Archive for April 2009

  • 17 Apr 2009 at 11:08 AM

Don’t Call Me StupidWeak

Trichet said it was difficult to describe the euro as weak after its 6.2 percent drop against the dollar this year.
When the euro was introduced, it was 1.17 to the dollar, now it’s about 1.31 so “to speak of a euro that is weak doesn’t reflect the present situation,” Trichet said.

Perhaps we’ll have to speak instead of a euro that is:
Flaccid
Limp
Exsanguinated
Stricken
Diseased
Drained
Torpid
Insubstantial
Trichet Says ECB Must Do Everything to Restore Confidence (like preventing people from using the word “weak” in its connection?) [Bloomberg]

  • 17 Apr 2009 at 10:48 AM

Spice Up The Stress Tests

So when we heard that the famous “stress tests” had three ranks, something dawned on us…

Sources told The Post that banks examined as part of the stress test are expected to be assigned one of three rankings: top tier institutions that are capable of operating even in the most dour conditions, those that aren’t and those that fit somewhere in the middle.

…the rankings simply suck. That led us to an idea.
It is no secret that we consider you, our readers, Associates here at Dealbreaker. And, in keeping with recent efforts to find ways to value associates, we’d like to solicit your opinion in a way that permits you to share your feelings, make decisions and the like as it were. In fact, we think we are nicely tagging rules 3, 4, 5, 9, 10, 12, 15, 23, 30, 31, 32, 34, 40, 42, 44, 45, 50, 51, 54, 56, 66, 68, 71, 75, 80, 86 and 87 at the same time when we ask for your assistance here: Let’s help the Treasury spice these up.
As we read it, the current grades are:

  1. Capable of operating even in the most dour conditions
  2. Somewhere in the middle
  3. Not capable of operating even in the most dour conditions

We think this can be improved upon. Perhaps:

  1. Excellent
  2. Average
  3. Poor

Or maybe:

  1. Exceeds expectations
  2. Meets expectations
  3. Citi

Bankers always love a good drinking metaphor, so maybe:

  1. Louis XIII
  2. Chopin Vodka
  3. Ken Lewis’ Moonshine

You get the idea. If you do well, we’ll consider invoking Rule 99. (We have to warn you though. Fail us and it’s Rule 85 for everyone).
Go!
Stress Test Dud [The New York Post]

We shudder to imagine what the post-call note, being crafted as we speak, will look like, considering new CFO Ned Kelly refused to answer Mayo’s question as to what the “style changes” at Citi will be under his leadership, offering only “I’ll let you be the judge of that.”
Picture 1130.png

lloydbl.png“So thank you for the loan, we’ll just pay this back now and do away with these compensation requirements…” Cindy had brought a copy of the regulations to ceremonially tear up for the occasion. Thin smiles began to emerge, a glimmer of hope, then faded instantly when Tim interrupted.
“Yeah, not so fast.”
“What?”
“Yeah, aren’t you forgetting something?”
“Wha- what do you mean? I have the check right here. It’s a cashier’s check even, like you asked for. It is signed in the right place. The amount is right there…” The amount was quite visible to everyone in the room, it having overlapped into two rows because of all the zeros.

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Mail call: “Effective today, Citi/Smith Barney just cut commission rate in 1/2 for employees buying Citi stock.”

As you’re aware, Bank of Amerillwide is a serious business, and it’s serious about it’s business of makin’ money. Apparently central to that goal, in BAC’s opinion, is treating your underlings like (circle one) a small child/person you’re trying to bang/invalid, which is why the firm has distributed the following suggestions for interfacing on the job. If you see anything missing from this list, feel free to speak up.
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  • 17 Apr 2009 at 8:58 AM

Layoffs Watch ’09: UBS

UBS announced Wednesday it had plans to ax everyone (actual figure: 8-large or so), and apparently the Swiss are really moving their asses on this one. Supposedly “hardcore” cuts will start going down today.

  • 17 Apr 2009 at 8:02 AM

Opening Bell: 04.17.09

Citi: Not Dead Yet (WSJ)
Analysts were looking for, well, death from Citi, but in spite of all their negative energy Pandit and crew pulled their shit together to post a net income of $1.59B and an EPS loss of 18 cents per share on a 24 cent charge. Full release from Citi here, conference call at 8:30.
Let’s Get This Out In The Open: Liddy Owns Some Goldman (NYT)
“Mr. Liddy earned most of his holdings in Goldman, worth more than $3 million total, as compensation for serving on the bank’s board and its audit committee until he stepped down in September to take the job at A.I.G. He moved to A.I.G. at the request of Henry M. Paulson Jr., then the Treasury secretary and a former Goldman director.
Details about his holdings were disclosed in Goldman’s proxy statement and confirmed by an A.I.G. spokeswoman, who said they constituted “a small percentage of his total net worth.” Mr. Liddy had already owned some stock in Goldman Sachs before joining its board in 2003.”
Banking Industry Showing Signs Of Recovery (NYT)
After a couple of months of living out of dumpsters and being chased by half-lunatic beard yielding women in pink shirts it appears the banking industry is on it’s way back up; a good sign for everyone in the unemployment line, I’m sure. Banks get better when they’re left alone to do what they do: make money. Bankers get better when properly pickled and left to dry, but that’s another story.
New circle chart from the Journal, and this one’s interactive.
Lehman Failure Might Have Been A Mistake (Bloomberg)
“We were drunk, and you know, Ben was half naked and covered in war paint with a fucking feather sticking out of his hair. None of us were in the right place. We just, Lehman, we thought, could go fuck themselves.”
OR
“The impact of Lehman’s failure “was devastating,” Yellen said yesterday after a speech in New York. “That’s when this crisis took a quantum leap up in terms of seriousness.”
Your choice.

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  • 16 Apr 2009 at 5:45 PM

Write-Offs: 04.16.09

$$$ Barry Diller is not eating that. [NYM]
$$$News flash: this program was not designed for Harvard College,” she said, drawing laughter from the audience. [Crimson]
$$$ Ditch the Jet: It’s Cool to Fly Commercial [Wealth Report]
$$$ SemGroup examiner’s report [PDF]
$$$ Dollar Dominatrix On JPM Q1 [PDF]

kdb copy.pngMaybe it is just us, but there are a number of things that just scream “wishful thinking.” Like the return of Growing Pains to television, a re-do on the OJ Simpson trial, owning your own private island, or a widely successful debt-for-equity swap at General Motors.

General Motors Corp. is planning to make a formal offer to all bondholders by April 27 to exchange their $27.5 billion in claims for equity, according to a person with knowledge of the discussions.

Yes, we know, we know, the administration wants 66% of the original bonds whacked out via such a swap so their fantasy of a “surgical bankruptcy” can be realized (where “surgical bankruptcy” means “fail to piss off the UAW too badly”) but no one seems very likely to want to make nice-nice with this administration in a case like this (when being “nice” means giving up cash). This hasn’t stopped the administration from trying, though the latest efforts (concentrating on how bad it would be for Detroit if the bankruptcy turns out as anything but a blistering bit of unexpected caning for bondholders) seem a little familiar to us. Familiar sort of like the guilt trip your mother used to play on you when you were twelve. Or certain 1970s public service announcements.
GM Said to Plan All-Equity Offer for Bondholders [Bloomberg]

The Obama Portfolio (Since Inception): +22.23%
Earlier: The Obama Portfolio