Opening Bell: 4.4.08

citijohnreed.jpgCiti merger architect calls deal ‘mistake’ (FT) More reflection on a decade of Citigroup. In retrospect, says John Reed, who helped orchestrate the merger of Citi and Travellers, well it might not have been the best idea. In an interview with FT he called the company a sad story, adding: "The specific merger transaction clearly has to be seen to have been a mistake." He declined to say whether it was the management or the model that deserved the blame, although to some extent that's irrelevant. Sort of like those horrendous conversations kids have in college about whether communism could ever work if only it had the right leaders.


Ex-UBS chief pushes for bank’s break-up (FT)
Luqman Arnold, ex-CEO of UBS, wants to see a break up of the bank, which isn't doing so hot. Specifically, he wants to see the separation of its investment and private banking arms. Beyond that he wants a total board overhaul. And oh yeah, he's quietly amassed a stake in the company. Well .7 percent of it. Yeah, probably not enough to push through any changes on his own. But, you never know.

Investors Stalk the Wounded of Wall Street (NYT)
Nobody wants to be the one who tried to catch the falling knife... but to some extent a little obvious: with financial assets way down, folks are nibbling. And that's probably a good thing, though we smell a faint whiff of "vulturism" in this story.

Study Suggests Financial Bloggers May Move Markets (Research Recap)
Take heart, a study suggests that financial bloggers move the markets. We've moved the markets several times, obviously, with our revealing of timely info, but apparently we're not the only ones. A PHD condidate at University of Oklahoma (don't get us started) came to the conclusion. Sort of a trendy thing to analyze, but still interesting. Here's a link to the paper. Meanwhile, if anyone knows, we'll throw out another question: has the impact of sell/buy signals decreased over the years? So, for example, if an analyst comes out with a "strong buy", on average, does that move a stock less than that would have 10 years ago? We're thinking yes, but would like to know the data.

J.P. Morgan buys $140.7 million in Bear Stearns stock (MarketWatch)
JPM now owns a significant chunk of Bear, as it announced that it bought 11.5 million shares on the open market for $140.7 million. Taking no chances obviously -- that's at $12.20 per share, over 20 percent above what the company has an agreement to buy Bear at once the shareholders vote.

J.P. Morgan Said to Withdraw Bear Offers (Dealbook)
Pretty predictable: Fresh Bear Stearns hires are having their job offers rescinded from JPM. Obviously not very appealing, but you have to figure that seniority counts for something at a time like this.

Comments

Posted by Finnegan, Apr 04, 2008 7:29AM

NOW the Citibank merger was a bad idea? Really? This is one of those moments to remember the next time someone is knocking the government for being more inefficient or wasteful than the private sector. Clearly screwing up knows no master, and is servant to none.

Posted by Random Banker, Apr 04, 2008 7:42AM

Awww John Reed thinks the citigroup merger was a bad idea? This couldn't have anything to do with him getting set out on on the street with the old garbage could it?

I love when people say shit like this. The other favorite is for people to say the AOL-Time Warner merger was a "bad" merger. Really? I'm pretty sure Steve Case exchanged stock an decaying internet era tech company with an obsolete business model for stock in some of the hardest media assets available. And they threw him out for this? Case should have gotten a ticker tape parade. That was one of the greatest mergers in business history, at least for the AOL Shareholders. And come to think of it anytime one side gets a really good deal the other side has necessarily gotten screwed.

The same can be said for Travelers/Citi.

Posted by guest, Apr 04, 2008 7:53AM

Here's a very interesting story from the C section:

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB120728015704788869.html?mod=todays_us_money_and_investing

Good luck bitches because this rally is going to end in tears . . .

-- Dave Chappelle

Posted by guest, Apr 04, 2008 8:10AM

Seniority actually doesn't count for anything at the BSC. Sr. Mgmt in the IB announced this morning and only one Bear senior guy was brought over to co-head structured products. Nobody at JPM lost ground at the top level.

Posted by guest, Apr 04, 2008 8:11AM

Seniority actually doesn't count for anything at the BSC. Sr. Mgmt in the IB announced this morning and only one Bear senior guy was brought over to co-head structured products. Nobody at JPM lost ground at the top level.

Posted by guest, Apr 04, 2008 8:12AM

Seniority actually doesn't count for anything at the BSC. Sr. Mgmt in the IB announced this morning and only one Bear senior guy was brought over to co-head structured products. Nobody at JPM lost ground at the top level.

Posted by guest, Apr 04, 2008 8:29AM

Thanks for the three time posting. BSC talent is clearly inferior to JPM, why would they want any of these people. Also, wait till they get a load of the people who work in their PB group and Sec lending areas, they will be appalled. I should know, I was offered a position at BSC a month before the collapse and turned ii down. I ran out of there like my hair was on fire. Absolutely no structure and the joey factor is off the charts

Posted by guest, Apr 04, 2008 8:48AM

hey Joey!

Posted by diablo, Apr 04, 2008 9:02AM

Mergers are good for the fee revenues and top management compensation. That's about it.

Posted by guest, Apr 04, 2008 9:02AM

actually 3 senior people got jobs. the co-heads of fixed income both got positions and another senior guy who built the mortgage business

Posted by NotNasser, Apr 04, 2008 9:03AM

"And come to think of it anytime one side gets a really good deal the other side has necessarily gotten screwed."

Ain't necessarily so. Suppose a farmer sells his land at a price that allows him a comfortable retirement. He hasn't gotten screwed -- he has gotten what he thought the land was worth, for the purpose he required.

The buyer might be a petroleum geologist, and might have gotten a really good deal because he knew something the farmer didn't about what was beneath the land.

Exploitation? No. Capitalism.

Posted by guest, Apr 04, 2008 9:06AM

U.S. Loses 80,000 Jobs, Unemployment Rate Increases (Update2)

Posted by guest, Apr 04, 2008 9:06AM

Woohoooo Carney is gone! Let's party like Becca Manns in here!!!!!!!!

Posted by guest, Apr 04, 2008 9:08AM

So, what are the names people?
Who are these senior BSC people kept on?
Details, please, details!

Posted by guest, Apr 04, 2008 9:08AM

thanks for providing that economic headline that was on everyone's screen 36 minutes ago. don't you have SATs you should be studying for or something?

Posted by diablo, Apr 04, 2008 9:14AM

To everybody posting as "guest" here: Get an ID you lazy bums!

Posted by ab, Apr 04, 2008 9:21AM

@Nasser

I think RB was referring to mergers, where a REALLY good deal for shareholders (as in the AOL case) is often one that lets them case in on their overvalued shares at the top of the market. but thats a great econ 101 example you gave. tell us next how the butcher and the baker BOTH gain from specialization.

Posted by guest, Apr 04, 2008 9:30AM

@7:29, the difference is that in case of Citi, the people whose money was being wasted were voluntary shareholders who either never had to be in Citi (I was not) or could have sold out at any point.

The government on the other hand give no such option. You money is taken under threat of incarceration and hence, that money being wasted has different meaning.

Posted by guest, Apr 04, 2008 10:17AM

Dealbreaker, fix your fucking RSS links!

Posted by guest, Apr 04, 2008 10:23AM

yeah the SEC has figured this out you should be able to as well.

but it may have to wait until tech support guy Carney is back

Posted by guest, Apr 04, 2008 10:25AM

I'm not your buddy, fwiend!

Posted by guest, Apr 04, 2008 10:57AM

i'm not your fried GUY!

Posted by Anal_yst, Apr 04, 2008 10:57AM

I'm not your friend, guy!

Posted by guest, Apr 04, 2008 11:30AM

III'M NOOOOT YOOOUUUUR GUUUY, BUUUDDYYYYY!

Posted by guest, Apr 04, 2008 12:11PM

12:10 Eastern - Santelli almost jumps through the camera to wail on Leisman.

Posted by guest, Apr 04, 2008 12:20PM

All those 28 yr old MD's at BSC not happy huh....

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