Opening Bell: 7.2.08

infinitysymbols.jpgMicrosoft Seeks Deal Allies (WSJ)
Just end already! Seriously! The latest version of the MSFT-YHOO story, which changes on a daily basis, is that Microsoft is seeking partners to revisit some kind of deal. You can pick your poison on who those partners would be. News Corp. and Time Warner are the obvious ones. You could even throw in GE, Comcast and maybe a PE firm like Bain as long as you feel like playing the parlor game.

Starbucks to Shut More Stores (WSJ)
So Starbucks is actually shutting down stores. Not that many, mind you. It's just 500, which is as many as they have in some medium-sized cities. Still, it's an admission that they overbuilt, something the market realized a lot earlier. Hey, remember a couple summers ago, when Starbucks said it had weak earnings, because lines were too long. Here's where we wrote about it, on August 4, 2006. That really was a total line of rubbish wasn't it?

Moody's Says Workers Rated Some Securities Incorrectly (NYT)
And they would have gotten away with it too, if it were for those darn market forces.

June car sales plummet; more declines expected (AP)
It's never too early to look back on recent history. And in fact, early July -- the beginning of q3 already -- is the best time to do it. So yeah, June car sales were bad bad bad. Even Drudge had a screamer about them. But the good news for you pro-America types is that GM held of Toyota, extending its run probably by one more month, maybe too. It's super obvious by this point, but the American automakers' big-car strategy hasn't helped: "Ford sold 41 percent fewer of its perennial best-seller, the F-series pickup truck, and it sold fewer than half the number of Explorer SUVs as it did in June 2007. George Pipas, Ford's top sales analyst, said SUV sales are probably down for good."

CDO Creators Seek Redemption, and Profits, From Mortgage Market (Bloomberg)
Managers who rode the CDO/mortgage mess on the way down are looking to stay on the rollercoaster for the upswing. Bloomberg notes a high correlation here for the hedge funds raising money aggressively to invest in home debt. Here's the spin from one CDO manager: "``Despite what's been said about CDOs, having a background with the securities is a positive... We have experience managing the underlying mortgage assets, which is where we are seeing the opportunities.''

Blockbuster abandons Circuit City acquisition (Thomson Reuters)
Good. This never really made any sense and the market let Blockbuster know that by punishing its stock. Granted, Blockbuster is on a long, slow decline into irrelevance, but that's, well, irrelevant for now. Buying Circuit City, whose performance declined materially just since Blockbuster made its bid, never made any sense. And the notion of combining some media retailer with electronics was beyond ludicrous. Now probably some PE firm will come pick up CC for a few dimes.

The Big Bang: More Firearms, Less Ammunition (Metal Miner)
So you know about the Supreme Court ruling striking down handgun rulings. Perhaps now the opponents of gun use will embrace the free market. Evidently, with the cost of metal soaring, ammunition prices are way up. Some types of bullets have seen a 3x increase. And of course that has a dampening effect on the desire to buy and use bullets --- probably it's a lot more effective than any actual laws.

Interview With Barney Pell and Ramez Naam About Microsoft's Powerset Acquisition: Integration By End Of Year (TechCrunch)
It's such a small deal, that Microsoft didn't even bother putting out a formal release, but yesterday it acquired Powerset, a hypey search startup working in the area of "semantic" or "natural language" search. Rumored price is about $100 million, and it's mainly about adding some technology to Microsoft's own also, also-ran Live Search. Anyway, TechCrunch has an interview with Powerset founder Barney Pell and Microsoft's Ramez Naam. Might be worth reading if you're interested in this market.

Comments

Posted by guest, Jul 02, 2008 7:55AM

you need to learn how to spell.

Posted by big r, Jul 02, 2008 8:18AM

as chris rock would say...

"Gun control? We need bullet control! I think every bullet should cost 5,000 dollars. Because if a bullet cost five thousand dollar, we wouldn't have any innocent bystander."

Posted by guest, Jul 02, 2008 8:19AM

An ammo price increase equals gun control? Yes if you are goal is decreasing legal guns owners firing at the range. For gangbangers and Gambinos? Not so much, cost o doing business. Pass it on to the customer.

Posted by guest, Jul 02, 2008 8:20AM

Joe, I hope you were drunk when you spell checked this

Posted by guest, Jul 02, 2008 8:27AM

dude i dont know how much you think gangbangers make but there is no way the gangbanging industry could accomodate $5000 bullets.

Posted by ab, Jul 02, 2008 8:40AM

substitution effect - just wait for the inevitable coming wave of bow-and-arrow drive-by's

Posted by guest, Jul 02, 2008 8:45AM

I think the other guest was trying to say they wouldn't buy the bullets in the first place. Atleast not like you and me. They'd steal 'em, or have to become gun shop owners for easy access to bullets (or, start learning how to use a sword). Under the owner model, it often would be the case that the use of the bullet would bring in more revenue than the cost of taking it from your own store. All violent gun crimes that wouldn't satisfy that criteria would decrease almost completely.

I don't pay for bullets. I print bullets.

Posted by guest, Jul 02, 2008 8:48AM

A bullet is relatively easy to make in your own home.

Posted by guest, Jul 02, 2008 8:52AM

Probably true. The only flaw in the Chris Rock policy.

Posted by guest, Jul 02, 2008 9:11AM

[clenches teeth] Oh dear, chelsea, what'll we do! the starbux is closing! where will we get our lattes? quickly, rush down there and buy that BMW espresso machine...

Posted by guest, Jul 02, 2008 9:13AM

@845

"I print bullets."

I have no interest in the discussion that spawned it, but that's almost a great line.

I print laser beams, myself.

Posted by guest, Jul 02, 2008 9:14AM

*pew* *pew*

Posted by guest, Jul 02, 2008 9:25AM

Who caers abought spellingg? As long as you git the poinnt.

Posted by guest, Jul 02, 2008 9:28AM

@ 8:48.

Correct. Couple that with a solid reloader and it all becomes a moot point.

Posted by Joseph di Jersey City, Jul 02, 2008 9:38AM

@8:48 Loading one's own ammo is fairly easy and actually costs quite a bit less than buying it from a store once the equipment is paid for.

The original article is silly in terms of current ammo prices deterring criminals. For example, 50 rounds of .45 ACP cost about $25 for the cheap stuff. Even if you're a terrible shot that's not much a deterrent. The higher costs only impact legal recreational shooting, as would a 1,000% ammo tax, as proposed by a number of Democrats over the years. Gun control is almost always supported by people who know very little about firearms and even less about human nature.

Posted by guest, Jul 02, 2008 10:01AM

hmmm...Starbucks laying off. Lots of Wall Streeters were counting on that as a fallback career...

Posted by guest, Jul 02, 2008 11:37AM

If you're going to print laser beams, you might as well strap them to some sharks - in case the power supply runs out, you still have some "backup" a la Jaws.

--Calgary Schmooze

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