Archive for August 2011

  • 30 Aug 2011 at 7:57 AM

Opening Bell: 08.30.11

BofA Cashes In Its China Chips (WSJ)
But Bank of America faces additional worries because of its 2008 acquisition of Countrywide Financial Corp., the troubled California lender that is the source of many bad mortgages now plaguing the bank. “No one really knows the capital hole that sits there,” said Mr. Miller, the bank analyst for FBR Capital Markets.

Citi CIO: There’s A Long Term Problem In Stocks (CNBC)
“The corporate sector continues to simply slash costs rather than focus on top-line growth,” he said. “If you carry on just cutting costs and cutting people, at some stage the growth will stop.”

Merkel To Voters: Germany Will Emerge Stronger (Bloomberg)
“Many are worried, but they don’t need to be because the currency is stable,” Merkel told a rally of her Christian Democratic Union yesterday in Schwerin, the state capital. “It’s our aim to come out of this stronger than we went into it, as we did during the banking crisis. I said that in 2009, and look at where the economy is in 2011. This can be achieved again.”

EU Seeks Action On Greek Deal (WSJ)
The European Commission said Tuesday negotiations have made progress this week in finding a resolution to Finland’s requirement for collateral from Greece in exchange for contributing to a second bailout for the Mediterranean country, but comments from other leaders signaled that there is no quick fix. “There was progress at the expert level just yesterday [Monday],” Commission President José Manuel Barroso said Tuesday at a press conference, adding that he hopes the final details will find consensus “very soon.”…Meanwhile, Richard Sulik, head of Slovakian Freedom and Solidarity Party, also known as SaS, told German newspaper Die Welt that Greece should default rather than receive additional financial support. Mr. Sulik is quoted as saying in an interview with the paper he “will do everything” to stop parliament approving the euro zone’s second rescue package for Greece, along with a proposed increase in the lending capacity of the euro zone’s chief bailout vehicle.

Hedge Funds Burned By August Market Heat (FT)
According to provisional estimates from consultancy Hedge Fund Research, the average hedge fund has lost 4.1 percent during August – making the month the industry’s fourth worst ever. Among the biggest losses are those at the $36 billion Paulson & Co. As of August 19, the firm’s flagship Advantage Plus fund was down 14 percent in the month, one investor revealed – taking the funds losses to just under 39 percent – around $4 billion – so far this year.

Italian Town Mints Own Money To Fight Austerity (Reuters)
Filettino, set in rugged hill country around 100 km (65 miles) east of Rome, is rebelling against a proposal to merge the governments of towns with fewer than 1,000 inhabitants to save money. Filettino has only around 550 people, but instead of merging with neighboring Trevi, mayor Luca Sellari is trying to go it alone and set up a “principality” along the lines of the famous republic of San Marino to the north. He has started minting Filettino’s own bank currency, the “Fiorito,” with his photo on the back, which he says is already being used by the townsfolk. “We aim to achieve real autonomy from Italy and we have the financial resources to do it,” Sellari said in an interview Continue reading »

  • 29 Aug 2011 at 7:37 PM

Write-Offs: 08.29.11

$$$ BofA Strikes Pact to Sell Half of CCB Stake (WSJ)

$$$ Profits Falling, Banks Confront a Leaner Future (NYT)

$$$ Alan Krueger nominated to head Council of Economic Advisors (WP)

$$$ Brussels rules out bank recapitalisation (FT)

$$$ President Obama’s uncle arrested for drunk driving, claims he’ll arrange bail through White House (NYDN)

$$$ Technically, Mitt Romney Is Only Doubling the Size of His House (Daily Intel)

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Three-headed hell-dog of a private equity firm Cerberus recently backed out of a deal to buy hotel operator Innkeepers out of bankruptcy because … uh … well, it’s been a bit of an intriguing mystery so far. Turns out it’s still a mystery to Innkeepers as well, so they’ve decided to sue and find out:
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Yes, he knows he messed up: “Do I wish I had more Treasuries? Yeah, that’s pretty obvious.” And ranking 501st out of 589 bond funds this year because he overestimated the effects of QE2 affects him deeply and personally. But not financially:
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Correlations between and among asset classes tend to go way up in periods of stress, and so it should come as no surprise that Biblical events have, um, correlated with record correlations among stocks. Here’s the chart from Goldman’s David Kostin:

Really high correlations make trading really easy! All you have to do is get the right direction, then it doesn’t matter what stocks you pick. So how’d everyone do?

Not so great. The Wall Street Journal talked to Credit Suisse:

Based on one-month trailing movements, S&P 500-index stocks have a correlation of 80%, even higher than the 73% peak reached during the crisis in late 2008, says Ana Avramovic of Credit Suisse.

The impact is felt by everyone from small investors to the most sophisticated hedge-fund managers, who often go long and short different stocks rather than bet on market direction. Indeed, Ms. Avramovic points out that hedge funds tend to perform better when correlation declines and suffer when it increases.

CNBC, on the other hand, has been reading Goldman’s Kostin, whose own headline is “Hedge funds outperform in correlated sell-off.” He explains:
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James S. Dimon. That’s who. Continue reading »

Strauss-Kahn, who resigned in May, “has indicated that, on a personal visit to the Fund later today, he would like to have the opportunity to say goodbye to staff,” according to an e- mail sent to employees and obtained by Bloomberg. “All staff who would like to do so can meet with him this afternoon.” The e-mail, which wasn’t signed, indicated that the meeting would take place from 4:30 p.m. to 5:30 p.m. [Bloomberg]

They also need a ruling on Lagrange versus Laplace. Continue reading »

As you may have heard, the East Coast got some rain this weekend, which affected a bunch of people’s abilities to get to work. Goldman Sachs employees who reside in the city and work at 200 West were given vouchers for car service for this morning’s commute, though, according to Heidi Moore, everything was booked by last night, and some people were left slumming it on the subway with Mayor Bloomberg or hoofing it downtown. Citi employees were given remote access to the network in order to work from home, while those determined to make it in got their pick from of a box of rollerblades, wrist guards, and elbow pads left in the lobby of 388 Greenwich on Friday afternoon, among other “transportation alternatives” they were offered. Many of those who live in Connecticut (and Westchester) and work in New York or vice versa most likely stayed put this morning, on account of Irene seriously fucking up the Nutmeg State, battering roads and putting the BarCar out of commission. Some of those who did get in shared a closer look at how the weather affected their routines, like Susanne Petronella, who didn’t have time to put on her face.

Petronella, a floor clerk for GI Brokerage at the NYSE, lives in the borough of Queens. She drove into the city with four other people over the Brooklyn Bridge. “I’m usually still in bed right now,” she said in front of the NYSE before 7 a.m., while smoking a cigarette. “My hair’s not done. My makeup’s not done.”

One guy thought the lack of humans downtown was great, and welcomed whatever further natural disasters it would take to make this the norm.

Phil Prothro lives in Jersey City, New Jersey and left his home at the usual time, arriving in Manhattan by PATH train. “It was actually a pleasant commute,” said Prothro, who works at GDS International. “No problems at all. It was on time and empty, and I was expecting it to be late and full.” He said Wall Street was more empty than it normally is. “This is very unusual,” he said, while waiting for an egg and cheese sandwich from a cart at about 7:40 AM. “It’s how I wish it was every day.”

Then there was Duncan Niederauer, whose morning was an absolute nightmare. Continue reading »

Balance that checkbook or next time it’s gonna be a golden shower. Continue reading »