ireland.jpgCentral Bank and Financial Services Authority of Ireland headquarters, DublinLast year, we learned what happens when a small island in Europe filled with people who talk funny bets the farm on the financial services industry. Are the Irish next?
Lovely emerald Eire, the European economic miracle of the last few decades, has run into some hard times. GDP is down almost 10% this year, while the country’s debt is projected to soar by the end of next year to actually exceed GDP. And now, the indignity of a credit rating cut.
Never averse to kicking when the opponent is down, Fitch Ratings has slashed Ireland’s creditworthiness by two whole grades, to double-A-minus, whatever the hell that means. The other two ratings agencies may join in beating a dead Celtic Tiger, as both Moody’s Investors Service and Standard & Poor’s have a negative outlook on Ireland.
Ireland lost its coveted triple-A rating in April.


“As recently as the end of 2007, gross government debt was just 25% of GDP,” Fitch explained. “The rise in debt is likely to push the ratio of debt interest payments to revenue above 15%, one of the highest among Fitch-rated sovereigns in the ‘AA’ range, reducing fiscal flexibility.”
Is Ireland going the way of Iceland? Will Dublin be little more than a smoldering mass of ruins and a shantytown by Christmas? Will a weird pixie singer account for three-quarters of its GDP next year? Not exactly, Fitch (disappointingly?) says.
Despite kicking the country in the groin, Fitch says Ireland’s outlook is stable. In particular, unlike Iceland, whose banking industry went into freefall, Ireland’s is likely to be saved.
“The agency notes the vigor of the government’s fiscal consolidation response to date, the expectation of further aggressive budget tightening and the likely success of the National Asset Management Agency in rehabilitating the banking sector,” Fitch director Chris Pryce said.
Fitch downgrades Irish credit rating for second time [MarketWatch]
Ireland says Fitch cut shows need to slash deficit [Reuters]

Comments (29)

  1. Posted by guest | November 4, 2009 at 11:01 AM

    “Islands that suck.” Nice.

  2. Posted by guest | November 4, 2009 at 11:02 AM

    shazamwow!

  3. Posted by guest | November 4, 2009 at 11:04 AM

    O’Shazanus

  4. Posted by guest | November 4, 2009 at 11:04 AM

    Greg
    I’m going to rig your electricity to circumvent the meter. After a few months paying estimated bills, you will be delighted to get the adjustment to actual. But there is a very high chance you will also get caught and fined for stealing electricity.
    Not Jeff Macke but a fan of his work

  5. Posted by guest | November 4, 2009 at 11:04 AM

    “smoldering mass of ruins and a shantytown” would be an improvement

  6. Posted by guest | November 4, 2009 at 11:05 AM
  7. Posted by guest | November 4, 2009 at 11:06 AM

    “a small island in Europe filled with people who talk funny”
    f uck you you english pantywaste

  8. Posted by guest | November 4, 2009 at 11:07 AM

    Well no wonder. That’s the worst pic of a petrol station canopy structure I have ever seen. Ever heard of “architects”, Iceland, wot?
    ~BP Retail Petrol Rep

  9. Posted by american bandersnatch | November 4, 2009 at 11:08 AM

    This was very good. However, I will still miss the vitriol directed at Greg and the masochistic pleasure of trying to untangle his sentences.

  10. Posted by guest | November 4, 2009 at 11:15 AM

    @9
    Yeah it wasn’t too shabby at all. Witty tags and pics. I think the whole “__________ that suck” tag meme could work for a while.

  11. Posted by guest | November 4, 2009 at 11:18 AM

    Maybe they could launch a guinness/puke/john player special etf?
    Texas is coming out w/ a fake tits/loud ass morAn one:
    http://seekingalpha.com/article/171122-ook-advisors-to-launch-texas-etf-today?source=hp_wc

  12. Posted by pfluger | November 4, 2009 at 11:18 AM

    AA- means that their credit is sligtly worse than AA, somewhat worse than AA+, and noticeably worse than AAA. However, it is better than A+, and far better than BBB.
    We will forward a copy of our Guides to Ratings report for future reference.
    - Managing Director and Chief Quality Assuarnce Manger, Flitch Ratings and Research Service.

  13. Posted by guest | November 4, 2009 at 11:23 AM

    @11, you’re going to lose credibility denigrating fake tits like that

  14. Posted by guest | November 4, 2009 at 11:24 AM

    You are all NERDS!

  15. Posted by guest | November 4, 2009 at 11:26 AM

    I wish Bess had kept Greg, but instead of posting his awful real stories he’d just post stupid shit and commenters would dismantle him. Day after day.

  16. Posted by guest | November 4, 2009 at 11:26 AM

    The upside is the market will soon be flooded with eastern european slores who no longer have jobs as domestics/sales clerks. Pickins should be good.

  17. Posted by guest | November 4, 2009 at 11:41 AM

    You got to figure Aliens built that shit.

  18. Posted by guest | November 4, 2009 at 11:47 AM

    Jon
    You limey douchebag
    Greg’s Mom

  19. Posted by guest | November 4, 2009 at 11:54 AM

    ST. SHAZANUS

  20. Posted by guest | November 4, 2009 at 11:55 AM

    I’ll drink to that

  21. Posted by guest | November 4, 2009 at 12:02 PM

    Have you ever been in an Irishman’s Shazanty, where the water is scarce and the whiskey is plenty….

  22. Posted by Anal_yst | November 4, 2009 at 12:07 PM

    the picture caption is a nice touch

  23. Posted by guest | November 4, 2009 at 12:19 PM

    I prefer eccentric.
    -Björk

  24. Posted by DeValera | November 4, 2009 at 12:44 PM

    What were Ireland’s rating in the ’40′s, ’50′s and ’60′s.

  25. Posted by DeValera | November 4, 2009 at 12:44 PM

    What were Ireland’s ratings in the ’40′s, ’50′s and ’60′s.

  26. Posted by trojan | November 4, 2009 at 12:48 PM

    commercial tie-in with boondock saint 2: all saints day?

  27. Posted by american bandersnatch | November 4, 2009 at 12:49 PM

    @24 – I believe they used some sort of potato based ranking system at that time.

  28. Posted by guest | November 4, 2009 at 1:26 PM

    I’m moving over to the Motley Fool to do serious business journalism, you won’t have me to kick around anymore
    Greg

  29. Posted by guest | November 4, 2009 at 3:13 PM

    Ireland’s treasury sec announces fiscal stimulus package:
    http://www.chainleader.com/articles/blog/180000418/20090507/leprechaun-gold-inverted.jpg

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