UBS Execs Could See Jail Time (NYT)
UBS, after advising top tier clients on how to funnel money into offshore accounts so as to restructure their holdings and minimize their tax burden, have turned their clients over to the Justice Department and IRS for possible tax fraud. I can only see this as weak and thus believe they should spend time in the pokey.
Grow a pair.
AMEX Approved As Bank Holding Company (CNBC)
As you probably heard, American Express's recent woes have led them to file for Bank Holding Company status, under which they'll qualify for TARP money and can issue debt to cover defaulting credit card customers and a rising cost structure.
Fannie Posts 3Q Loss (CNNMoney)
"Troubled mortgage-finance giant Fannie Mae reported on Monday that it lost $29 billion in the most recent quarter, putting the firm closer to having to draw on the $100 billion in taxpayer dollars committed to it in September"
I was under the impression that Fannie Mae was already under the hammer and sickle of sweet mother America?
If you're going to federalize the Mae's, at least turn them into Sovereign Wealth Funds (or one fund, your choice), take a hands off approach, and let it make some money for you. Who knows, you might just be able to save Social Security with the earnings (you'll fuck this up too, I have faith).
Super Bowl Commercials In Trouble, Need Government Assistance (WSJ)
I don't know what people did before awesome Super Bowl commercials, but I can only imagine a world of drab, boring people talking about nothing but football for 4 hours. I love football, don't get me wrong. But venture into the den of some 5 guys sitting around watching the game on any given Sunday and you'll hear, well, next to nothing, except for the occasional statistic and maybe a comment about how we'd bang a cheerleader here or there; nothing of real merit. We like it that way: a void of all intelligence and open permission to drink as much as we want -- that's all in we're looking for out of life for 4 sweet, sweet hours. Oh, and maybe Hot Wings.
The Super Bowl is supposed to be better though: it has hot girls all the time (not just cheerleaders) and dancers, and fireworks, and Commercials. And while we'll forget the Girls' face/body/everything about ten minutes after she's off screen, the better commercials get quoted for the better part of the year, and that's what matters, America.
Don't let the terrorists/mortgage brokers/real estate agents win: Keep the ads.
This Had Me Terrified, But It's Okay: The Radiation Only Hides In The Keg, It Doesn't Live There. (Bloomberg)
It turns out scrap metal radioactivity is a huge problem, but we don't really give a shit. What was worrisome about this was the headline intimating that Radiation was infiltrating our Beer Supply (Bs), which isn't true, but rather a crude marketing scheme by Bloomberg that possibly scared thousands and may have led to at least one suicide.
O Cubed Eyeing Next Purchase (Reuters)
The Majestic himself is eyeing another possible acquisition, this time in Belgian-French Bank Dexia.
"De Tijd said insurers Berkshire Hathaway Assurance and Assured Guaranty were particularly interested in the "healthy" part of FSA -- guaranteeing municipal bonds -- but there were also talks about its riskier activities."
China's Trade Surplus Hits New Record (BBC)
"China's trade surplus rose to $35.2bn (£22.48bn) in October, hitting a record for a third month in a row, data shows."
Regardless, the data released would suggest that China has a waning economy, to the point of economic growth slowing to 9% over the term of the recession. If this is true, it likely means absolutely nothing for American consumers, but my have in impact on our placing Treasuries.
Markets Down Overnight (Bloomberg)
Money shots:
"More than $28 trillion has been erased from the value of global equity markets as credit losses and writedowns topped $920 billion" (since the start of the downturn)
"Futures on the Standard & Poor's 500 Index slid 0.9 percent. Europe's Dow Jones Stoxx 600 Index declined 2.2 percent."... "The MSCI Asia Pacific Index dropped 3.5 percent as Australian business confidence fell to a record low."
"Profits for the 428 companies in the S&P 500 that have reported, including Boeing Co. and AT&T Inc., have shrunk 17 percent, while missing predictions by 4.7 percent."
"Growth in the U.S. economy will slow to 1.1 percent next year, down from 1.6 percent predicted for 2008"
"The International Energy Agency may cut its 2009 oil demand forecast for a third month."
--William Richards






Posted by guest , Nov 11, 2008 8:06AM
sham-wow!
Posted by Anal_yst , Nov 11, 2008 8:11AM
where is this oil demand slowing? Certainly not in the tri-state area (NY/NY/CT for those playing at home).
Gas in North NJ is now close to pushing the $2/gallon floor, despite from what I can tell more people on the road than there has been since, well, since gas was previously that cheap.
Posted by Seaman Bodine , Nov 11, 2008 8:21AM
wow - turning into a bank holding company did wonders for MS and GS
Posted by guest , Nov 11, 2008 8:56AM
@Seaman
I think the GS/MS deal was different. AMEX is seeking holding status so that it can issue debt to cover expenses. MS/GS was just trying to keep from facing a run in the market.
Posted by guest , Nov 11, 2008 8:57AM
@2: you lucky guys have refineries. I'm in CT, cheapest gas I've seen is Norwalk, at around $2.59/gallon. But the biggest user of oil is industry, and that is slowing. Office buildings are growing empty (e.g. UBS sub-leasing an entire building it leased in Stamford), less electricity.
Posted by guest , Nov 11, 2008 8:58AM
UBS sucks. Swiss infusion or not, you can't corrupt your client base so thoroughly and expect to survive
Posted by guest , Nov 11, 2008 9:07AM
@6: while I agree with you partially, a lot of the blame is the clients. If you were in a clothing store and the salesperson went in the back for a while, you wouldn't grab a bunch of shirts, put them in your bag, and then pay for one and think you're being honest. These are sophisticated investors. They tried to game the system, and they lost. It's no different from Leona Helmsley.
Posted by guest , Nov 11, 2008 9:08AM
I'm a bloomberg data analyst. What's the 2nd year associate numbers?
Posted by Anal_yst , Nov 11, 2008 9:22AM
@6/7
I think what you're trying to say is that if you intentionally game the system with the expectation that you'll never get caught, you deserve to be caught.
Posted by guest , Nov 11, 2008 9:30AM
"While tax evasion is legal in Switzerland". Tax evasion is legal?
Posted by guest , Nov 11, 2008 9:34AM
@Anal_yst
Gaming the system as such that you're trying to beat the market is one thing, but Gaming the IRS is another matter.
Economically, you're supposed to do everything possible to keep from paying taxes (guard your interest) and they're supposed to do everything possible to collect. So I guess that makes sense.
But you don't not protect your clients assets. By advising them to set this crap up, much less facilitate it, they've (UBS) acted counter to that.
Posted by Anal_yst , Nov 11, 2008 9:36AM
@11
No doubt UBS breached their client's trust here, to the point where it seems likely to do irepairable damage to the franchise.
Posted by guest , Nov 11, 2008 9:39AM
@11: Your second paragraph is partially right. The IRS encourages you to minimize your tax liability. They do NOT encourage you to do anything illegal to minimize this (illegal shelters, moving money overseas and not declaring it, etc.).
UBS did this on a wink-wink, nudge-nudge basis. That is why they are so eager to get this thing off the front pages. They were doing something illegal by aiding and abetting illegal tax evasion.
There is a difference between tax minimization (Sir John Templeton moving to Bermuda) and tax evasion (UBS clients moving money overseas and not paying taxes on their cap gains or div/interest income). Clients knew what they were doing.
I hate writing out checks to the IRS every year, and the AMT completely sucks. But when you have hundreds of millions, you can afford to write the checks. Pisses me off to no end.
Posted by guest , Nov 11, 2008 9:39AM
is the IEA ever going to get its crap together? Is it even functioning anymore as an objective analyst?
Posted by guest , Nov 11, 2008 10:14AM
13 is correct. Tax evasion is not legal, and the IRS is not the most cuddly of institutions.
These were some very sophisticated people on both sides of this, UBS and the clients and their tax lawyers, and I have no doubt that everyone knew what they were doing was illegal under US law. It's not even particularly complex; this is your basic offshore idiocy.
Posted by guest , Nov 11, 2008 11:34AM
The Bud Bowl was awesome--really appealed to me as a ten year old.
Posted by guest , Nov 11, 2008 11:46PM
Amazed no one has floated the proposal that the guilty financial looters be housed at GITMO (since dey did dere gettin' while de gettin' was good...hey get them double occupancy with the other evildoers for a while and perhaps then justice will be served!
Or then maybe I'm just bitter..