–slightly more sober reflection on the meaning of it all is going on across the interwebs.
Ted Frank at PointofLaw.com points out that when Nardelli took the Home Depot job, he had to leave behind millions of dollar GE stock options. What’s more, anyone who bought or held onto the stock after Nardelli was hired in 2000 knew or should have known about Nardelli’s severance package.

Economic theory teaches us that when a rare commodity with uncertain future value like an MVP shortstop or GE executive is subject to an auction, the winner of the auction will probably be the party that most overvalues the commodity: the concept of bidders’ remorse. And perhaps Home Depot overpaid for the privilege of hiring Nardelli. (Press coverage is sneering that the Home Depot stock price dropped during Nardelli’s reign, but, aside from omitting dividend payments, that drop reflects much more how bubbly Home Depot stock was in 2000, when it had a 46 P/E ratio. Nardelli doubled Home Depot profits; improved shareholder returns by repurchasing 10% of outstanding stock; quintupled dividends; increased the net profit margin; and the stock has been very profitable for those who bought it in late 2002.)
But, with a very few exceptions not relevant to this discussion, no one was forced to be a Home Depot shareholder. Someone could anticipate that large sums of shareholder money would eventually be paid to Nardelli on the back end when he was first hired. If one disapproved of the pay package Nardelli was destined to receive, there was a very easy solution: divest the stock, and invest in another company that did not bid on former GE executives to become their CEOs. (Of course, then one would have missed the huge profits in the run-up on Boeing stock.) Investors who think that GE experience created magical CEO abilities worth a premium in the marketplace were free to invest in Home Depot. Home Depot stock went up over 20% in December 2000, the month that Nardelli was hired: it would have been easy to sell the stock if one disapproved of the generous employment contract while the market basked in the glow of the hiring. No one paid Nardelli a dime who didn’t agree in advance to pay him that dime.

Vitaliy Katsenelson writes on his Contrarian’s Edge blog that the likely lessons of Nardelli’s departure for CEOs won’t be Gret-Gret’s favored lessons.

The ousting of Bob Nardelli sent a wrong message to American CEOs: it taught them an incorrect lesson – manage the stock, not the company.
As Herb Greenberg mentioned in his column, if Home Depot’s (HD) stock went up while he was in charge he would still have a job, though he’d be $210 million poorer.
Bob Nardelli was a terrible stock promoter (not his job), but he did a terrific job managing the company (his job). As I mentioned in the past, from the time Nardelli took over Home Depot in 2000, Home Depot’s earnings have grown at an amazing clip of 20% a year, revenues over 15%, net margins have increased and return on capital went up every single year. The stock has not gone anywhere during his leadership because it was grossly overpriced in 2000.

And, of course, it is this reluctance to become a huckster for a company’s stock that has led many managers to decide that maybe they’d fair better as a private concern.
Nardelli’s severance [PointofLaw.com]
Blame Home Depot’s Board, Not Nardelli [Contrarian's Edge]

Comments (4)

  1. Posted by Bulging Bracket | January 4, 2007 at 5:44 PM

    This highlights the idiocy of so many journalists. Just because a short term trader doesn’t like someone’s performance, don’t get spun. Unfortunately, most journalists are English majors who can’t add never mind multiply, rather than former M&A lawyers and VC analysts like our esteemed hosts.
    Nardelli is a great PE CEO since he’s all about the execution and he did a great job. On to the next opportunity to make a few hundred mill, if he wants it, or else to buy a small yacht and tan.

  2. Posted by 2L | January 4, 2007 at 9:07 PM

    psssst, it’s not HD’s earnings that are the problem; it’s HD’s ROIC

  3. Posted by Angar Kapundo | January 7, 2007 at 1:50 PM

    FWIW, a source in the management ranks at Home Depot tells me that the internal rumor mill there is furiously reporting that Nardelli got busted for doing someting real bad. “Bad” bad.
    I gots no other verification, but that’s what you journalist types are here for, no?

  4. Posted by Rob Wassem | January 7, 2007 at 9:55 PM

    Your response is rediculous as this is an ideological issue related to the arrogance and greed of most CEOs.
    The point is, regardless of whether Nardelli was motivated by the growth of HDs stock or its earnings, that Nardelli was grossly overcompensated; HDs board of directors is as responsible as Nardelli for his outrageous package while employed by HD as well as his exit package. Frankly, as a HD investor, I am pleased that Nardelli is no longer at the helm because of his arrogance and greed. He learned from the worst – Jack Welch!

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