A Primer On The Mortgage Bailout Bill

Over the weekend the Senate overwhelmingly passed a the mortgage bailout bill that includes a government rescue plan for mortgage finance giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, grants to states to subsidize local real estate markets and extends government protections for refinancing troubled mortgages. The legislation amounts to one of the most far-reaching government expansions in the real estate and financial markets in decades. Surprisingly, there has been very little public discussion of the details.

So what does the 700 page bill do? We're not sure anyone knows since hardly anyone--perhaps no one at all--has read the entire thing or had a chance to evaluate how it will interact with existing laws. Here at DealBreaker we've discerned a few of the lowlights at Bailout Bill. (If you want to read the bill, click here and God bless you.) After the jump, we run through them.


A Blank Check For Fannie And Freddie Bailout Forget what you might have heard about the Senate insisting that the Treasury's ability to bailout Fannie and Freddie be strictly limited or include protections for taxpayers. This bill makes the once implicit government guarantee of Fannie and Freddie's senior debt obligations explicit, provides no protections for taxpayers and no cap on a bailout. If the real estate market continues to decline it will drag Fannie and Freddie down with them, and they will drag the taxpayers right along. Hank Paulson, say hello to your legacy.

Give Fannie And Freddie A Bigger Role In The Housing Market. Common sense would imply that the failures of the government sponsored mortgage giants would result in the government seeking to restrict their role in the housing market. The Bailout Bill does the opposite, of course. It increases the cap on the size of mortgages that Fannie and Freddie can guarantee to from $417,000 to $625,000.

Block Grants to States to Buy Foreclosed Properties. The Bailout Bill grants $4 billion to states to purchase foreclosed properties. This part of the bill doesn't even pretend to benefit troubled homeowners since it only applies to properties that banks have foreclosed on. Instead, it is a naked subsidy to the mortgage lenders. What's worse, the state governments, all too often in the pockets of property developers, will most likely sell the properties at steep discounts to developers. The states have little incentive to drive hard bargains with developers since they for all intents and purposes got the property for free since it was bought with federal money. Every dime on the dollar they pocket is profit for state treasuries. This has honest graft written all over this.

Promote More Risky Mortgages. As defaults have risen beyond their historic levels, reckless mortgage lenders such as Indymac and Countrywide have collapsed while the survivors have become more cautious about who gets mortgages. The Bailout Bill fills the recklessness gap by increasing the Federal Housing Authority's role in the loan market, raising the maximum loan limits for FHA conforming mortgages to $625,500.

Encourage The Great Homeownership Experiment. The mortgage crisis got started as a housing boom as government regulations, low interest rates and subsidies grew homeownership from levels sustainable by the market to levels unsustainable by anything but wishful thinking. But why let that stop us? The Bailout Bill provides a tax refund for first time home buyers for up to 10% of a home's purchase. This is more of the social engineering, ownership society meddling, that got us in this trouble in the first place. It will encourage renters to buy homes, many of which they will be unable to afford. It is, in effect, a subsidy to home builders and current property owners.

Increase down-payment requirements for FHA loans. Against all odds, the Bailout Bill actually does strike at the toxic "down-payments are nonsense" culture that helped cause the mortgage mess. Sadly, the increase in the down-payment requirement for FHA loans is tiny, from 3% to 3.5%. The bill also pretends to eliminate a program that has allowed sellers to pay part of this down-payment. But we're told by savvy realtors that they are already at work designing workarounds to accomplish this regulatory dodge through loopholes that lobbyists have already built into the bills.

More Ineffectual Regulation For The GSEs. While there will be a lot of talk about tougher regulatory oversight for Fannie and Freddie, this is just smoke and blather. The Treasury and the Federal Reserve lacked the stamina to squeeze serious concessions from the GSEs, even in the midst of their imminent collapse and even with a Republican administration's threat to veto this bailout bill and legislative support to sustain the veto. How will a new regulator effectively stand up to political pressure? There's no need to speculate about whether the GSE's will "capture" their regulator. They already have.

Comments

1

Posted by guest, Jul 28, 2008 11:20AM

is the document posted somewhere?

2

Posted by guest, Jul 28, 2008 11:30AM

Sweet! This bill totally kicks ass!

3

Posted by John Carney, Jul 28, 2008 11:41AM

Here you go #1:

http://thomas.loc.gov/cgi-bin/query/D?c110:7:./temp/~c110TW3tAG::

4

Posted by guest, Jul 28, 2008 11:41AM

If the real estate market continues to decline it will drag Fannie and Freddie down with them, and they will drag the taxpayers right along.

If? Don't you mean 'As'?

5

Posted by guest, Jul 28, 2008 11:41AM

Does that 10% tax credit for first time buyers have an upper income bound to it? Because it would be pretty sweet to buy an overpriced Manhattan apartment and in the process wipe out a full year of tax liability.

6

Posted by guest, Jul 28, 2008 11:44AM

What's up with your RSS feeds? Every few stories is a link saying "Presented By" with a link to http://www.pheedo.com/click.phdo?s=91af4c8b5a5fe47f1c30c57340c01cb8


7

Posted by Joseph di Jersey City, Jul 28, 2008 11:56AM

The link to the bill has stopped working. Perhaps this is a Godsend - I was actually reading it...

8

Posted by John Carney, Jul 28, 2008 11:57AM

Dammit. We'll find a more permanent link.

9

Posted by guest, Jul 28, 2008 11:58AM

I thought when people clamored about wanting 'Growth' they were talking about the economy, not the government!!!?!?!!!

11

Posted by guest, Jul 28, 2008 12:17PM

Does anyone know what Ron Paul thinks of this bill?

12

Posted by Anal_yst, Jul 28, 2008 12:20PM

wasn't the conforming loan limit already raised months ago to something in the $700's?

13

Posted by guest, Jul 28, 2008 12:21PM

"If the real estate market continues to decline it will drag Fannie and Freddie down with them, and they will drag the taxpayers right along. Hank Paulson, say hello to your legacy."
His legacy "on paper" will be "saving the US financial system", but in reality it's protecting the gains made by Mozillos, O'Neils, Princes, other bankers, FRE and FMC chiefs (how's $20mil/year sound?), different crooks (sell side, S&P, Fitch, Moody's), embacils (buy side, some hedgies) and other peddlers and dealers of the toxic crap by shifting the burden of worthless and semi-worthless loans from the banks' books to the Treasury of the United States.
His legacy will be saving 30 thousand multi-millionaires, and screwing the other 300 million!

14

Posted by guest, Jul 28, 2008 12:41PM

a. it isn't a blank check - Treasury funding is subject to nat'l debt limit (which was raised)

b. the new regulator will have a lot more power than OFHEO (think receivership, etc, stuff that is really murky now)

c. the current loan limits are 729,750 (that's the cap) but that expires 12/31/08.

d. here is a copy of the bill that was passed by house and senate: http://www.house.gov/apps/list/press/financialsvcs_dem/hr3221_bill_text.pdf

e. fha loans perform better than subprime loans. fha has underwriting standards, you know, unlike many of the now dead subprime lenders.


it sounds like this summary was written by someone who only reads Op-ed pages.

15

Posted by guest, Jul 28, 2008 12:42PM

The Times has this practical primer: http://www.nytimes.com/2008/07/25/business/25money.html?em&ex=1217390400&en=d91f85b3522ee266&ei=5087%0A

May the heavens protect you if your monthly house payments cost 31% of your monthly income.

16

Posted by Anal_yst, Jul 28, 2008 12:43PM

@ 12:42

So you're saying that the ~50% post-tax income limit alot of people use for determining what they can afford to rent in NYC is a bad idea? Nawwww

17

Posted by guest, Jul 28, 2008 12:47PM

12:42 to Anal_yst,

I'm not one for the Excel and the spreadsheets and the what-not, but I think 31% of your pre-tax income might still be higher than 50% of your post-federal-NYS-NYC-tax income.

18

Posted by guest, Jul 28, 2008 1:03PM

@ #5-

From the NYT article re the tax credit...

There are two big catches, though. If you earn a modified adjusted gross income of more than $75,000, or $150,000 if you are married and filing your tax return jointly, the credit starts to phase out. For single people, it phases out completely at $95,000 of annual income, while for married people filing jointly, it phases out at $170,000.

19

Posted by guest, Jul 28, 2008 1:06PM

tks 18...clearly the needs of the Manhattan middle class are being ignored in this bill.

/sarcasm

20

Posted by guest, Jul 28, 2008 1:14PM

a. it isn't a blank check - Treasury funding is subject to nat'l debt limit (which was raised)


Congress will always be willing to raise the debt limit. The only real limitation on the Freddie/Fannie bailout is the market for US Treasuries.

21

Posted by guest, Jul 28, 2008 1:18PM

lol

22

Posted by guest, Jul 28, 2008 1:35PM

Guest @ 12.41pm makes some good points. Some others:

i) The subprime debacle was a failure of the private sector - the GSEs are hardly involved in subprime;
ii) What small involvement they do have is dictated by Government affordable housing mandates;
iii) Delinquencies on FN/FH loans remain very low;
iv) Just the monthly paydowns from their retained portfolios are around $25b, more than enough to cover likely mortgage losses. There has been a liquidity crisis at the GSEs, and not a failure of their mortgage guarantee programs (although admittedly that could change if home prices drop another 25% and prime borrowers being to default in droves;
v) The tax credit for 1st time buyers has to be paid back, so its really an interest-free loan.

23

Posted by Joseph di Jersey City, Jul 28, 2008 2:16PM

#5, #18: There's another catch, which is that the credit maxes out at $8K (the Times article misstates that the limit is $7.5K).

In terms of the income cap the inscrutable language in the bill seems to suggest that, like the stimulus checks, the people who pay most of the taxes won't be getting them back.

‘‘(2) LIMITATION BASED ON MODIFIED ADJUSTED
GROSS INCOME.—
‘‘(A) IN GENERAL.—The amount allowable as a credit under subsection (a)(determined without regard to this paragraph) for the taxable year shall be reduced (but not below zero) by the
amount which bears the same ratio to the amount which is so allowable as—
‘‘(i) the excess (if any) of—
‘‘(I) the taxpayer’s modified adjusted gross income for such taxable year, over
‘‘(II) $75,000 ($150,000 in the case of a joint return), bears to
‘‘(ii) $20,000.

24

Posted by Suits, Jul 28, 2008 2:41PM

@13: What's an "embacil"? My hope is it's a new drug designed to prevent idiots from posting on DB.

25

Posted by Anal_yst, Jul 28, 2008 3:04PM

#24 - best comment of the day nominee

26

Posted by beentheredonethat, Jul 28, 2008 3:21PM

Manhattan middle class is rich as shit compared to the hinterlands.....

27

Posted by guest, Jul 28, 2008 3:22PM

[url]http://whistleblower.ml-implode.com/[/url]

not as safe as subprime prime alt-a
or whatever you want to call it.

loans cost money to pay back. people are out of money. loans are not getting paid back. hence default.

this bill takes effect 10/08 supposedly.

thats a long haul for many people and companies.

imo its just a way to prevent other plays on the checkerboard of life.

28

Posted by guest, Jul 28, 2008 3:28PM

The sad looting of America continues. There was not much we could have done to stop it in such small amount of time.

We now wonder just how many people realize the details and particulars of the bill and the eligibility standards that must be met plus the associated costs involved.

For starters the bill goes into effect on 10/1/08. To qualify you must have obtained your owner occupant loan between January 2005 and June 2007 and you must be spending at least 31% of your gross monthly income on your principal and interest payment to be eligible. You do not have to be behind in your payments or in default to qualify, but this bill is not the golden parachute it has been characterized to be in the mainstream media.

Before you can get one of these FHA loans your current lender must agree to take a maximum of 90% of the current market value of your home in full satisfaction plus pay 3% of the current loan balance as a fee to FHA. If you have a home equity line of credit (HELOC) on your home it must be retired before you can get that FHA "rescue" loan. Worse than that, borrowers will have to pay a 1.5% fee annually to FHA, which is the same raising the interest rate on the loan by 1.5%. After the loan closes, you are not allowed to get a new HELOC without prior permissions of the FHA and it can only be obtained if the proceeds of the HELOC is used exclusively for home improvements or maintenance and the CLTV does not exceed 95% of the current market value of the property.

Does this rescue bill sound like a bailout for lenders or borrowers to you?

And the winners are...
Bank of America Corp., JPMorgan Chase and Co., Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Pacific Investment Management Co.’s Bill Gross.

Losers in the bill include shareholders of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, who may see their equity wiped out if the U.S. Treasury uses its new authority to take over the government- sponsored companies. Fannie and Freddie shares have fallen more than 70 percent in New York Stock Exchange composite trading this year. And of course, the borrowers whom thought relief was coming to them.

Regardless and sadly, our country is almost broke and insolvent. Here is an interesting video to watch.-->> http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j7MCohPgkXo

Alexius, Miami FL

29

Posted by guest, Jul 28, 2008 3:35PM

Here is what Ron Paul thinks about it-->>
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wy6SlUpbnIU

11
Posted by guest, Jul 28, 2008 12:17PM
Does anyone know what Ron Paul thinks of this bill?

Alexius. Miami FL

30

Posted by guest, Jul 28, 2008 4:31PM

The game will be over in September, so this Bill will be "a dollar short and a month late" to do any good anyway. Which from what I read into your story it would only make things worse, by throwing more good money after bad.

It's very sad to be watching this happen, it kind of feels like we are all in a big raft and we have just passed the point of "No Return" and are headed down the rapids to the water fall end.

Hang on, here we go!

Jim, U.S. / Australian Citizen
Gold Coast, Australia

31

Posted by guest, Jul 28, 2008 4:37PM

SEC. 3081, Sub-section (b)....pop quiz...what is the certain automovtive partnership which:

(i) was formed effective on August 3, 2007, and

(ii) will produce in excess of 675,000 automobiles during the period beginning on January 1, 2008, and ending on June 30, 2008.


AND

what does it mean for that concern...

32

Posted by guest, Jul 28, 2008 4:51PM

Merrill Lynch & Co Inc last week estimated that a 2009 deficit topping $500 billion, combined with the government's normal financing operations, would require the Treasury to sell about $1 trillion in debt next year, a task they called "daunting."

33

Posted by guest, Jul 28, 2008 5:07PM

I understand the issue with HUD and the down-payment assistance programs. Does not anyone else understand that they account for at least 30% of todays real-estate market. Not that I am for them, but given the current market it appears to just send the market over the edge? Does anyone else see this as problem? Twnety years in the business and doing everything right just doesn't seem to be enough anymore. Anyone need a tug boat captain? I need a real job. SOSBOSS

34

Posted by Finnegan, Jul 28, 2008 6:14PM

This bill is not quite the give-away that the post implies, but why let details obscure ideology.

The block grants and raising of loan limits for Fannie/Freddie are NOT ideal, so certainly both those items increase risk or waste and can be knocked.

In terms of creating an explicit government guarantee, that was only making clear the obvious, so it's moot.

Everything else in the bill seems to be funded via fees, limits on who can qualify, give backs of profits on gains, and other requirements.

By October absolutely no homeowner will be saved by the bill...too little too late with those most in need least likely to be competent enough to take advantage.

As to Federal guarantees of the GSE's, the alternative to not making an explicit guarantee is to argue that we do nothing and let those entities collapse. That won't be permitted in any sort of odd utopia other than that found in the limited imaginations of certain libertarian leaning enthusiasts.

35

Posted by guest, Jul 28, 2008 7:48PM

I agree: This will bail out zero homedebtors! Even for those who qualify and want to jump these hoops, the banks will trot out some high appraisal close to the price they bought it for.

I had read some of the bill. Much of it is incomprehensible. I have to laugh though that it applies to mortgages taken out no later than June 2007, yet I also read in the news that legislators are horrified to learn (a little late) that some of these agencies (I forget which) say it will take a good year to implement the changes.

LOL!

36

Posted by guest, Jul 28, 2008 9:46PM

@33
Being a tug boat captain won't do you any good. The new proposed rules of the EPA will make all internal combustion engines illegal the day the regulations pass.
At that point all lawnmowers, cars, trucks, construction equipment, boats and ships and power plants will be illegal under their rules and we will have to beg for permission to use our assets and they'll tax us to oblivion(to hell with the bill of rights and illegal takings and the fact that Congress is supposed to impose taxes,not the EPA).
The EPA career men and women who cannot be fired and do not answer to anyone will control(read stop) all commerce at that point.
But the White House shouldn't interfere when they come out with regulations to completely destroy the economy. Beurocrats are always right aren't they?

37

Posted by guest, Jul 29, 2008 3:14AM

@31
NOT quite certain but maybe the "Automotive Partnership" is this?

http://www.spp.gov/pdf/spp_atpcpressrelease_33006.pdf

38

Posted by guest, Jul 29, 2008 11:48AM

So wait, what happened to the $7,000 Tax Credit for buying a foreclosure? This was discussed back in April or May. Is this included in the bill? Some are saying yes while some are saying no.

If it is, what happens if a first time home buyer buys a property in foreclosure? They get $14,500? Wow!

Can anyone shed some light on this?

39

Posted by guest, Jul 30, 2008 12:56PM

Anyone care to comment on the rumours about how "all credit card transactions will now be reported to the IRS" As a result of some fine print buried on page xxiv of this bill?

Seems to me the ramifications are as follows:

Internet sales and not paying sales tax in your state, a big loophole will be closed as states will request this info from the feds!

Selling stuff on EBay, and not paying taxes will become a thing of the past. Ditto on EBay's Paypal pain in the keester, makes tracking of sales and purchases much easier....before I bought everything on EBay with money orders and bypassed their Paypal BS.

Buying gold/silver coins or bullion as a hedge against inflation will now be subject to capital gains, because if you sell it to a coin shop at some point, and they report it if the transaction is over $3,000 to the IRS, then you are screwed, because the IRS knew when you bought it.

Debit cards may be exempt from this reporting requirement for the time being, but I invite comment from others as I have not fully delved into this issue.

- signed, a geologist from Ohio

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