Opening Bell: 1.28.08

jk.jpgSocGen's Kerviel Charged With Attempted Fraud (Bloomberg)
Jerome Kerviel didn't flee. He's in custody and now they've formerly slapped him with charges, the most serious of which, abuse of trust, could carry a seven year jail term and 750,000 eur fine. But although he didn't book it to Tahiti, Kerviel isn't taking the charges lying down. It sounds like his lawyers plan to make a vigorous defense, which is cool. His lawyer claim that the whole thing is a charade, designed to conceal losses elsewhere. Until he's proven guilty, we'll presume him innocent and we can only hope for a long, dramatic trial which gives us deeper insight into the bank and the world of a rogue trader, if indeed he is one.

Countrywide's Mozilo Forgoing $37.5M (AP)
There's a reason they call him "Honest" Angelo Mozilo. The Countrywide CEO has agreed to give up $37.5 million in severance pay, considering the troubles that this company is going through. And you thought it was because he looked like a used car salesman. Hogwash. Among the perks he's giving up is access to the company's private plane. Some day he'll be waiting on a tarmac for five hours and start regretting that one.

Sears Holdings Names W. Bruce Johnson Interim CEO
Sears says its CEO Aylwin B. Lewis is stepping down immediately and will be replaced on an interim basis by W. Bruce Johnson, who joined K-Mart in 2003. Interestingly enough, Johnson actually has a real retail background, which is a sign of the company's acknowledgment that Sears, sadly, remains first and foremost a store where people buy stuff. Of course he's just the interim, so we'll see where they go with the position.

Shares End Sharply Lower; Nippon Steel Weighs on Tokyo (WSJ)
Another ugly day internationally, as stocks across Asia fell sharply while you were sleeping. Shanghai was down 7.2 percent, while Japan fell by nearly 4 percent. Hong Kong also lost over 4 percent. The big loser in Japan was Nippon Steel, which warned of weak US demand in its latest quarter.

Hitch Your Wagon to a Rate Cut? (WSJ)
Why, just maybe, rate cuts won't save us this time.

Paulson’s Deal-Making Revives Treasury’s Relevance (NYT)
So it's times like these, apparently, when the Treasury actually serves a purpose. Most of the time, they don't do anything but talk and advise and jawbone and jibber-jabber and sometimes make comments about the (mis)-direction of the Dollar. But when the world begins to crater, they rise into action, like Superman emerging from a phonebooth. They get corporate leaders sitting around a table or they get Republicans and Democrats to agree to spit out some cash -- must be tough to get politicians to part with cash that isn't theirs of course. So while we sometimes forget why this position exists, now we're reminded.

In January, Record Number of I.P.O.’s Are Pulled (Bloomberg via Dealbook)
Sometimes the "Market Conditions excuse has some validity to it. January, a rough month for stocks, proved to be quite the rough month for IPOs as well, as a record number were pulled. Among the casualties: clothier Tommy Hilfiger, currently owned by PE firm Apax.

French police hold SocGen trader (FT via Felix Salmon)
Felix through out the suggestion the other day that Kerviel may have only lost 1.5 billion eur and that it was SocGen, who, in their panic, lost the other two thirds, in part because they had the misfortune of selling on such a horrible day and partly because they panicked. Apparently some others believe the same thing, including an unknown rival banking executive, who also pegged Kerviel's own loss at 1.5 billion eur. Hard to say what all this means, so hopefully more details will come out at trial.

Comments

Posted by Bulging Bracket, Jan 28, 2008 7:43AM

Just saying, but I put it out on this site at 11:11AM on the 24th that it was probably mainly Soc Gen's fault. http://www.dealbreaker.com/2008/01/opening_bell_1242008.php#comment-175089

I guess it just got swamped by the stupid war trolling, the site crash, etc. If Felix wants to get in touch we can work out a royalty scheme for the "credit" for blaming Soc Gen.

Of course, this was a pretty basic observation that unwinding a position larger than the market cap of your bank on a day where the primary market for the security is closed just might be a bad idea. Perhaps more than one person came up with it independently, but the funny thing is that none of the "elite" French bankers at Soc Gen came up with it. This is of course why you don't let socialists try to imitate capitalists, nor do you let Enarques anywhere near actual business management.

Posted by Bulging Bracket, Jan 28, 2008 7:51AM

anon4life at 11:24 on the photo thread also speculated that the loss was mostly Soc Gen's fault. Felix really needs to be a bit less self congratulatory. Though for a reporter, only being one day behind is pretty good.

Posted by Tollywood, Jan 28, 2008 8:09AM

Its probably more correct to say Sears is a place where people DON'T buy stuff.

Posted by wanonymous, Jan 28, 2008 8:29AM

We're talking about setting up Angelo Mozilo for the rest of his life here, people! He's got to have enough for a new Cadillac every year, a rinse every four months to neutralize the yellow in his hair, and a health savings plan for skin cancer treatment! Can he really afford to forgo $37.5 million?

Posted by , Jan 28, 2008 9:14AM

wow BB you sure were way ahead of the curve. pretty impressive. and yes i agree isn't it annoying when people are so self congratulatory?

are you fishing for carney to write a post about how you beat felix to publishing this observation?

Posted by Bulging Bracket, Jan 28, 2008 9:49AM

9:14: Nah - just that Joe shouldn't be validating Felix's suggestion that he was saying something original.

Posted by Lee D, Jan 28, 2008 10:13AM

Sears rearranged their executives only because they don't have any deck chairs at this time of year.

Posted by $, Jan 28, 2008 10:48AM

What's avg Net Worth by title (Assc., VP, Dir, MD) in Bulge Bracket (range for seniority)?

Pls post based on your #, or direct knowledge not hopes/dreams or delusions/bitterness.

This is one # that everyone can crunch.

Posted by , Jan 28, 2008 11:01AM

@ Lee good one

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