The recession may be over, but that doesn’t mean governments should stop pouring trillions into their economies.
A pair of policymakers from both sides of the Atlantic want to keep those stimulus dollars (and euros and pounds) rolling. James Bullard, the St. Louis Fed president who’s had an awful lot to say these days, wants to see the Fed’s ability to buy mortgage-backed securities and bonds continue. IMF chief Dominique Strauss-Kahn agrees that it is way too early to give up on stimulus policies.
“I think it is still too early for a general exit,” Strauss-Kahn said today. “Exit should instead await a sustained recovery in private demand, as well as entrenched financial stability.” Oh, is that all?
“We recommend erring on the side of caution, as exiting too early is costlier than exiting too late.”
In particular, Strass-Kahn focused on the British in his London speech, which is just as well, since they’re lagging behind the rest of us. The U.K. will need to continue its stimulus policies for “some time,” he said, declining to speculate on which decade the Brits could safely exit stimulus.
Bullard—who has emerged as a chief defender of the Fed’s rights and privileges against those who think it does a crappy job—wants to hold on to its new fiefdom allowing it to buy mortgage-linked assets in an effort to inject liquidity into the mortgage markets. The $1.45 trillion program is set to expire in March, and the Fed itself said it would complete its purchases of $1.25 trillion in mortgage-backed securities and $175 billion in agency debt by then—but Bullard “would like to keep them active at a very low level instead of saying, ‘we’re shutting down, shutting down permanently.’”
Moving from the laggards to the leaders, the Chinese are moving to ensure that they don’t meet the same fate as their Western friends as the Chinese economy booms. The country’s banking regulators have asked its banks to raise more capital to keep capital-adequacy rations from falling. That way, when the inevitable economic shock hits the country, it might not cost them quite so many trillions to keep their economy from collapsing. Cute idea, China.
Bullard Says Fed Should Keep Asset Program Past March [Bloomberg]
IMF Chief: Late Stimulus Exit Better Than Early [DJ via WSJ]
China Asks Its Banks to Slow Down [NYT]







Posted by guest , Nov 23, 2009 11:32AM
Good morning to you Jon. Did you just roll out of bed, or did you forget you had a fucking job?
Posted by guest , Nov 23, 2009 11:36AM
"The $1.45 trillion program is set to expire in March, and the Fed itself said it would complete its purchases of $1.25 trillion in mortgage-backed securities and $175 billion in agency debt by then—but Bullard “would like to keep them active at a very low level instead of saying, ‘we’re shutting down, shutting down permanently.’”
This is music, it is spectacular prose, it made my heart flutter and my chin tremble. -Greg Michaels
Posted by guest , Nov 23, 2009 11:50AM
Not bad, Jon, but you have a ways to go still.
Greg
Posted by guest , Nov 23, 2009 12:01PM
1D Cowboy with a lariat (5)
Posted by Tax Chick , Nov 23, 2009 12:05PM
@4 Roper
Posted by NakedShort , Nov 23, 2009 12:05PM
@4 roper
Posted by guest , Nov 23, 2009 12:10PM
@5/TC,6/NS, thanks, fits.
Posted by guest , Nov 23, 2009 1:19PM
[rolling over and hitting snooze button]
Posted by Romeo , Nov 25, 2009 9:38AM
There is a number of Interest Groups that look at the economic issues from their point of view. That is the colour of the crystal they have in front of their eyes. The IMF is an organization that has affected the internal affairs of numerous countries, converting those countries into dependent, debted, third world status, poor, etc.
The conditions under which loans by the IMF, World Bank, and others, are made include, but are not limeted to: Austerity programs (devaluation of the value of the work force, inflation -the same amount of money buy a lesser amount of goods-), interests rates -increase of the debt
up to the point of default. And the list continues. That is what I mean by interest groups, they do not have the well being of the people in mind, but their own. They are not trustworthy.