The Risks Of China: Video Site Goes Dark

A group of investors in Chinese internet company got a rough lesson in the risks of doing business in the unpredictable and politically influenced business environment there. On Thursday, a website called 56.com went down without explanation. 56.com, which was one of three websites seeking to become the "Youtube of China," had received funding from Sequoia Capital and Disney's Steamboat Ventures. It had recently entered into a partnership with the National Basketball Association.

Senior executives at the company have not commented on the site's outage. A message on the site mentions a "server upgrade" in Mandarin. Many believe that the Chinese government shut down the site.


Years ago, before we built DealBreaker, we worked for clients providing acquisition funding for the purchase by a Chinese company buying a part of a major US tech company. The funding was collateralized by assets in China. Everyone involved realized that the collateral was likely worthless because it was uncollectible. The odds were very long that a Chinese court would ever allow western banks and hedge funds to take possession of high-tech Chinese manufacturing assets from a company partially-owned by the Chinses government.

This provided only minimally influential, however. In part, those providing the funding just weren't too worked up about the collateral. The company seemed likely to be able to pay off its debts, in part because of the backing of the government. But even more important, funding Chinese acquisitions of western companies was seen as a way to make inroads into the Chinese markets and win favor with the government.

Perhaps equally important, the deal was struck while the buyout boom was running very strong and credit was loose and easily available. We got the distinct feeling that many of the banks who were funding the loans thought that rules about collateral were silly. The banks made money on the loan origination fees and viewed their real downside protection as being able to sell to vulture funds that invest in distressed debt. Collateral was just old fashioned, something that needed to be in place for accounting reasons.

Even with the news of 56.com getting shut down, investor appetite for Chinese companies has hardly batted an eye (to mix clichés and metaphors). As Alley Insider put it, "the potential upside is so great, there seem to be plenty still willing to roll the dice."

A Chinese YouTube Disappears, Along With Millions Of Western Dollars. Next?
[Alley Insider]

Comments

1

Posted by guest , Jul 07, 2008 10:15AM

WHAT CHINESSE PEOPLE ARE SAYING IS

ASS QUICK ASS QUICK ASS QUICK!

which is a deformation of the Shakespearian english term of EARTHQUAKE

I guess the ass quick, as they say brought down the website.
or
probably the bunch of chinesse guys were watching too much ass in porn videos and that is why the government decided they should not have this kind of influence from the evil west.
Obviously this was another kind of ass
they were talking about.
or
bad karma as the great intelectual Sharon Stone said once.

I let you to decide which of the three options above was the real reason.


2

Posted by guest , Jul 07, 2008 10:22AM

You loser. Learn how to spell and write grammatically correct sentences.

3

Posted by guest , Jul 07, 2008 10:23AM

You loser. Learn how to spell and write grammatically correct sentences.

4

Posted by guest , Jul 07, 2008 10:23AM

You loser. Learn how to spell and write grammatically correct sentences.

5

Posted by diablo , Jul 07, 2008 10:28AM

This is the problem with China, you think you paid enough bribes to get started, then they hit you for more, and then more...

6

Posted by BlackSwan06 , Jul 07, 2008 10:54AM

this is the problem with blindly charging into markets where the rules of the game are not fully understood and appreciated, and when political/regulatory risk factors aren't built into models at a level where people use it in their decision making, unless totally okay with a total loss... which in some cases, they are.

7

Posted by guest , Jul 07, 2008 11:10AM

Sam Zell said it best at a conference I attended - he said he's in China and trading 5 years of obscene profits for the complete uncertainty of law. Basically, he said that anyone who expects to "own" (as we in the U.S. think of the concept) anything there for longer than that is smoking something.

8

Posted by Anal_yst , Jul 07, 2008 11:12AM

Can't wait to see some of the sure-to-be silly antics the government pulls at/during the olympics, combined with nutjob protestors, it should be at least as, if not more entertaining than the actual sports

9

Posted by Joseph di Jersey City , Jul 07, 2008 11:23AM

I feel so bad for those who voluntarily do business with totalitarian governments and then lose their money. I want to cry for 56.com but the tears just won't come.

10

Posted by guest , Jul 07, 2008 1:55PM

Typical...

11

Posted by guest , Jul 07, 2008 6:10PM

Its plot by Dalai Lama to destroy glorious China economy with 56.com propaganda video upload. We execute more monks to fix this. And maybe protest against Japanese too.

12

Posted by Finnegan , Jul 07, 2008 6:26PM

Uhm, this piece is much pontification about nothing given that we don't know exactly what happened.

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