Opening Bell: 8.31.07


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bushbernanke.jpgBush to Expand Government Role to Deal With Subprime (Bloomberg)
Well, so much for that whole 'Bush is an Austrian let the chips fall where they may' thing. The prez has established a new plan whereby the federal government will insure mortgages for delinquent, subprime borrowers, allowing them to refinance at better rates. And while they're at it, maybe they can extend the life of their mortgage to 70 years, just to get the monthly payment down to something manageable. It's almost tiresome to cry 'moral hazard' at this point, but what the heck "Moral Hazard"! Anyway, we wanted a compassionate conservative, so this is what we got.

McGraw-Hill replaces president of Standard & Poor's (Reuters)
Despite the fact that S&P has performed absolutely flawlessly during this whole credit debacle, with all blame resting on some faulty models (bad models, bad!), McGraw-Hill has decided to replace the unit's President. You might, however, be tempted to call the move window dressing, since the new president is another top S&P executive. This is not quite what's meant when they say 'change starts from within'.

Dell reports 2Q earnings jump (Thomson Financial)
Thank god for the laws of physics. Eventually things fall so hard, with so much crap hitting so many fans, that things will reverse themselves, at least a little. Over the past couple years, Dell has been hit by accounting scandals, desisting threats, terrible customer satisfaction, exploding batteries, product lameness, questions about stock buybacks, et. al. ad nauseum. So, eventually the company had to come through with a decent quarter. That they did, beating analyst estimates on the back of respectable (but by no means amazing) sales growth. Hats off.

Mexico Prepares to Allow U.S. Trucks to Cross Border (Bloomberg)
We must've been on a different planet for the past 12 years, because we were under the impression that this is what NAFTA was all about. Apparently that part was blocked. Anyway, good news for free traders and truck lovers. Now, about that privately-owned highway connecting Mexico to Canada...

Bulls in control before Bernanke (CNNMoney)
When you want to be absolutely, positively sure to answer a question correct, you use two lifelines. Only makes sense. Today the market will get a double dose, as Bush's new plan will be followed by a speech from Bernanke discussing the financial situation. It's doubtful that he'll offer anything concrete, but our resident Kremlinologists Fedlinologists will be all over it looking for clues about future policy.

Sears Holdings Reports 40% Drop in Profit (AP)
We're not going to say one word about a profit drop at Sears, because we're sure that Eddie Lampert would just tell us 'we don't get it'. Seriously, if you think that declining sales and profits are a bad thing, then Sears isn't for you. But if you want a new way of doing business, then step right up.

RIM shares rise on Microsoft (Financial Post)
One of the stupider rumors to hit the wires of late was yesterday's speculation that Microsoft could make a play for Research in Motion, sending RIM stock higher. The source of the rumor insisted that Microsoft would make such a move in order to fend of Google's mobile ambitions. But of course, Microsoft already has its own Mobile OS that fits in with its overall product line. One analyst who thinks a deal is possible is quoted as saying "The amount (Microsoft) would pay for RIM is a little pimple on a hippo's ass". That's actually not true at all though. It's more like a 90-lb. mole on the hippo's ass, as it would cost Microsoft a fifth of its market share.

The Greenberg Index (Infectious Greed)
We love contrarian indicators here at the 'Breaker, even if they're not always reliable, they're always fun. Paul Kedrosky proposes that time temporary market bottoms by a spike in the presence of Herb Greenberg on TV. Now who's going to keep a good measure of that?

Comments

Posted by , Aug 31, 2007 8:02AM

And the Teamsters sue.
"OMG, SOMEBODY MIGHT DO OUR JOB BETTER THAN WE DO IT AND WE MIGHT BE FORCED TO TAKE MARKET WAGES!! OH THE HORROR!!!"

Posted by jackkrap, Aug 31, 2007 8:45AM

Please let the rest of us suckers that pay our mortgages know how to get in on this Bush gravytrain! Which do you think would work better when we show up at the FHA office, a blackened front tooth or a gold cap with a diamond in it?

Posted by jackkrap, Aug 31, 2007 8:46AM

Please let the rest of us suckers that pay our mortgages know how to get in on this Bush gravytrain! Which do you think would work better when we show up at the FHA office, a blackened front tooth or a gold cap with a diamond in it?

Posted by Lee D, Aug 31, 2007 8:53AM

I don't think that anyone with an ounce of cynicism could not have seen the bailout coming. A massive exercise in welfare and the opportunity to buy A LOT of votes comes along only once in a generation. How could the administration pass up that much cheap political capital?

Posted by fws, Aug 31, 2007 9:03AM

i guess this means i won't be able to buy a nice foreclosure next summer :(

Posted by jackkrap, Aug 31, 2007 9:06AM

As a ten pound cynic in a one pound bag, you're right. "All is well, remain calm!" The real bailout is for the investment banks. Prop everything up just long enough for Wall Street to get positioned (ie out of losing positions), placate the voters and then run like hell.

Posted by Some guy, Aug 31, 2007 9:10AM

One can only theorize about the extent of the bailout at this point...nevertheless it is a slap on the face of every free market principle. How can we even pretend to have a free economy, or even true capitalism when politicians run to establish corporate and individual "soup lines"? After this one, we might have to stop making fun of France, for it would be a shameless case of a pot calling the kettle black.

Posted by Turkey Hunter, Aug 31, 2007 9:10AM

Smoke. Mirrors.

80K homeowners out of a potential 3million affected?

This is not a bail out. This is a political gesture.

Posted by BailoutBenny, Aug 31, 2007 9:31AM

Republicrat, Demican...capitalism, socialism who cares, just bring in the votes.

Posted by F the MTA, Aug 31, 2007 9:52AM

Did anyone else read that steaming pile of shit on the WSJ's op-ed page? That bitch from S&P has some balls on her.

Posted by Billy Ray Human, Aug 31, 2007 10:32AM

Bush's plan is horseshit! Unless I can get in on it...

Posted by , Aug 31, 2007 10:35AM

we should all stop paying for our homes and just let good ol govvy come rescue us!! FOOD STAMPS WILL BE DISTRIBUTED IN FRONT OF GS ~noon.. Hurry before the investment bankers take them all

Posted by de Cosmos, Aug 31, 2007 3:59PM

So, whose yacht is named Moral Hazard?

Posted by Anal_yst, Aug 31, 2007 6:02PM

HAHAHAHAHAH touche cosmos, touche (and I believe it is Angelo Mozillo's (he keeps is yellow lambo onboard as a tender also))

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