Archive for August 2011

  • 26 Aug 2011 at 8:30 AM

Opening Bell: 08.26.11

World Facing 50% Danger of Another Recession, Nobel Laureate Spence Says (Bloomberg)
“I’m quite worried,” Spence said in a Bloomberg Television interview in Hong Kong yesterday. “A combined downward dip in Europe and America, which is a good chunk of the industrialized economies, I’m quite sure will take down growth in China particularly, and that will then immediately spread to the rest of the emerging economies.” He put the likelihood of such a scenario “at about 50 percent.”

Greece Sets Out Conditions For Bond Swap (WSJ)
In a letter sent to foreign governments on Thursday and posted in part on the Athens Stock Exchange websites Friday, Greek Finance Minister Evangelos Venizelos laid out two conditions for Greece to proceed with the deal. Specifically, that investors holding 90% of all Greek government bonds eligible for the program participate, and including 90% of those bonds maturing between June 30, 2011 and between Aug. 31, 2014. “If these thresholds (or either of them) are not met, Greece shall not proceed with any portion of the transaction described in this letter if it determines, in consultation with the official sector, that the total contribution of private sector creditors towards the financing needs of Greece and Greece’s debt sustainability is insufficient to permit the official sector to support the new multi-year adjustment program for Greece announced on July 21, 2011,” the letter said.

Hurricane Irene Weakens on Course to North Carolina (Bloomberg)
Irene is packing slightly slower sustained winds of 110 mph, the U.S. National Hurricane Center said in an advisory at 5 a.m. Miami time. The storm may strengthen later today to a Category 3 hurricane on the five-step Saffir-Simpson scale as it churns toward the North Carolina coast, the center said.

S&P Pushes Back at Blame for Rating Turmoil (Bloomberg)
“It’s at the very least an oversimplification to say that all this is happening because of S&P’s change of opinion,” Beers said. Amid evidence of a slowing world economy, “markets digesting all these news have concluded that the near-, perhaps medium-term, outlook for global growth has become less certain. This was all happening before the downgrade and has continued after some of the noise around the downgrade,” Beers said.

AIG Gets Tough On Analyst Views (WSJ)
Chief Executive Robert Benmosche has complained to senior executives at investment banks about the unfavorable stock research, suggesting that some analysts don’t fully understand the company and its value, according to people familiar with the matter.

ABN Amro To Cut 2,350 Jobs (WSJ)
ABN Amro Chief Executive Gerrit Zalm said the move is not so much driven by economic uncertainties, but rather by the goal to reduce costs. “The main consideration is that we want to be a very efficient bank,” he said.

Sushi and whisky: hard time in Russia’s VIP prisons (Independent)
Andrei, a former assistant to a Russian member of parliament who was sentenced to nine years in jail in 2006 for embezzlement said: “We had whatever we wanted. I even ate sushi every day,” he told the paper, to which he showed photographs that backed up his claims. “We had a great table laid on for us in the camp – sushi, champagne, whisky.” His allegations come just a month after photos were published of prisoners partying in a prison just outside Moscow. The photos showed inmates dressed up in togas, sitting down to a lavish meal and having McDonald’s delivered to their cell. The governor of the prison was sacked after the photos appeared on the internet. Both incidents show how corruption, endemic in Russia, has also engrained itself in the Russian prison system. Andrei claimed he was allowed, for a fee, to live in the hotel used for conjugal visits, which is on the camp’s grounds, and leave whenever he wanted so long as he returned at night. “I put up a bar, home cinema and brought back whoever I wanted,” he said Continue reading »

  • 25 Aug 2011 at 7:27 PM

Write-Offs: 08.25.11

$$$ Fuld, Lehman Execs to Settle Investor Lawsuit (Bloomberg)

$$$ El-Erian: Bernanke a ‘Warm-Up’ to Obama Job Speech (CNBC)

$$$ Tim Cook: Apple is not going to change (WSJ)

$$$ The source claims RBS redecorated the lobby outside Sir Fred’s office with wallpaper costing £1,000 a roll because someone had made a tiny stain on one surface. It has also been claimed that fruit was flown in daily from Paris and £5.3million was spent refurbishing a listed building – dubbed ‘Sir Fred’s Pleasure Dome’ by staff – that was rarely used. (Daily Mail) Continue reading »

  • 25 Aug 2011 at 6:47 PM

Hide Yo Cleaning Ladies

Hide yo receptionists, hide yo bellhops, hide yo room service guys, hide yo in-house masseuses, hide yo Olive Garden cocktail waitresses, hide yo TKTS tellers, hide yo hookers from The Point, hide yo cab drivers, hide yo flight attendants, hide yo pilots, hide yo air traffic controllers. Continue reading »

Barely two days ago he patiently explained that “you can’t break the bank by driving the price of the stock lower,” but European regulators don’t seem to get it. And since their ban on short sales of financial stocks has worked so well to prove that everything’s okay, keeping the two-week drop in European bank stocks to just 8%, they figured they’d just keep it up. Continue reading »

In this whack-job of a trading environment, everybody needs to blow off a little steam. Some people turn to hookers, other drugs, yet others combinations thereof. Some finger paint in the park. Some steal their co-workers’ yogurts. Some shave off all their body hair. Some lock themselves in the bathroom and gorge on tube after tube of sour cream Pringles, telling themselves they’ll stop on the next one and the one after that while the Fabreeze plug-in air freshener works overtime to mask the scent of failure they don’t want their families to smell. Some head to Sears and try on Levis for two hours. Here at Dealbreaker we have no problem with you decompressing however you want. Just make sure you do it in a healthy way that’s not threatening to others. Continue reading »

Think again. Continue reading »

This was the validation they were looking for. Continue reading »

There are those who will tell you that the equity value of a big bank is an imponderable mystery. Which is true. And there are those who will tell you that Bank of America’s sale of preferred shares plus warrants to Buffett will “keep BofA from a more-dilutive capital raise.” Which is probably true as a matter of, like, EPS and share issuance and stuff. And there are those who point out that Buffett did not get a 2008-level deal with a double-digit coupon and otherwise face-ripping terms. Which is also true.

Still, he’s Warren Buffett. He got a deal. And imponderable mysteries (and meaningless EPS numbers) aside, you could if you wanted to calculate the value per common share that Buffett’s investment implies for BAC. This is neither rocket science nor particularly scientific at all and I suggest it only because, in my former life, I often encountered people who thought it was a sensible thing to look at and ponder in their hearts.
Continue reading »

Raise your hand if you work with alternative investments. Continue reading »

Since February, Bernie Madoff has been on a little something called the Legitimate Years Tour. Yes, he may have pleaded guilty to a $50 billion crime that ruined countless people’s lives, not to mention resulted in the suicide of his own child, but why must that be all that is said of him, when it only represents a single entry on the old CV? He’s did a lot of other stuff too, and because everyone seems to have forgotten all that when his name comes up, much like they conveniently forget about how Mussolini made the trains run or time, or how Hitler built those wonderful autobahns, or how Ted Bundy made women feel special, he was forced to embark on the LYT to jog some memories. The first stop was a February an interview with New York, wherein he griped to Steve Fishman:

“Does anybody want to hear that I had a successful business and did all these wonderful things for the industry?” Bernie continued. “And got all these awards? And so did my family? I did all of this during the legitimate years. No. You don’t read any of that.”

Next stop: a chat with New Yorker reporter Jeffrey Toobin, who was reminded that Madoff “was worth a billion dollars before any of this nonsense started,” during which it was also suggested he should be getting credit for his later work (the legitimacy of which is still an open-ended question in his mind), if only for the fact that its complexities could only be understood by the most sophisticated of investors (him). And finally, as sit down with the Times, where Berns explained that he got such a raw deal because the judge, like all of his feeble-brained haters, doesn’t understand how “the industry” works.

And yet for all the work he’s put into educating you people on the History of Bernie’s World, in which the whole Ponzi thing is but a blip, you just still don’t get it. But you know what? That’s fine. Not a problem. Because Harvard does. Continue reading »

Buffett told CNBC he came up with the idea of an investment while taking a bath earlier this week, and he asked BofA CEO Brian Moynihan yesterday if Berkshire could do the deal. [CNBC]