• 22 Apr 2008 at 3:11 PM

1997 And All That

The year 1997 is never far from the thoughts of many Thai businessmen and economists. That was the year financial markets forced Thailand to abandon its currency peg, and the Thai baht fell from 26 baht per dollar to 56 baht per dollar. In the US, this devaluation is mainly remembered–if at all–as precipitating the collapse of the once high flying hedge fund Long Term Capital Management. Here in Thailand it is remembered for its domestic consequences, especially the transformation of the Thai economy into one heavily dependent on tourism.
For Thais, 1997 is ripe with meaning–psychological, financial and even metaphysical meaning. The Thais view the events of 1997 in religious terms, as demonstrating the cosmic justice central to Buddhism. Years of unsound economic policy had resulted in the accumulation of bad karma. The painful adjustments that followed were the working out of this imbalance, making merit for past excesses.
It’s not quite standard monetary theory but before you laugh at the Thais for their superstitions, remember that a Red Sox fan recently attempted to curse the new Yankee Stadium by burying a David Oritz jersey in the foundations. And the Yankees, as if in competition to prove they are even more superstitious than Sox Nation, formally “excavated” the jersey. And while it might seem odd that the Buddhist Thais have defied the market process that forced them to devalue their dollar, they are hardly the first to incorporate Mammon into their holy pantheon. And the lessons about monetary excess that they’ve learned serve them well. In fact, sitting in a cafe in Chiang Mai, listening to this theory of time, money and karma, I couldn’t help but be reminded of the work of both the Chicago and, especially, Austrian schools. And I wondered if Ben Bernanke might want to take a couple of lessons in Buddhism.
–John Carney, who is in exile in Thailand, thinks superstitions are bad luck.

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Comments (21)

  1. Posted by guest | April 22, 2008 at 3:33 PM

    Yaaawn. Why are you running with this garbage when you could have been running with the Richard Quest scandal. Two days and nothing. You have given up some very low hanging fruit.

  2. Posted by guest | April 22, 2008 at 3:38 PM

    Yaawwwn. I can’t believe you are writing about this drivel with low hanging fruit like the Richard Quest scandal available. Two days after the fact and nothing on this. Very disappointing.

  3. Posted by guest | April 22, 2008 at 4:03 PM

    Sex and drugs has no place here at DB.

  4. Posted by guest | April 22, 2008 at 4:08 PM

    John seriously if this is the kind of thing you are doing on your vacation you may as well come back to work.

  5. Posted by guest | April 22, 2008 at 4:09 PM

    (but it is interesting. just looking out for you big guy)

  6. Posted by guest | April 22, 2008 at 4:19 PM

    JC was high on pot writing that…bet a sixpack on it

  7. Posted by guest | April 22, 2008 at 4:30 PM

    I still like it. Johny boy, I’ve missed you.

  8. Posted by diablo | April 22, 2008 at 4:36 PM

    Give the guy a break. He needs to post something so his vacation gets paid by DB.

  9. Posted by zzz1357 | April 22, 2008 at 4:40 PM

    I’ve always found Austrian Business Cycle Theory to be very Middle-Way-esque.

  10. Posted by guest | April 22, 2008 at 5:03 PM

    I would’ve preferred something on Thai baths than Thai bahts.
    Thadius R. Rogers
    Financier/Evaluator of Talent

  11. Posted by JorgeCad | April 22, 2008 at 6:06 PM

    Thank God Carney is not reporting on the Vietnamese (SP?) Dong. I just could not bear the dumb jokes and comments.
    BTW – PE is doing a great job, careful Carney! You are missed but, damn, your replacement is good.
    Though I see your angle, vaca in the Far East, next thing you know it, you are Far East correspondant.
    Hope it works out mate.

  12. Posted by guest | April 22, 2008 at 6:11 PM

    JC, when you order pizza and the bar girl asks if you want your pizza “happy”, say YES. They bake weed into the pizza. “happy happy” pizza, on the other hand, is spiked with shrooms…

  13. Posted by guest | April 22, 2008 at 11:59 PM

    Don’t listen to the buzzkills, Carney, I liked this post. I demand more trippy anecdotes from abroad.

  14. Posted by guest | April 23, 2008 at 3:12 AM

    I can only eat Thai whenever I’m in Thailand. Thai food in the States really, really sucks. Even the high end places do not serve the real thing.
    Please don’t tell me you’ve been eating pad thai while you’re there.
    I love this salad made of crispy catfish and green mangoes. I forget its name.
    And tapioca dessert wrapped in banana leaves shaped like a little cupcake.

  15. Posted by american bandersnatch | April 23, 2008 at 7:24 AM

    @3:12. You are so sophisticated. What’s it like being so cool?

  16. Posted by guest | April 23, 2008 at 8:25 AM

    The derivative of the Vietnamese dong is the American schlong. Many Viet women will intervene in the market to lower the size of schlong value as a function of elevated dong payments. If you are long dong expect a shortened schlong. The index is called the OLDS, or One Long Dong Schlong.

  17. Posted by guest | April 23, 2008 at 9:02 AM

    A man’s in bed with his Thai girlfriend.
    After having great sex, she spends the next hour just stroking
    his willy, something she had lovingly done on many occasions.
    Rather enjoying it, he turns and asks her, ‘Why do you love
    doing that?’
    She replies: ‘Because I really miss mine’.

  18. Posted by guest | April 23, 2008 at 9:22 AM

    The baht is now traded at 31.3/USD. It has 50% appreciated against USD since the peak of 1997 crisis.

  19. Posted by guest | April 23, 2008 at 9:34 AM
  20. Posted by guest | April 23, 2008 at 9:36 AM
  21. Posted by Anal_yst | April 23, 2008 at 11:39 AM

    @ 9:36, wow, had no idea, thanks! (no sarcasm this time)

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