Opening Bell: 1.30.08

chinasnow.jpgChina Snow Crisis Shows Vulnerability (AP)
This isn’t a metaphor. The China snow crisis is just that, a crisis about snow. As in the cold white stuff that we’ve had none of this year. Apparently certain parts of the country are getting hammered, leading to all kinds of supply chain issues and shortages of food and fuel. Just like our politicians, the Vice Premier has “repeated calls” on coal deliverers to make sure gets delivered. And we thought only politicians that had to run for office “repeated calls”.
Yahoo Profits Fall 23%, Cuts 1,000 Jobs (InformationWeek)
Investors were expecting a weak forecast and layoffs and that’s what they got from Yahoo. There were probably some people holding their breath, hoping for some sort of shocking, out-of-the-blue surprise, but no. The company is still in shift mode, changing its strategy, realigning, repositioning itself, etc. And it sees “headwinds” this year, which means it’s flying perfectly, but outside forces on which it has no control are slowing it down. Right.
The Bond ‘Transformers’ (WSJ)
Who says government is pure reactive? Well, they’d be right. And who says regulators often foolhardily attempt to fix complex problems with simple, band-aid solutions? Well, they’d be right too. New York regulators are, get this, looking to close a “loophole” that allows bond insurers to dabble in derivates. Great timing on that. You can read the details here, but the point is, it’s pretty rich timing, with the bond insurers knocking on heavens door to start thinking about if they could’ve done business in some safer, more transparent manner.
A Dose of Realism for VMWare (MarketBeat)
After delivering some disappointing numbers on Monday night, VMWare got crushed yesterday, falling over 30 percent. The bloom, as they say, is off the rose. MarketBeat looks at the new sentiment towards the once-hot virtualization company. Funny how things can change overnight. Suddenly, it’s just another enterprise IT play clawing it out for a chunk of scarce dollars.


Le naff Jerome Kerviel web industry (FT Alphaville)
It’s not just Facebook where Jerome Kerviel is popular. All around the web, a cottage industry of Kerviel-related paraphanalia is cropping up, particularly on T-shirt sites. Some weird ones too, like you can get a pink tank top that says “Jerome Kerviel’s Girlfriend”. We’re guessing this had one, two sales tops. Still, might be a good gift for that special someone.
UBS Reports Record Loss After $14 Billion Writedown (Bloomberg)
This is hardly even newsworthy, but for the sake of completeness we’ll mention that UBS has reported a major loss on a $14 billion writedown, which was more than analysts had expected. Not surprisingly, it’s the only loss since its merger nearly a decade ago. And, lest you think the prairie fire presages future growth, think again. They’re warning of a tough 2008 ahead.
Pressure Mounts for Resignation at French Bank (NYT)
At this point, we’re starting to believe a few more heads will roll, but we’re not sure how to quantify the probability just yet. Unfortuntaely, there’s no prediction market established that could quantify the probability of a SocGen exec being handed his hat. If we set the bar at $.72 on the dollar, would you be a buyer or a seller?
Clear Channel Investors Fret About Buyout (WSJ)
Another buyout on the ropes. Shares of Clear Channel fell sharply on no news, but fresh concerns about the viability of its sale to to private equity companies. The stock now trades at $29.17, a full $10 behind the buyout price.

Sign up for the Dealbreaker newsletter

Subscribe to our free daily email and get breaking news, financial headlines, commentary, and analysis from Dealbreaker.

— Advertisement —

Comments (7)

  1. Posted by Inquisitor | January 30, 2008 at 7:33 AM

    Well, the Yahoo news is actually a bit better than the 20% job cut they were originally reporting. Still, all things considered, market conditions seem to be getting worse by the day… wonder when we’ll hit bottom.

  2. Posted by Anonymous | January 30, 2008 at 8:24 AM

    J.C.,
    It has been some time now since you last reported on the “Goldman Magic” that Thain has sprinkled on M.L. Could we please have an update on this? Four posts would suffice.
    Thanks,
    The Anti-Christ

  3. Posted by Anonymous | January 30, 2008 at 8:28 AM

    lol

  4. Posted by Disinterested Observer | January 30, 2008 at 8:50 AM

    It was reported early on that one of SocGen’s head guys was not only forgoing his bonus for 2007, but for 2008 as well. I can see forgoing a bonus if your past year has been a disaster, but relinquish pay for the future? Are you anticipating that your leadership in the coming year will be lacking? In that case, why not simply resign?

  5. Posted by Ken Houghton | January 30, 2008 at 8:53 AM

    Are there possibilities of high-level openings at SNCF or BNP Paribas?
    On instinct, I’m buying at .72, but that’s dependent on knowing that the officials affected will be Welched, or at least Mozilloed.

  6. Posted by Anal_yst | January 30, 2008 at 9:12 AM

    WSJ claimed yesterday that the head of the Investment Bank @ SocGen offered his resignation, only to have it rejected (what, he thought he could get out that easy, pshttt!)
    Turns out the guy was an equity derivitives “master” apparently, oh, irony, how do I love thee, let me count the ways…

  7. Posted by mrpink | January 30, 2008 at 10:10 AM

    For you DB “spelling error” Haters:
    Refer to the article re: China Snow Crisis. Even the BIG BOYS make spelling errors, like this blatant one:
    “Underinvestment remains China’s key challenge,” said a report issued Wednesday by investment bank Merrill Lunch.
    So, chillax on the DB staff, willya?
    -mrp

Leave a comment

You can log in with your account or comment as a guest below.