Opening Bell: 8.18.08

pervezmusharraf.jpgMusharraf Is Resigning (WSJ)
This has been expected. Pakistani President Peverz Musharraf is resigning. The resignation comes as impeachment charges were set to begin, but, alas, Musharraf wanted to do what was right for the country, even though he felt he would've beaten the charges (no idea on that). More from NDTV and the Economic Times of India, which notes that Pakistani shares spiked 4.5 percent on the news. Does anyone know how much that is in dollars?

Media coverage of the economy lags, study finds (AP)
Amusing: A report from The Project for Excellence in Journalism maintains that the news media is behind the curve when it comes to reporting on the economy. Much of it has to do with over-reliance on government data, which is, itself, often behind the times. Perhaps you'd expect otherwise, but we'll cut the newsmedia some slack. Most journalists don't really have the wherewithall, the time, or intelligence to be ahead of the curve economically. Sure you have some standouts, like whoever it was at the FT that warned about subprime a year early. Or those of us here at Dealbreaker that said options backdating was a load of hot air. But really, such cases will always be few and far between. If you want to have a cutting edge understanding of the economy, it's highly unlikely that the news media will ever be your best avenue -- nor should it be.

Home Depot May Say Annual Profit Will Fall More Than Forecast (Bloomberg)
A preview of Home Depot's earnings report on tap for tomorrow: The basic gist: Despite the recent rally in Home Depot shares (they've bounced 28 percent, not bad), the housing slump is still the housing slump and results may still be pretty weak. Then again, as Cramer says, the market is telling us that in 9 months housing will be back, so no need to worry about today.

A Surprise Winner at the Olympic Games in Beijing: NBC (NYT)
Prediction: This next week is going to suck for NBC. Sure the first week was really great, with stellar ratings, as everyone tuned in to watch Michael Phelps get a gold night in and night out. This week, what's to watch for? All the marquee track and field events are on tape delay. And besides, it looks like the US is going to suck wind in 'em. Out of the two 100m dashes, we got one bronze medal.

Predict Olympic medal counts on Yoopick (Oddhead Blog)
We've been doing lots of thinking about the Olympic Medal count. We still believe that total medals, regardless of denomination is the way to go. Though your mileage may vary on that. Also, sounds like there's some Facebook app for prediction, mentioned above -- we'll be curious how that ultimately turns out. Also, thought this post was interesting. It's about an economist that uses stuff like the GDP to predict medal counts. Interesting, but we're skeptical.

MS and Goldman change approach to lending (FT)
This says something about Goldman and Morgan Stanley taking a more cautious approach towards lending to hedge funds. Sounds like pretty good timing.

'Dark Knight' Still Ablaze in Fourth Week...(Box Office Mojo)
Dark Knight's holding power is pretty impressive, especially in this day and age, where films usually die at the box office in about two weeks. The film has now grossed about $472 million, making it the second domestic box office haul of all time, after Titanic. Of course, that's nominal. Inflation adjusted, it's in 39th. Right behind. Beverly Hills Cop.

Comments

1

Posted by Finnegan, Aug 18, 2008 7:50AM

Box office: On the other hand, in terms of box office, the numbers would be totally different if you knocked out the multiple releases of the older films, which distort all the numbers. You end up basically measuring popularity, plus inflation, plus time... and the new films don't have that time value or re-release value yet.

Medal Count: I would buy the argument of a relationship between medal count and economics (or rather, resources)...kind of a general correlation. If you have enough money (like trillions in reserves), and the will (communist in all things not money related), and have the bodies (billions), and time (to train, sift for the best athletes) you can pretty much form whatever result you like. More power to them. I've no problem with Chinese winning more golds, or winning outright. It might make us more reflective of how the world is shifting and what to do about it (as in not being economically irresponsible).

2

Posted by guest, Aug 18, 2008 8:33AM

Deep thoughts for so early on a Monday morning in August.

3

Posted by guest, Aug 18, 2008 9:14AM

The ideal way to look at things would be to do some kind of weighted average - like 5 points for gold, 3 for silver and 1 for bronnze.

Also, team medals should get more weightage than individual medals.

4

Posted by guest, Aug 18, 2008 9:41AM

we will only count medals from swimming. nothing else counts... otherwise nbc would have live-broadcast them.

5

Posted by Joe Weisenthal, Aug 18, 2008 9:59AM

It's ridiculous to suggest that a gold medal be worth 5x (or four points more than) a bronze. Given that the vast majority of contestants in any sport don't even medal, there has to be more of a reward (relative to gold) for just getting on the podium.

6

Posted by guest, Aug 18, 2008 10:02AM

Let me put in a pitch for the Barney's warehouse sale. Good stuff there. You'll look like an MD at analyst prices. Lots of Hickey, Boss, Varvatos, Lanvin, Piatelli - basically something for every body type. Wear your boxers or gym shorts so you can try on in the aisles - lots of you boys were doing so yesterday afternoon, which was an added bonus. GAnalYst

7

Posted by guest, Aug 18, 2008 10:46AM

Joe, the 5X was just a suggestion - you may chose to disagree witht he exact weightage.

However, you view - "We still believe that total medals, regardless of denomination is the way to go." - doesn't make any sense. There has to be a difference between some country winning 10 golds and some country winning 11 bronzes. They are not the same thing.

8

Posted by guest, Aug 19, 2008 1:32AM

I agree #7.
Gold medal is equivalent to being the best, the champion!
Silver =is like "I screwed, I have to work on my weaknesses or train some more.I hope the gold medalist will retire".
Bronze = " I tried my best but there are two people better than me. Bronze is better than nothing.I won't go home empty handed".

My take is whichever country gathered more Golds is the Olympic winner.

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