• 28 Apr 2009 at 7:11 PM

Squeeze Baby, Squeeze!

We tend to ignore highly volatile biotech stocks that bound off the walls and ceilings like a Happy Fun Ball on acid-laced meth, but Dendreon Corporation (DNDN) is a special case because it is such an obnoxious assassins tool for the elimination of careless shorts. (And we keep getting email tips). Short interest in Dendreon was upwards of 14 million shares on about 100 million outstanding. A very hard stock to borrow, as it happened, and susceptible to recall. But that was nothing compared to the announcement that it had fantastic results with:

…its pivotal Phase 3 IMPACT study of Provenge (suspiciously close to “revenge”) in men with advanced prostate cancer data. While the data is incomplete or non-statistical, Dendreon said that the IMPACT study met its primary endpoint of improving overall survival compared to a placebo control. Dendreon intends to file an amendment to its existing Biologic License Application (BLA) in the fourth quarter of this year to gain licensure of PROVENGE.

Being caught short was deadly for your position.
dndn.png
The market had been expecting an announcement within the year, and a competitor had (with the short squeeze fueling the surge). Also, a potential Provenge competitor was pulled from development late last year. Good news would be sticky.
Ouch.
Dendreon Plunge Baffles CEO as Cancer Drug Said to Prolong Life [Bloomberg]

Comments (6)

  1. Posted by trojan | April 28, 2009 at 7:23 PM

    wide-scale Phase III testing is incredibly expensive, did they partner up with a big pharma? or were those only preliminary pre-III results?

  2. Posted by guest | April 28, 2009 at 8:08 PM

    doesn’t protect against swine flu…

  3. Posted by guest | April 28, 2009 at 9:49 PM

    What a shitshow

  4. Posted by wcburrs87 | April 29, 2009 at 7:40 AM

    Shoot it down. 4 months means nothing except more money down the drains for families. No long term viability.

  5. Posted by guest | April 29, 2009 at 9:47 AM

    Wasn’t tim sykes pushing to short this?

  6. Posted by guest | April 29, 2009 at 11:30 AM

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