Twenty-Five Or Fifty? The DealBreaker Reader Poll

Posted by John Carney, Jan 30, 2008, 10:12am

Just in case you missed it last night, we're bringing the reader poll on today's Fed decision back to the top of the page. There's about an hour left to vote for this before we shut down the poll and start gearing up to cover the aftermath.

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Posted in: Fed, Reader Poll

Comments

Posted by Dr. Strangelove, Jan 30, 2008 10:47AM

I don't think there will be any move

Posted by Double DD nympho, Jan 30, 2008 10:58AM

If they cut 25 the SP 500 will sell of 2%.

Posted by , Jan 30, 2008 11:02AM

HELLLLLOOOOO Double DD!

Posted by SonicTheHedgeFund, Jan 30, 2008 11:32AM

If Bern doesn't cut by 50 the market will tank 300 or more today.

Posted by Anal_yst, Jan 30, 2008 11:39AM

ADP January private-sector adds 130,000 jobs.

Recession my candy ass.

No rate cuts

Posted by ImRight, Jan 30, 2008 11:48AM

@ Anal_yst, 11:39

ADP is extremely volatile, still unproven and has under 50% correlation to NFP, which is what drives the market. It is a fkg worthless stat. NEXT.

Posted by Anal_yst, Jan 30, 2008 12:06PM

@ ImRight

I agree in-and-of-itself, but in the grand scheme of things, where is this apparent recession the politicians and pundits would have us believe we're entering?

Posted by , Jan 30, 2008 12:08PM

What time is the announcement, anyway?

Posted by Carter Pewterschmidt, Jan 30, 2008 12:33PM

Spoke with two colleagues of mine on opposite ends of the office.

Colleague #1: Any adjustment up or down is priced in.

Colleague #2: The market will take a big swing if there is no cut OR a big cut.

Conclusion: No one knows shit.

Posted by MER Fixed Income Trader, Jan 30, 2008 12:46PM

I know shit.

Posted by Anal_yst, Jan 30, 2008 1:24PM

Confusion:

only 75% of people taking the "Registered Nurse" survey @ left responded with "I am not a registered nurse". Huh?

Posted by Master of None, Jan 30, 2008 1:27PM

OK John, two quick polls:

If the Fed cuts 25bps, how does the market react? (I say SPX closes down 175bps)

If the Fed cuts 50bps? (I say down 100bps)

Posted by Sandy, Jan 30, 2008 2:12PM

@01:24PM: I'm shocked it's that high. Like all internet polls, it's subject to selection bias. Why would you bother voting unless you were an RN or wanted to pretend to be an RN to influence the outcome? Three quarters of respondents had no opinion yet cared enough to cast a vote. WTF?

Posted by , Jan 30, 2008 2:29PM

u guys are wrong on the poll

Posted by anon @2:29, Jan 30, 2008 2:32PM

at least i voted 50. now watch the market pull back...

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