Bank of America Agrees to Purchase Countrywide Financial Corp.
The rumors are true. Expect a full day of discussion on this one: "The purchase will make Bank of America the nation's largest mortgage lender and loan servicer. This is an important advancement in the company's desire to help customers and clients meet all of their financial needs. A mortgage is one of the key foundations of many customer relationships. Countrywide will benefit from the stability of being part of the largest and one of the most financially strong financial institutions in the United States."
Countrywide Gets Rescue Deal (WSJ)
Some analysis from WSJ. Note that the sale price is actually below yesterday's overshoot close. One of those times when the "buy the rumor, sell the news" maxim actually makes a lot of sense.
Giant Write-Down Is Seen for Merrill (NYT)
The Times steps out of its element and takes a stab at predicting Merrill's writedown, which they're pegging at a cool $15 billion. We'll see how they do. Remember when the NYT was all "Chinese products are unsafe" all the time. That was a weird rut they got into.
Conoco in Lead for Abu Dhabi Deal (WSJ)
Houston-based Conoco is said to be the front runner to develop a big natural gas field in Abu Dhabi. That's good. For once we're not going over their with hat in hand, begging for some pocket change. They might actually need a US company to provide a service them. That'll reverse the flow of dollars alright.
Odds of Recession Seen Rising (WSJ)
Some folks say we're already in a recession, but that's a pretty meaningless concepts, because there seem to be some wonky rules that define what is and what isn't technically a recession. All year, they've been polling economists asking them if they think we'll see a recession and the changing responses has been very predictable. A few months ago about a quarter of them said there would be one. Then that inched up to a third. Then that inched up again. Now they're at 42 percent. This is the same as last time. During the 2000 election, Al Gore used to tout the fact that only 1 in 50 economists saw a recession. The point is, economists don't seem like the greatest forecasters. Much better to asks the folks on the ground, or the managers who run businesses, who have a much better feel. Or just go with your gut.
China Money Supply Growth Slows as Central Bank Measures Bite (Bloomberg)
This is weird. There's some evidence that Chinese monetary policy is having something of a desired effect. Money supply growth actually tapered off a little in the latest month, which is something they've been pulling for for a long time. Whether that actually accomplishes the broader goal of establishing more stable, inflation-free growth... that remains to be seen.
Pound Is Brought Back to Earth (WSJ)
A lot gets made over the dollar's weakness, but it's not a lone. The pound has taken a drubbing and they're probably wishing they hadn't been so stuck up about joining the monetary union.
Japanese Shipbuilders Eye Merger (Forbes)
Sadly, we don't end up talking about shipbuilders enough around these parts. But word is that two largest Japanese firms JFE Holdings and IHI Corp. are in talks to combine. Apparently they're facing pressure from low-cost (that's got to be pretty relative) makers from South Korea and China.
The Big Switch Is a Good Thing (GigaOM)
The world of computing is changing rapidly, and it's likely that Wall St. will be the epicenter of change, given the mammoth budgets and infrastructural needs, as well as the need for speed. We've been meaning to pick up a copy of Nick Carr's "The Big Switch" for awhile now, though for some reason we haven't gotten around to it. It basically discusses the rise of utility computing -- data and processing power piped in over cables, just like electricity -- which is something he's been talking about for awhile. Anne Zelenka talks about it some more over at GigaOM.
The $2,500 Car (The American)
We've still got the $2500 car on the brain, and evidently others do too, which is nice to see. The American magazine wonders whether we're talking revolution here. Definitely worth a read if today is slow for you.






Posted by s75 , Jan 11, 2008 8:44AM
jpm for wamu now? the fix is in.
Posted by girl , Jan 11, 2008 9:06AM
what kind of revolution involves selling indians a car that will cost 3x their per capita income? This is exactly how the middle class in this country was destroyed- force fed a drippy sentimental story about how every american deserves to own a house/SUV/what have you and watch them bury themselves in debt trying to live up to an impossible standard.
Posted by Living the dream... , Jan 11, 2008 9:33AM
girl--
Don't go all weepy on us. That damn debt that you refer to is what keeps this country homing, and keeps your mommy and daddy employed. It would be nice to think back to the simpler times before the industrial revolution when we all lived on the farm and sang songs around the piano. It would be nice. But as an Amerian, I am glad that I can play Guitar Hero on the 50" plasma. Let them repo it, but first let me beat Slash on expert.
Posted by AJ , Jan 11, 2008 9:36AM
Ok, someone needs to explain some accounting to me...
Simplifying a bit.... CFC has a book value of $15 bln and its equity is being bought at $4 bln. Typically, you'd see a company bought above its book value, so you'd add goodwill to your assets to balance. This transaction though is essentially creating negative goodwill. How's that work? Does it force you to write down the value of the assets?
Posted by 1-2 , Jan 11, 2008 9:44AM
Goodwill should be additive when the intangible assets (say, namebrand) are actually assets. Would you call the word "Countrywide" an asset at this point? Not so much.
Girl, I'm waiting for some of your data points to support that the middle class in the USA is, in fact, destroyed.
Living the dream: kill slash!
Posted by girl , Jan 11, 2008 10:04AM
Enslavement to ever growing debt while necessities like housing, insurance and retirement fall to the wayside is, to me, a clear indication.
But i'll have the full report on your desk by EOD, sir.
Posted by 1-2 , Jan 11, 2008 10:07AM
I dont know if anyone is watching CNBC right now, but (as i posted earlier) they are "most likely" killing the countrywide brand. How's that for negative goodwill.
Posted by , Jan 11, 2008 10:08AM
girl Re the middle class... Sometimes I think its human nature to want more and more and that rather than being force fed, the middle class has been enabled in the form of credit cards, home equity loans. But then i go to Italy, France, Spain and see people content with fewer things that on closer inspection are better: food, soccer, bicycles, smaller cars. A more spartan and healthy but rewarding life.
Posted by 1-2 , Jan 11, 2008 10:11AM
Girl, you're sassy, which makes my day that much better. Thanks. You can drop the book off at the corner of 52nd and 6th around 5pm, then we'll get drinks somewhere.
Posted by , Jan 11, 2008 10:15AM
girl is the best. Extra points from earlier this week when she indicated she runs hard and fast ("my ass off" she said) and has liberal leanings.
Posted by , Jan 11, 2008 10:18AM
Trust me, these people want the car. They showed some footage from the car show where Tata unveiled it and there were droves of people who showed up with cash hoping to buy one right then and there.
Posted by girl , Jan 11, 2008 10:31AM
Who doesn't want a car when the alternative is riding 5 to a motorcycle? That's not the issue.
@ 10:08- completely concur.
@1-2, you're most welcome, and you're on.
10:15 hah! unfortunately that's given me a mean case of the shin splints- the trainer says i should soften my stride. impossible as i'm pretty incapable of doing anything soft.
Posted by 1-2 , Jan 11, 2008 10:40AM
@Girl, you had me at running hard and fast...lost me at liberal. Maybe we can patch things up tonight.
Posted by , Jan 11, 2008 11:00AM
my fault, for bringing up the liberal. 1) shes not that liberal, doesnt like Hillary. 2) how bout Matlin/Carville. You dont want someone around to yes you all day and night. Much better to have healthy give and take. Dont be a wuss. Go for it man.
Posted by , Jan 11, 2008 11:02AM
get a room you two unless you have anything to add on negative goodwill
personally i think once they get done marking down the value of assets and liabilities in the purchase accounting then you are not in negative position but only time will tell
Posted by , Jan 11, 2008 11:03AM
girl,
are you anya kamanetz? if so i think you are hot. if not, you still sound hot.
Posted by girl , Jan 11, 2008 11:28AM
I've never failed to bring a conservative to his knees, not to worry gentleman
11:03, I would have liked to be a writer, but sadly i enjoy nice things far too much to be poor.
Also, lighten up 11:02, it's friday!!
Posted by AJ , Jan 11, 2008 11:35AM
Oh come on girl, 11:02 was the closest to actually answering the negative goodwill problem!
Posted by anon4life , Jan 11, 2008 11:50AM
Does anyone know which wire service released Bernanke's comments 45 minutes early yesterday?
Posted by 1-2 , Jan 11, 2008 12:00PM
@Girl, i'm serious about getting drinks.
Posted by Erin Burnett's Booty Call , Jan 11, 2008 12:12PM
"Note that the sale price is actually below yesterday's overshoot close. One of those times when the "buy the rumor, sell the news" maxim actually makes a lot of sense."
Um, no. If you had bought the rumor and sold the news, you would have lost money on this one.
Posted by , Jan 11, 2008 12:25PM
in re Erin
With so many hot dumb chicks on this planet, would you choose a marginally hot dumb chick?
Posted by Joe , Jan 11, 2008 12:40PM
Re: Erin Burnett's Booty Call
Perhaps my phrasing was unclear. I wasn't suggesting that people should've followed this as advice (though it's rarely given as advice). I was pointing out that this phrase actually makes a lot of sense to describe what's gone on.
Posted by , Jan 11, 2008 12:42PM
Erin B = Snatch 4 Sale
(I am not buying.)
Posted by girl , Jan 11, 2008 1:37PM
I am as well, though i have plans tonight. Tuesday, same place and time. I'll leave it to you to figure me out.
Posted by Bill , Jan 11, 2008 4:03PM
Will dealbreaker cover the Tuesday meeting @ 52nd and 6th around 5pm?
Posted by blah , Jan 11, 2008 4:14PM
http://longorshortcapital.com/market-clearing-attractiveness.htm
Posted by blah , Jan 11, 2008 4:21PM
http://longorshortcapital.com/market-clearing-attractiveness.htm