How To Think About The Credit Suisse Pricing "Error"

dougan_lead_1.535638.jpgA lot of people are acting all shocked and dismayed over the little slip-up that happened at Credit Suisse. Saying they can believe something like this would happen over at Bear, where Jimmy Cayne spends all the money on chips and forgets to leave an IOU, and UBS, where God retroactively punishes, and Citi, where you've got eight people sharing one chair and nobody can even hear themselves think, but not at CS. Bad things don't happen to good people and bad things like multi-billion dollar mistakes certainly don't happen to good people who live within 200 feet of the Shake Shack. I've got news for those of you failing to "get" how Credit Suisse could suddenly come up with this gigantic fuck-up, worthy of even Citigroup's praise, when just last week Brady Dougan told reporters everything was cool-- there never was any "error." Well, never any error that D-gan didn't orchestrate himself.


And no, I'm not talking about fraud. Let's leave that up to Goldman, the professionals. Listen to D-gan's wording from yesterday's call: he defends the bank's controls, saying it was a "very good sign" the "errors" were caught "rapidly, and...by our internal processes.'' You can almost see him cocking his eyebrow slightly, just ever so slightly, too, can't you? That's because he's got a secret-- this whole thing was a drill. Not a joke, a drill. Dougan wanted to test the controls in real-time; make sure everything was up to code. Two something billion dollars was sacrificed now so that twenty something billion dollars doesn't have to be sacrificed later. Don't believe us? That's fine, you're entitled to your own (woefully misguided) opinion, and we know you'll come around eventually. Get into my head and it'll make sense. In the meantime, I challenge you all to come up with a more plausible explanation for what happened. It's an impossible task but nonetheless, the best answer wins lunch at the SS, on Carney.


Credit Suisse Suspends Traders After Mispricings [DealBook]

Dougan's Assurance of Shareholder `Comfort' Proves Immaterial [Bloomberg]

Comments

Posted by EE, Feb 20, 2008 10:39AM

someone forgot to carry the 1

Posted by EE, Feb 20, 2008 10:40AM

someone forgot to carry the 1

Posted by guest, Feb 20, 2008 10:48AM

Entertainment Budget

Posted by guest, Feb 20, 2008 10:53AM

rounding error

Posted by RamblinWreck, Feb 20, 2008 11:03AM

Approximation of Pi as 22/7

Posted by guest, Feb 20, 2008 11:03AM

Universal free healthcare.

Posted by To The Hilt, Feb 20, 2008 11:05AM

Mike's Hard Lemonade

Posted by guest, Feb 20, 2008 11:14AM

Ron Paul?

Posted by Finnegan, Feb 20, 2008 11:18AM

Brady W. Dougan responds:

"We inadvertantly included Jewish assets (circa 1945) from our special account in our inventory of asset back securities. The error has been corrected, and we remain committed to transparency and probity in all our dealings."

Posted by big r, Feb 20, 2008 11:24AM

im ashamed

whats bull is the whole " leopard doesn't change its spots" angle the wsj is doing today. this is nothing like the misleading results from the 80s and 90s previous versions of CS already endured

last time i checked 2.8 is still less than 18 that UBS has already thrown out the door

i'll be consoling myself at the shack w an arnold palmer and 2 shack burgers under the new heaters for the afternoon

Posted by guest, Feb 20, 2008 11:26AM

When traders mark their own books without a "monitor" stuff like that will happen.

Oh wait, the "model was wrong" so to help the model get back on the right track they "adjusted" the marks. Yeah, that's the ticket.

Posted by Anal_yst, Feb 20, 2008 11:31AM

If the desk in question is the one I'm thinking of, then I can promise with absolute certainty that I know who the problem was, and lets say he has some similar tendencies to Zach Michaelson

Posted by guest, Feb 20, 2008 11:35AM

Still too early for the double shack burger, fries and root beer. I'm going to head out at 11.50, which I think is strategically the best time to beat the lunch rush.

Posted by guest, Feb 20, 2008 11:35AM

sorry folks-you all are missing the point.
The mismark is deliberate and a SOP @ CS for years. The process is called "desk price rules" and is designed to boost the bonus pool.
CS is one house that hase two pricing feeds; one for customers (so they do not misreport their year end results)& one for the BD...

Posted by guest, Feb 20, 2008 11:43AM

@ 11:35-- YOU are missing the point. credit suisse didn't make any errors, unless we're including intentional errors. IT WAS A DRILL TO TEST THE CONTROLS.

Posted by guest, Feb 20, 2008 11:47AM

After reading Thad's post, they decided to take the money to the Mercury Bar.

Posted by guest, Feb 20, 2008 11:50AM

would the Trader Appologist care to weigh in on this or is his confirmation email still hung up in the system ... oh sorry, your system is perfect, what I meant to say was blocked by his own spam filter

Posted by diablo, Feb 20, 2008 12:03PM

Let me guess, they marked some losses in $ when they should have used the euro sign (€)? Damned computers!

Posted by guest, Feb 20, 2008 12:36PM

I hardcoded interest to save time

Posted by guest, Feb 20, 2008 1:07PM

Blame it on Jerome Kerviel...

-Smn

Posted by guest, Feb 20, 2008 1:11PM

Blame it on Jerome Kerviel...

-Smn

Posted by guest, Feb 20, 2008 2:42PM

This is what happens after traders continue to tell risk management and accountants that they don't understand the market and the traders begin to believe their own bs. A small variance one month, a bit more the next...this loss did not happen over two weeks.

Posted by guest, Feb 21, 2008 8:19AM

CS control groups responsible for price testing of trader postions were subject to a 10% reduction in 2007 expenses.

Deprive control groups of resources: one shouldn't be surprised this happened.

What a genius move by management.....

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