Henry Paulson focused on market discipline yesterday, saying we need reforms that would allow the unwinding of failed financial institutions. Speaking at Chatham House, the British think tank, on the financial markets and regulation, Paulson said that the Treasury Department and other policymakers were focused on "the immediate turmoil," seeking to promote market stability and minimizing the negative impact of stresses in the capital markets. However, further regulatory reforms, such as the Blueprint put out by the Treasury in March, were also necessary, both to fix problems exposed recently and to head off future problems.
Paulson delivered an accurate state-of-the-union on the financial markets, commenting on deleveraging and noting that US and UK financial institutions had recapitalized greater than 95% of their losses to date. Frankly, It's nice to see a policy maker so-grounded in the reality-base community.
CNBC focused on oil prices and housing, which were two of the three "headwinds" that he identified as facing the US economy. But Paulson's speech emphasized the third headwind, turmoil in the capital markets. Paulson spoke about oil only briefly, including stating that high crude prices were likely to "prolong our economic slowdown." On housing, he stated that his policy was "to avoid preventable foreclosures" while also allowing the correction in order to stabilize prices. From our vantage it looked like advice to Congress to avoid tampering with the housing market with taxpayer dollars, while acknowledging that some amount of these mortgages require workouts for an optimal economic outcome.
The focus of Paulson's speech was the need for market discipline and how to achieve this in reforms of the regulatory structure. "Too complicated to fail" was the chief target; he called for better regulation in derivatives and other steps to reduce counterparty risk from a failing financial firm and cut down on systemic risk that a firm's collapse would pose.
Allowing financial firms to fail is a key aim of Paulson's reforms. He stated a desire for regulators to have the necessary tools at their disposal to both reduce the risks posed to market stability by failure and also to "facilitate an orderly failure." Criticizing the limited number of options available at the present, such as the Fed's lender-of-last-resort powers, he tipped his hat to the changes due for the Bank of England, which gains remit over market stability and the new resolution regime for financial firms. His proposals for regulatory reform won't pass Congress this year, but this speech effectively focused the debate on ways that "too big to fail" and moral hazard can be mitigated.
One question: what exactly was Paulson doing giving a speech in London so close to Independence Day? He even praised the Bank of England. Suspicious!
--Senior patriotism correspondent Andrew.






Posted by BottomFellOut , Jul 03, 2008 9:39AM
Yeah Paulson has been committed to the strong US dollar for the past 2 years...overseeing the greatest run on the US$ in history.
He is a fool and he had a critical role in Bear Stearns and tries to undo the moral hazard he created.
Posted by guest , Jul 03, 2008 9:43AM
I am SO sick of hearing about freakin' "headwinds" I could puke! Can't they diversify their vocabulary a bit?
On a side note: THE MOST ANNOYING thing about CNBC, besides the obvious, is that it always sounds like there is someone breathing heavy into the microphones. Drives me nuts... makes me watch Bloomberg. Anyone else notice this?
Posted by guest , Jul 03, 2008 9:46AM
@BottomFellOut,
What suggestions do you have? Just calling Paulsen a fool isn't good enough.
BTW, BottomFellOut = Good Name. I like it.
Posted by guest , Jul 03, 2008 9:50AM
@9:43,
Speaking of Bloomberg, I have the hots for Kathleen Hays. She turns my timber turgid.
Posted by StMarc , Jul 03, 2008 9:51AM
"Have you been talkin' about the Queen's Bank again, Paul?"
*kicks him in the nuts*
"On... INDEPENDENCE DAY?"
Now Little Bill, sonofabitch that he was, knew how to handle people who don't display the proper respect.
M
Posted by guest , Jul 03, 2008 10:16AM
Hey Hank, You wanna see financial firms fail? Just have Gasbagarumor report on them. A guaranteed misstatement of the facts, a complete misunderstanding of the economics and a total distortion of reality. They don't call him the Wind Breaker (as opposed to News Breaker) for nothin!
Posted by guest , Jul 03, 2008 10:20AM
Who is Andrew and why should we believe his expert opinion that Paulson's comments are "accurate" ?
Posted by guest , Jul 03, 2008 10:26AM
Let's be straight here. Does Hank really care about other firms failing? It's all in the grander scheme of world domination by Goldman Sachs.
Posted by John Carney , Jul 03, 2008 10:26AM
He's our brilliant Texan summer intern. There's no reason you should ever believe anyone's expert opinion. Expertise is overrated. He offers his opinion but you still have to make up your own mind. Try it! I promise it feels nice.
Posted by Anal_yst , Jul 03, 2008 10:31AM
Carney how many interns did you guys "hire"? Where are they from, what is their full name so we can google the sh!t out of them and subsequently harass them as we do you/bess/etc (RIP Keith)
Posted by guest , Jul 03, 2008 10:37AM
@9:50
LOL. I'll have to show my husband her! He can't stand the other talking heads on Bloomberg, especially Julie Hymen (her name and her snaggle teeth).
Posted by guest , Jul 03, 2008 12:35PM
Hays schmays... Scarlet Fu is teh hottie. Hell, how can you not love some b*@ch whose last name is spelt F U !
Posted by BottomFellOut , Jul 03, 2008 12:43PM
thanks guest @9:46 - it was a name inspired by a few wardrobe misfunctions and a few hedge fund blow ups followed by housing, credit and credit default swaps, the US$ and now the global stock markets.
Posted by BottomFellOut , Jul 03, 2008 12:43PM
thanks guest @9:46 - it was a name inspired by a few wardrobe malfunctions and a few hedge fund blow ups followed by housing, credit and credit default swaps, the US$ and now the global stock markets.
Posted by guest , Jul 03, 2008 3:21PM
Leave Hank alone!1!! I used to work for Mr Paulson. Well... several levels down the chain @ GS. That is, I was a non-officer lateral-hire with no future in the company, which turned out to be correct. Hank is simply carrying forward to the financial system his successful GS strategy of managing-out those who are not worthy of his love.