Archive for July 2011

Here at Dealbreaker we love short sale bans. Nothing inspires confidence in an asset so much as a government telling you that you can’t sell it, especially when the government in question is taking time out from a busy schedule of bunga bunga parties to give a firm but loving hand to the equity markets.

So we were excited to see that, as the Italian equity and government bond markets melt down, politicians and regulators are sharpening their knives to come after the evil speculators who must be behind the drop. Italy is now requiring anyone who is net short more than 0.2% of the shares of an Italian listed company to disclose their position to regulators, with an updating requirement for changes of 0.1% or more, from now until September 9. More excitingly, there is already talk of banning naked shorts, regular shorts, sovereign CDS, etc. followed. Barry Ritholtz succinctly explains the reasoning:

In a classic act of misdirection, Italy is ordering short sellers to disclose their positions, because after all, the entire European credit crisis was caused by analysts who identified over valued stocks.

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Question: What are things Jim Rogers thinks sucks? Continue reading »

In 2010, the year he was appointed Bank of America’s Chief Risk Officer, Bruce Thomson’s compensation topped $11 million, making him the highest paid executive at the firm (CEO Brian Moynihan, by comparison, received $1.94 million and former Countrywide CEO-cum-BAC in-house cocktail waitress took home $17,509 in tips**). Does Thomson’s massive package make him stand out when he and his peers in the field attend two weeks of risk camp every summer? Apparently not, because according to a guy who studies such things, risk officers are gettin’ paid. And not only that? People are starting to show them respect. Like acknowledging their existence in the elevator respect.

Citigroup, AIG and UBS are among other companies raising the profile of risk executives. The derivatives meltdown that sparked the 2008 Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. collapse and an 18-month recession catapulted the role from obscurity to contention for future chief executive officers. “The person sitting in the risk chair now is reporting to the CEO so the caliber has to be higher,” said Neil Hindle, who runs the CRO search practice at Egon Zehnder International in New York. “There has been a real increase in power over the last two years.” That’s evident in the compensation, which can reach $10 million at large financial institutions now, compared with $500,000 as recently as 2001, Hindle said. Five years ago, a CRO typically reported no higher than the CFO, he said. Citigroup Chief Risk Officer Brian Leach said it’s expected he’ll have a seat at the table when Chief Executive Officer Vikram Pandit makes key decisions. A decade ago, a bank risk executive often wasn’t in the room, he said.

Yes, it’s a whole new world for once invisible employees who previously were accustomed to coming into the office several times a quarter and finding someone else at their desk, because HR “didn’t realize someone sat there.” Unfortunately, the pay and the sense that the people you’ve worked for for 5 years know your name isn’t Steve (≠ Tom) will not last long, because according to HBS professor Jay Lorsch, we’ve got about two or three years before people can go back to not giving a shit about you/the work you do anymore. Continue reading »

Down the hill, Jonathan Schwartz, the general counsel for the investment bank at JPMorgan Chase, is dropping off his daughter Lindsay, 9, for her first summer. . . . Here at camp, Mr. Black says, it doesn’t so much matter that Mr. Schwartz graduated first in his class at Stanford Law School. Or that he clerked for Thurgood Marshall at the Supreme Court. What matters is that, one summer, Mr. Schwartz served as a general in a sports contest known until recently as “the color war,” a three-day, all-out competition that splits the camp into two rival teams: blue and gold. [NYT]

As you may have heard, a whole bunch of banks have plans to eliminate jobs in the coming months. While it may be little sympathy to those who’ve already lost their jobs (cuts have already begun at Goldman Sachs, UBS, Credit Suisse and Morgan Stanley), those who were spared or will potentially be spared in upcoming rounds can perhaps appreciate the fact that it could well be worse if the firms performing the bloodletting weren’t also cracking down on expenses, thereby saving an employee or two from getting the boot. If you don’t think the belt-tightening is having a serious impact on their lives, think again. For many, it’s like Greece out there. Continue reading »

So you’re Cliff Asness, and you’re in Washington for dinner with a couple of buddies, one of whom happens to be Republican congressman Paul Ryan. Just you, some bros, a nice meal, a little chat about monetary policy and the debt ceiling negotiations.

And you’re feeling pretty good, maybe because you just saw the Atlas Shrugged movie for the fifth time and bought the special John Galt action figure, so you splurge on a couple of bottles of the best wine you can get your hands on. Unfortunately you’re in D.C., so you’re stuck with the Jayer-Gilles 2004 Échezeaux, not a slouch exactly but kind of unsubtle and maybe a bit too young to drink. (Burghound: 89-92, drink 2012+, “Strongly reduced, however the big, rich, generous and powerful full-bodied flavors are deep, well-muscled and extremely long, all wrapped in an impeccably well-balanced finish. This definitely has the best material of any wine in the range and if it can add more complexity over time, it could surprise to the upside as it is definitely impressive.”)

So NBD right? You’d think so. But then some possibly drunk lady, who turns out to be Rutgers business professor Susan Feinberg (she teaches a course called “Love and Money”), starts snooping on your table. She sees the label and consults the wine list, where she finds out that it runs $350 a bottle. And then she breaks out her Ph.D.-level math skills:
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Hi, I’m Matt, and as you may have heard I’m new at Dealbreaker. For some reason it seemed like a good idea to leave my job at a bank/squid to come blog with Bess in a leaky Noho garret. Two months later, here I am.
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Last week, Deutsche Bank held a party for a few hundred clients at a resort in England. The event was catered by celebrity chef Heston Blumenthal, who created “hundreds of gin and tonic meringues, cooked in front of guests in liquid nitrogen,” included spa treatments and unlimited rounds of golf and was deemed an “exquisite experience” for all attendees. Having said that, there were some behind the scenes issues when it came to the evening’s entertainment, the mistakes of which any firm planning a conference/weekend/what have you in the future should take note. Initially, Deutsche Bank, for some reason, had hoped to wow clients with a performance by the Black Eyed Peas. Unfortunately, the Germans were apparently unaware of the fact that this supergroup of artistic purists believe they’re in a position to play hard ball.

Organisers had initially contacted one of the world’s biggest bands, The Black Eyed Peas, asking them to perform instead. ‘They had offered even more money to The Black Eyed Peas to appear,’ a source revealed. ‘Unfortunately the group’s management said they refused to perform live for the bankers, even for that kind of money, and would only lip-sync to their hits.

While the Peas undoubtedly do believe they’re too good to strain their vocal chords and memorize lines for a group of financial services employees, what was clearly lost in translation was that the band has a tiering system and that this is how they negotiate. Deutsche was supposed to come back to the table and offer more, at which time Fergie would have explained to them that the bronze level (£1,000,0000) gets you a methed out Fergie (you supply the meth) plus 10 minutes of lip-syching, silver (£5,000,0000) gets you 30 minutes of lip-syching and attitude and gold gets (£10,000,0000) you an actual live performance. DB organizers did not know this, though, and simply told the Peas to piss off, as they could do better. Potential nip-slip better. Continue reading »

  • 11 Jul 2011 at 7:42 AM

Opening Bell: 07.11.11

Debt reduction talks in limbo as clock ticks toward Aug. 2 deadline (WaPo)
Talks among President Obama and congressional leaders Sunday evening failed to break a partisan stalemate over how to raise the federal borrowing limit, leaving the politically charged negotiations in limbo three weeks before the administration says the country will begin to default…Both sides appeared Sunday to dig further into their positions, leaving the talks deadlocked, a historic default looming and a fragile economy increasingly vulnerable to the consequences of Washington’s entrenched partisanship and ideological divide over taxes and entitlements.

Geithner: Failure on debt deal not an option (CBS)
“You can’t wait until August 2,” Geithner said. “The credit rating agencies of the world have already made it clear in public, the longer we go into July without a path to resolution, the more risk they are going to put a cloud over our credit rating…There’s no reason why the leadership in Congress should let that happen,” he added. Failure to reach an agreement, he warned, “is not an option.”

Deutsche Bank May Risk Co-CEO Pitfalls to Satisfy Jain, Germany (Bloomberg)
Jain, a 48-year-old native of India, may be named co-chief executive officer with Juergen Fitschen, 62, or another German speaker, people familiar with the matter have said. Chairman Clemens Boersig convened the nominations committee of the supervisory board yesterday to push for a two-CEO solution, said the people, who declined to be identified because the talks are confidential…Still, partnering Jain with another executive carries risks because shared leadership can lead to turf battles, divided loyalty among employees and sclerotic decision making, analysts said.

EU stance shifts on Greece default (FT)
European leaders are for the first time prepared to accept that Athens should default on some of its bonds as part of a new bail-out plan for Greece that would put the country’s overall debt levels on a sustainable footing. The new strategy, to be discussed at a Brussels meeting of eurozone finance ministers on Monday, could also include new concessions by Greece’s European lenders to reduce Athens’ debt, such as further lowering interest rates on bail-out loans and a broad-based bond buyback programme. It also marks the possible abandonment of a French-backed plan for banks to roll-over their Greek debt.

Italian Debt Adds to Fears in Euro Zone (NYT)
Top European officials planned to meet on Monday to wrestle with threats to the currency union as fears mounted that Italy could become a victim of the debt crisis even as discussions stalled over a second bailout for Greece…Investors were unnerved in part by evidence of a growing divide between the Italian prime minister, Silvio Berlusconi, and the finance minister, Giulio Tremonti, who has been praised for his handling of the economy during the financial crisis and for maintaining control of the budget deficit. The euro zone has been shaken by the fiscal troubles of Greece, Portugal and Ireland, though their economies are relatively small. The Italian economy is more than twice the size of the combined economies of those three countries.

Italy Regulator Introduces Short Selling Disclosure (Reuters)
Starting on Monday, investors will have to inform Consob of net short positions on Italian stocks when they represent 0.2 percent or more of the company’s share capital, the regulator said in a statement on its website. After that, investors will have to notify every variation equal to at least 0.1 percent of the capital.

Jim Rogers: Whatever Happens, Commodities Win (CNBC)
“If the world economy gets better, I earn money on commodities. If the global economy gets worse then they will print more money and I will make money in commodities,” Rogers said.

US hedge funds bet against Italian bonds (FT)
The funds have increased the size of short positions in the last month, speculating that investor concerns over the country’s ability to fund itself may spread from Europe’s periphery to Italy, according to investors in the funds briefed on the strategy.

Sheila Bair’s Bank Shot (NYT)
‘They should have let Bear Stearns fail,” Sheila Bair said. Continue reading »

  • 08 Jul 2011 at 5:55 PM

Write-Offs: 07.08.11

$$$ Economists Try to Explain How They Fumbled Jobs Number (Bloomberg)

$$$ Obama: Debt limit fight fuels economic uncertainty (Reuters)

$$$ House cancels July recess to work on debt (The Hill)

$$$ Warren Buffett: Still Bullish on America (Deal Journal) Continue reading »

JB is a 27 year-old financial analyst who was recently dumped by the two girls he was seeing, both without the knowledge of the other. Girl number one was a “conservative Upper East Side Ivy League grad who works in finance” who he’d been with for a year. Girl number two was a “quirky Park Slope hipster with a creative ad-agency gig” who he’d been with for six months. To the naked eye, this looks like a not new thing called “cheating” (the ladies thought they were in “exclusive” relationships). Being a financial analyst by day and trend-setting player by night, however, means JB calls it “double-borough dating,” a phenomenon that operates under the assumption that people do not leave the confines of the neighborhood in which they live and in which one “courts women from distinct and distant ‘hoods, ensuring the lucky ladies never cross paths.” JB describes DBD’ing as “fun and naughty,” so if you’ve been dying to star in the bootleg version of your Sex and the City fantasies, it might be right for you. Having said that, it is not without some risks, which JB recently encountered. Continue reading »