Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac May Halt Dividends on Losses (Bloomberg)
The sacredness of the almighty dividend is really something impressive. You can string together years of losses and marketshare gains, and only now be cutting your dividend (GM). Or you can be, for all intents and purposes, a failed bank, and still folks talk about how you "may" cut your dividend (Fannie and Freddie). Let's hope that before the Treasury bails them out by buying stock or whatever the heck they're going to do, the two mortgage firms at least decide to hold onto the existing cash they already have.
AOL talks with Microsoft and Yahoo heat up (Reuters)
Everybody knows that AOL is waiting in the wings on some kind of a deal. People have been constructing scenarios for the Time Warner-owned portal could fit into both Yahoo and Microsoft, and to some extent, it does make sense with both of them. And now, with MSFT and YHOO and looking less and less likely, Reuters says AOL is talking intensely to both companies. What that means is unclear. But whatever, they're talking.
GM aims to keep automaker afloat (Detroit Free Press)
The car market continues to tank pretty hard. GM has announced a new wave of cost cutting and initiatives, which is pretty wild when you think about it, since that's all they've been doing for the last several years. Even Toyota keeps ratcheting back their estimates in the US, which is why they haven't quite taken over the top spot, just quite yet. Good news for our hometown Detroit though: A company called K-Dow Petrochemical plans to make the D its headquarters, and will employ 800 people.
Goldman Is Queried About Bear's Fall (WSJ)
This is silly. So it seems that Goldman, mainly because they haven't gotten hit too hard in the credit mess, is now taking flack from fallen rivals that have. Both Alan Schwartz and Dick Fuld have pinged CEO Lloyd Blankenfein to inquire about rumors, that Goldman traders manipulated prices in their shares. Obviously Goldman denied wrongdoing, but seriously, what good is it to go down these roads now, and make these accusations. Maybe they should ask why Goldman's stock price hasn't been manipulated downward. Seriously, all this talk has to end before this mess can go to rest.
Seeing Oil Bubble, a Contrarian Bets on an Indian Airline (NYT)
An interesting discussion of Wilbur Ross' $80 million investment in Indian airline SpiceJet, ostensibly predicated on the idea that oil prices will contract sharply: "The fundamentals don't justify an oil price over $100" a barrel, Mr. Ross said. "It is the nature of bubbles that they expand farther and last longer than anyone logically imagined" he said, but "they always reverse."
Making Sense Of Dichotomy (AVC)
Fred Wilson talks econ, and tries to unpack the dichotomy: stocks in the toilet, along with most other major indictors, while at the same time the businesses he works with are growing like crazy. Certainly the type of company he's prone to invest in has a lot to do with this. Worth a read for his thoughts.
Overreacting to a Computer Beating Poker Pros (Freakonomics)
Steve Levitt is right: the fact that a computer beat a pro in heads up, limit-hold'em does not mean that poker has been "solved" by any stretch. As he notes, there's an elemant of luck in poker, which means folks like us could beat Chris Ferguson every once in a while. The same couldn't be said if we went up against Anatoly Karpov. Second: limit hold 'em is far less rand or variable than the more popular no limit, which requires much more 'feel". Limit hold 'em can be pretty methodical and broken down mathemtically, because the betting ranges are finite. And it's one-on-one poker, which is again, breaking things down quite simplistically. When you can stick a computer into a ring game with a group of pros playing a no limit cash game, then we'll see where they stand.






Posted by guest , Jul 16, 2008 7:27AM
SEC Moves to Curb Short-Selling
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB121614248005255151.html?mod=hpp_us_whats_news
This sounds like some shit they would do in china. Reminds of when the bank of england tried to defend the pound of against Soros. This is should only encourage short sellers further. Cox should just ask Hanky P to allow all shares of Fannie to be put to Treasury at $10, and be done with it. The fact that the government has to defend these stocks only implies their weakness.
Posted by guest , Jul 16, 2008 7:41AM
Actually Pakistan curbed short-selling recently.
Posted by guest , Jul 16, 2008 7:43AM
http://www.zimbio.com/South+Asia+Investor+Review/articles/48/Karachi+Stocks+Rally+after+Ban+Short+Selling
How to bring the market up.....
Posted by american bandersnatch , Jul 16, 2008 8:33AM
I love that you still have the "Centaurus Loss?" in the middle of the page. Arnold's only up 100% this year, so clearly his fund is looking wobbly.
Posted by ab , Jul 16, 2008 8:57AM
I don't understand why everybody wants to buy AOL - who uses AOL anymore? Pretty sure I stopped getting those free CDs in the mail 10 years ago.
Posted by guest , Jul 16, 2008 9:12AM
for all you non-us citizens/residents poker beaten pros...
http://www.stanjames.com/games/index.asp
holdem foldem
Posted by guest , Jul 16, 2008 9:14AM
aol bought Quigo a few months back - could have been a good move on their part, to drum up MSFT interest in their broader package, by having the ad delivery stuff
Posted by guest , Jul 16, 2008 9:35AM
There is really an airline called "SpiceJet"?
"If you want to go to India,
you gotta fly my jet ..."
Posted by guest , Jul 16, 2008 9:40AM
It's silly how many fawning sycophants in the financial media treat Goldman as if they walk on water. Re-read "When Genius Failed" and you'll realize that this is probably not the first time that Goldman played underhanded tricks when other firms on the Street were in trouble. it's also a matter of record that their "legendary" traders also felt no compunction about trading on inside information when the Treasury decided to discontinue issuing 30-year bonds a few years ago. Wake up.
Posted by guest , Jul 16, 2008 9:44AM
not so silly actually... spreadings rumors that push banks over the edge, and cause panic in the markets is a criminal offense and should be monitored more closely. This has nothing to do with GS' profitability... Anyone concerned with the financial sector, or the US economy for that matter, should take this seriously. Short-selling is abosolutely necessary for an efficient market, but attempting to manipulate the market through organized trading and and/or rumors is a very different thing.
Posted by guest , Jul 16, 2008 9:45AM
not so silly actually... spreadings rumors that push banks over the edge, and cause panic in the markets is a criminal offense and should be monitored more closely. This has nothing to do with GS' profitability... Anyone concerned with the financial sector, or the US economy for that matter, should take this seriously. Short-selling is abosolutely necessary for an efficient market, but attempting to manipulate the market through organized trading and and/or rumors is a very different thing.
Posted by miami , Jul 16, 2008 11:19AM
1) It is silly, repeating a rumor someone told you that you don't know is false is prima facie legal. It's called the First Amendment in this country.
1a) BSC was in huge trouble, and would've filed for bankruptcy if JPM didn't step in. They weren't rumors, they were facts.
2) The funniest part of Rounders is Damon quitting Law school and turning pro because he bluffed Johnny Chan in ONE HAND of poker. OMG!
That's like hitting a 20' shot over Kobe and thinking you're going right to the NBA.
Posted by guest , Jul 16, 2008 11:22PM
@11:19
you're an idiot. forget bsc, this is every bank in the country, not one instance of poor management and/or past decisions. does the whole us banking system deserve to collapse? every bank is under short attack. evidenced by the rally today after pulling out the stops on naked shorting of financials.
-VP of BB IB