What some have called the “perfect storm” that has hit the performance of StatArb quant funds in the past two weeks may be coming to an end. StatArb funds have seen a big rebound in their portfolios today, according to sources familiar with the situation. Since many quant funds follow similar strategies based on computer models, better performance in some funds may indicate a widespread recovery.
A turnaround for the quant funds would not be entirely unexpected. Some analysts have been urging caution about panicking over recent results.
“We searched through history trying to find events when factor correlations were increasing and when the 5-day rolling returns for all four factors (value, quality, momentum and revisions) were negative. We found that all four factors tend to recover in the next 20 days and correlations revert back to more normal levels,” a report issued by Citigroup yesterday said.
Others are warning that too strong and too sudden of a recovery may indicate that the markets have not yet reverted to “normal levels” predicted by the optimists.
“It’s still not in the models. This is still abnormal performance. One day’s outperformance doesn’t mean things are fixed,” a hedge fund manager told us. (A word of caution: his fund is not a quant fund and we suspect he’s enjoying the destruction of his robotic peers.)






Posted by QuantStar , Aug 10, 2007 3:25PM
The non-quant is right. Still, I'm enjoying bathing in the blood of other quants right now and picking up like 20 short squeezes today for free money.
Posted by , Aug 10, 2007 3:28PM
my quant strategy has recovered 3% so far, but still -3.5% for the month. And still above 1% over SPX Ytd.
Posted by JD , Aug 10, 2007 3:34PM
I got out my tools and switched some wires around on the black box, then I hooked up my Ipod to it and hit the "shuffle" option. My system is trading completely at random and it looks as if I should be up 4% before I get my liquidation notices next week. Technology Rocks!!!!!
Posted by inIT4the$ , Aug 10, 2007 3:43PM
SPX up 1.7% for the week (Friday to Friday)
Posted by , Aug 10, 2007 3:48PM
The point is, ladies and gentlemen, that: Greed, for lack of a better word, is good. Greed is right; greed works. Greed clarifies, cuts through, and captures the essence of the evolutionary spirit. Greed, in all of its forms, greed for life, for money, for love, knowledge — has marked the upward surge of mankind and greed, you mark my words — will not only save Teldar Paper but that other malfunctioning corporation called the USA.
Posted by bess smells , Aug 10, 2007 3:52PM
"I got out my tools and switched some wires around on the black box".
Thats what she said
Posted by Johny Banker , Aug 10, 2007 3:54PM
It is all about the money kid, the rest is conversation.
Posted by Bud Fox , Aug 10, 2007 3:58PM
Because it's WRECKABLE!
Posted by dan loeb , Aug 10, 2007 4:04PM
Thanks for the "greed is good" pep talk, anonymous douchebag. Very insightful.
Posted by JD , Aug 10, 2007 4:09PM
"Payback time Sport. See that building?, I bought that building ten years ago.....my first real estate deal...sold it two years later, made an $800K profit. It was better than sex. At that time I thought that was all the money in the world... now it's a days pay."
Posted by Fake Robert Merton , Aug 10, 2007 4:19PM
This is all an aberration. Fear not, my little quant disciples: volatility will soon return to predictable levels. Markets are always efficient. QUANTS RULE!
Posted by DJ , Aug 10, 2007 5:01PM
@JD
WallStreet Quotes?
Posted by , Aug 10, 2007 5:20PM
loeb you are SO testy!
Posted by hm , Aug 10, 2007 5:53PM
i'd like to think that the real dan loeb might actually come on this website and post that exact comment.
Posted by Chuck K , Aug 11, 2007 10:04AM
making a comeback?To qoute from Keith Campbell(founder of Campbell &CO) whoever they are. "Our risk models failed to pick up the fact that we were due for a correction" WHAT THE F....K What the hell good are the quants..I couldnt make this up..perhaps Larry David is writing his scripts
If you need to understand what the heck is transpiring go no further than Mr. Taleb
Posted by Chuck K , Aug 11, 2007 10:04AM
making a comeback?To qoute from Keith Campbell(founder of Campbell &CO) whoever they are. "Our risk models failed to pick up the fact that we were due for a correction" WHAT THE F....K What the hell good are the quants..I couldnt make this up..perhaps Larry David is writing his scripts
If you need to understand what the heck is transpiring go no further than Mr. Taleb
Posted by , Aug 11, 2007 10:44PM
Campbell has been successfully trading for 30 years as a CTA while hundreds of competitors have come and gone. They have $11 bio under management. In the futures business, they are as good as it gets.
RIEF was up 3-4% on Friday.
Taleb is a broken clock.
Posted by Abraham-Louis Breguet , Aug 12, 2007 9:55PM
Taleb is an arrogant prick, but he does make some good points.
He may be righterer than you think.
Posted by PBateman , Aug 12, 2007 10:48PM
Also heard RIEF was up 3-4% Friday