Fed Joins Global Rate Cut, Trims Rate 50 Basis Points (CNBC.com)
At long last, the Fed cut rates this morning, by half a percentage point. To be honest, they had no choice: the Hong Kong Monetary Authority, Bank of England, and European Central Bank all cut rates by half a percentage point today. At one point, HKMA lowered its rate-spread over the federal funds rate to 50 bps, from 150 bps.
US STOCKS-Futures leap as central banks slash rates (Reuters)
Given that stock futures were in a funk before the Fed came and saved the morning, it will be interesting to see if a sustainable rally holds up today. It's also worth remembering that the short-selling ban comes off today: you can speculatively sell Goldman Sachs now! [Ed: OK, well, technically not until tomorrow since I am reminded the ban comes off at 11.59 pm] This could actually have an upside affect, as funds are encouraged to buy financials again, knowing they can now hedge some downside out. S&P futures are jumping 28 points, Dow futures are climbing 173 points, and Nasdaq futures are up 36 points.
Asian markets crumble, Nikkei 225 dives 9.4% (Marketwatch)
We knew it was going to be bad in Asia today, but not this bad. Japan's Nikkei tumbled 9.4%, to 9,203.32; Hong Kong dropped 8.2%, to 15,431.73 (more than a 2-year low); Indonesia lost more than 10%. "I don't think anybody has seen anything like this before, except those who are over 75 years old and have seen the Great Depression," says Dale Tsang from Imperial Dragon Asset Management. Despite the woes, Mitsubishi itself is now saying that it's still buying that stake in Morgan, which to be honest, it probably will. Don't believe the rumors.
Volvo Cars To Lay Off Another 3,300 Employees (DJ via CNN Money)
More layoffs in the automotive sector. There's some thinking among market participants that the Fed's new ability to lend to corporations may well start (and end, according to bears) with U.S. car manufacturers.
UK government steps in to help banks (AP)
The British government is offering an $87.5 billion package to part-nationalize any banks who need the help, at the same time as it's also offering a $350 billion short-term credit facility. To qualify for the help, you have to have one of the following eight names: Abbey National, Barclays, HBOS, HSBC Bank, Lloyds TSB, Nationwide, RBS or Standard Chartered. My guess is Barclays, Abbey, Nationwide, and maybe RBS will end up taking them up on the offer, while the rest won't. Any other suggestions?
Oil Slumps to 10-Month Low, Metals Tumble on Credit Turmoil (Bloomberg)
The price of black gold is plunging along with the rest of the market: oil is now at around $86, while copper, nickel, and aluminum are all off. The countdown is now on for the first "I want to make a name for myself by calling a random round number" analyst to suggest oil will hit $50 by Christmas. If you spot him or her, e-mail us. Meanwhile, any guesses for how low oil will fall to this year?
Alcoa Profit Falls 52%; Buyback Plan Ends (New York Times)
Looks like it's a gloomy day for the metals guys. With aluminum prices off 32% on the year, Alcoa said its net profit fell short of the street's expectations. It made $268 million last quarter, or 33 cents a share, down about half from the first quarter. MacArthur puts a price target on Alcoa of $25 now, from $46 previously ... though given how out analysts' expectations have been on earnings and performance this month, that's not saying a lot.
Costco Results Benefits From Bargain Hunting (WSJ)
Just when everyone else is thinking that things can't get much worse, Costco's getting the best of the silver lining. Costco Q2 earnings have come in at $397.8 million, or 90 cents a share -- that's around 7% up on the first quarter. Costco says that people's desire to save is the reason for the jump in its sales. Actually, in real recession conditions, you would expect to see a bigger jump than this in earnings of companies such as Costco. The 7% jump probably indicates that people don't feel quite as poor as the media says they do (a story they love reporting, largely because journalists always feel poor).
'Wasn't Us,' Former AIG Chiefs Say (Forbes.com)
If you thought Dick Fuld's testimony to the House Oversight Committee was a little short on a mea culpa, try AIG's chief's yesterday: former CEOs Martin Sullivan, Robert Willumstad, and shareholder and manager Hank Greenburg all claimed the insurance giant's problems were not anything to do with their management style! Actually Greenburg said AIG went under because of Sullivan and Willumstad, while they in turn blamed mark-to-mark accounting rules (which actually, is sort of true).
TCS to Buy Citigroup Arm In India for $505 Million (WSJ)
The Indians have finally got in investment bank bargain-hunting mode. Tata Consultancy is paying $505 million in cash for Citigroup's Indian back offices. In a "separate" deal, Tata is getting a $2.5 billion, 9.5 year contract with Citi. Tata's bid here looks savvy: if there is one area of banks in the whole crisis that has come through relatively unscathed, it's the back offices.
ING Buys 3 Billion Pounds of Deposits From Icelandic Banks (Bloomberg)
Dutch ING to the rescue again! ING is buying $5.24 billion of consumer deposits from Landsbanki. ING, you may remember, bought the debt-saddled Barings in 1994, after trader Nick Leeson brought the British bank down through derivatives bets gone wrong.
Cramer: Don't Sell Forever (TheStreet.com)
After his "I don't want to yell fire in a crowded room ... but FIRE!" speech on national television Monday, Jim Cramer is now saying that investors ought not to sell everything. "When I say sell ... there's still plenty of defensive stocks I like," says Cramer. "I'm a hot button -- there's lots of people who want to take me down at all times, but it's just sport."






Posted by guest , Oct 08, 2008 7:55AM
This is insane.
Posted by guest , Oct 08, 2008 7:57AM
Charlie Gasparino just reported it as a scoop
Barry Ritholtz said inflation is still the biggest worry out there
Posted by guest , Oct 08, 2008 8:00AM
Uh, the short selling ban doesn't come off until 11:59 p.m. ET.
Posted by michange , Oct 08, 2008 8:00AM
Please, admit this is not relevant.
Too bad for you DB kids, the great crunch coming out is in, no rumors needed anymore to undrestand the mess.
Posted by SausageOfDoom , Oct 08, 2008 8:03AM
I'm glad somebody woke Bernanke from his coma.
Posted by guest , Oct 08, 2008 8:27AM
Short squeeze this morning?
Posted by guest , Oct 08, 2008 8:37AM
Can't short until tomorrow numbnuts.
Posted by guest , Oct 08, 2008 8:39AM
effect
Posted by guest , Oct 08, 2008 8:42AM
@4
Hey! Who're you calling kids!
Posted by guest , Oct 08, 2008 8:46AM
@1 yeah, insane. A recession, a liquidity crunch and a rate cut. Mind-bending.
Posted by MarshallStack , Oct 08, 2008 8:49AM
@9
I got proofed at a bar in Boston over the weekend (I was the guy in the Yankees hat) - felt good.
Not for nothing - but did anyone else notice that the Muni market reopened for business yesterday?
Posted by american bandersnatch , Oct 08, 2008 8:53AM
"This could actually have an upside affect", or even an upside effect. Way to take up Joe W.'s mantle.
Posted by MarshallStack , Oct 08, 2008 9:02AM
@7 google "short squeeze"
Posted by guest , Oct 08, 2008 9:04AM
ECB went 50? Fucking joke, tragic comedy. General B should have refused to move unless the Frog when 100. Wasted ammo, and we are running low.
Posted by guest , Oct 08, 2008 9:10AM
@14 The beard shouldn't lowered rates. Credit was down a mere 3%. The reason GM can't sell cars if because they make crappy, expensive, gas guzzling, massive SUVs but they rear seat DVD players and an extra large cup holder for your Slurpee.
Memo to GM: Remember Hoover! He promised a chicken in every pot. But Herbie forgot. Not only didn't we have the chicken, we didn't have the pot.
Posted by Goldman Sachs Neophyte , Oct 08, 2008 9:30AM
@7 you can still short companies, you just can't short certain companies. Please understand that before you call someone a numbnuts.
Posted by diablo , Oct 08, 2008 9:34AM
CDS boys are indifferent to the rate cuts.
TED spread up to more than 4.
It's official: the banks are pushing on a string.
Praise the Lord and pass the ammunition...
Posted by guest , Oct 08, 2008 9:37AM
In a time of Wall Street greed that needs to be re-regulated, it’s time to also issue some new rules for financial journalists:
1) Stop printing pictures of traders looking stressed. The fact is, the market could be up 10% that day and the trader would still look stressed because he’d just received a call from his wife saying she was leaving him for some young Latin guy.
2) Stop writing stories about stupid people, expecting us to feel sorry for them. Articles about the 63-year-old Bear Stearns secretary who’d worked there for 30 years and put all of her retirement savings into BS stock: that’s a stupid person story, and I don’t feel sorry for her.
3) Stop using the word “recession” when you don’t even know what it means. A recession is defined as two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth. In other words, we won’t know we’re in a recession until after the fact. And that hasn’t happened yet.
4) Stop saying this is an economic crisis. I’m still getting paid the same, and gas prices have actually gone done. On that note, I got a great deal on a new pair of khakis at GAP last night. 40% off. This is a credit crisis, evidenced by trader Joe next to me paying more for commercial paper.
Posted by guest , Oct 08, 2008 9:44AM
Warren Buffett did call it a financial Pearl Harbor.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Praise_the_Lord_and_Pass_the_Ammunition
Posted by Goldman Sachs Neophyte , Oct 08, 2008 9:51AM
@18 I agree with you on your second point. If someone puts all of their retirement money into shares of one company, much less the company they work for, that person is a DUMBASS.
Posted by Daniel Harrison , Oct 08, 2008 9:58AM
@ 18 - said better than any financial journalist could say it! We haven't even been in a recession yet this year, but you wouldn't know it from reading the Journal (you'd think we were in a depression already).
Anyway, I posted your comments up for readers of my own blog here: http://www.harrisontalk.com/my_weblog/2008/10/some-new-rules.html
Thanks for reading, and for actually making sense.
Posted by guest , Oct 08, 2008 12:34PM
LoL
love those inflation numbers they used when calculating GDP over those quarters
very narrow definition of recession using only GDP growth, schmucks
evry other stat points to it