1997 And All That

The year 1997 is never far from the thoughts of many Thai businessmen and economists. That was the year financial markets forced Thailand to abandon its currency peg, and the Thai baht fell from 26 baht per dollar to 56 baht per dollar. In the US, this devaluation is mainly remembered--if at all--as precipitating the collapse of the once high flying hedge fund Long Term Capital Management. Here in Thailand it is remembered for its domestic consequences, especially the transformation of the Thai economy into one heavily dependent on tourism.

For Thais, 1997 is ripe with meaning--psychological, financial and even metaphysical meaning. The Thais view the events of 1997 in religious terms, as demonstrating the cosmic justice central to Buddhism. Years of unsound economic policy had resulted in the accumulation of bad karma. The painful adjustments that followed were the working out of this imbalance, making merit for past excesses.

It's not quite standard monetary theory but before you laugh at the Thais for their superstitions, remember that a Red Sox fan recently attempted to curse the new Yankee Stadium by burying a David Oritz jersey in the foundations. And the Yankees, as if in competition to prove they are even more superstitious than Sox Nation, formally "excavated" the jersey. And while it might seem odd that the Buddhist Thais have defied the market process that forced them to devalue their dollar, they are hardly the first to incorporate Mammon into their holy pantheon. And the lessons about monetary excess that they've learned serve them well. In fact, sitting in a cafe in Chiang Mai, listening to this theory of time, money and karma, I couldn't help but be reminded of the work of both the Chicago and, especially, Austrian schools. And I wondered if Ben Bernanke might want to take a couple of lessons in Buddhism.


--John Carney, who is in exile in Thailand, thinks superstitions are bad luck.

Comments

Posted by guest, Apr 22, 2008 3:33PM

Yaaawn. Why are you running with this garbage when you could have been running with the Richard Quest scandal. Two days and nothing. You have given up some very low hanging fruit.

Posted by guest, Apr 22, 2008 3:38PM

Yaawwwn. I can't believe you are writing about this drivel with low hanging fruit like the Richard Quest scandal available. Two days after the fact and nothing on this. Very disappointing.

Posted by guest, Apr 22, 2008 4:03PM

Sex and drugs has no place here at DB.

Posted by guest, Apr 22, 2008 4:08PM

John seriously if this is the kind of thing you are doing on your vacation you may as well come back to work.

Posted by guest, Apr 22, 2008 4:09PM

(but it is interesting. just looking out for you big guy)

Posted by guest, Apr 22, 2008 4:19PM

JC was high on pot writing that...bet a sixpack on it

Posted by guest, Apr 22, 2008 4:30PM

I still like it. Johny boy, I've missed you.

Posted by diablo, Apr 22, 2008 4:36PM

Give the guy a break. He needs to post something so his vacation gets paid by DB.

Posted by zzz1357, Apr 22, 2008 4:40PM

I've always found Austrian Business Cycle Theory to be very Middle-Way-esque.

Posted by guest, Apr 22, 2008 5:03PM

I would've preferred something on Thai baths than Thai bahts.

Thadius R. Rogers
Financier/Evaluator of Talent

Posted by JorgeCad, Apr 22, 2008 6:06PM

Thank God Carney is not reporting on the Vietnamese (SP?) Dong. I just could not bear the dumb jokes and comments.

BTW - PE is doing a great job, careful Carney! You are missed but, damn, your replacement is good.

Though I see your angle, vaca in the Far East, next thing you know it, you are Far East correspondant.

Hope it works out mate.

Posted by guest, Apr 22, 2008 6:11PM

JC, when you order pizza and the bar girl asks if you want your pizza "happy", say YES. They bake weed into the pizza. "happy happy" pizza, on the other hand, is spiked with shrooms...

Posted by guest, Apr 22, 2008 11:59PM

Don't listen to the buzzkills, Carney, I liked this post. I demand more trippy anecdotes from abroad.

Posted by guest, Apr 23, 2008 3:12AM

I can only eat Thai whenever I'm in Thailand. Thai food in the States really, really sucks. Even the high end places do not serve the real thing.

Please don't tell me you've been eating pad thai while you're there.

I love this salad made of crispy catfish and green mangoes. I forget its name.

And tapioca dessert wrapped in banana leaves shaped like a little cupcake.

Posted by american bandersnatch, Apr 23, 2008 7:24AM

@3:12. You are so sophisticated. What's it like being so cool?

Posted by guest, Apr 23, 2008 8:25AM

The derivative of the Vietnamese dong is the American schlong. Many Viet women will intervene in the market to lower the size of schlong value as a function of elevated dong payments. If you are long dong expect a shortened schlong. The index is called the OLDS, or One Long Dong Schlong.

Posted by guest, Apr 23, 2008 9:02AM

A man's in bed with his Thai girlfriend.

After having great sex, she spends the next hour just stroking
his willy, something she had lovingly done on many occasions.
Rather enjoying it, he turns and asks her, 'Why do you love
doing that?'
She replies: 'Because I really miss mine'.

Posted by guest, Apr 23, 2008 9:22AM

The baht is now traded at 31.3/USD. It has 50% appreciated against USD since the peak of 1997 crisis.

Posted by guest, Apr 23, 2008 9:36AM

wrong link
http://www.thailandbilder.se/bangkok-thailand_panorama.jpg

Posted by Anal_yst, Apr 23, 2008 11:39AM

@ 9:36, wow, had no idea, thanks! (no sarcasm this time)

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