Archive for September 2011

We’re all hoping/confident that all of our country’s job problems will be solved tonight, because it is not easy to be unemployed. There’s the loss of income, the decay of skills, the effects on self-esteem, and the fact that it’s harder to get a job once you’re already out of work. But for some people there’s another, even more insidious danger: you could lose the ability to supplement your income with a little insider trading on the side.

At least that was true at Primary Global, according to former employee Bob Nguyen, testifying at the insider trading trial of his ex-colleague James Fleishman:
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As you may have heard, President Obama will unveil a jobs package tonight that expected total more than $300 billion. Some would say that’s a nice hefty number, one that indicates Obama is serious about getting the economy back on track. Others beg to differ. For example, Bill Gross. The PIMCO adviser is not impressed. “I don’t think $300 billion does it,” Gross said today in an interview with Bloomberg TV’s Tom Keene. “I would like to see something bold.” Unfortunately, Gross didn’t detail what he would consider bold, leaving Obama to play mind reader. Continue reading »

Goldman Sachs Portfolio Strategy Research has a fascinating research piece out today on equity correlation markets. It does good work as a piece of research because (1) if you like equity derivatives, it’s got all sorts of fun charts and technical stuff and (2) if you don’t, it’s got a hard sell: trade equity corr with Goldman!

There are many market participants that are affected by the level of equity correlations but are not yet trading correlation actively. So far, the market has been primarily one-way; banks selling correlation and hedge funds and proprietary trading desks buying it for the positive carry. We believe that the correlation market can become a new area in which institutional investors could add alpha.

The equity correlation market, which is pretty niche-y, lets investors bet on how dispersed the returns of stocks will be in the future. And the trade to make now, Goldman thinks, is to sell correlation, which “appears attractive,” meaning that current implied correlation is much higher than they think realized correlation will be in the future: Continue reading »

Sayeth DL:

Board of Directors
Yahoo! Inc.
701 First Avenue
Sunnyvale, CA 94089
Attention: Mr. Roy Bostock, Chairman

Dear Ladies and Gentlemen:

Third Point LLC (“Third Point”) is a registered investment adviser with approximately $8 billion under management. We are writing to inform you that certain investment funds we manage have acquired a 5.1% interest in Yahoo! Inc. (the “Company” or “Yahoo”), bringing our holdings of common stock and currently-exercisable equity options to 65,000,000 of the outstanding shares, and positioning us as the Company’s third largest outside shareholder.

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Apparently the aforementioned cuts have begun. Continue reading »

TG is calling for a little teamwork. Continue reading »

On Tuesday afternoon, Yahoo Chief Executive Officer Carol Bartz was notified that her services at the company were no longer necessary. The message was delivered over the phone and the fact that she wasn’t given the respect of a face to face meeting wasn’t the only thing that ticked Bartz off. “I was in New York to speak at Citigroup’s technology conference the next day and was told to call chairman Roy Bostock called Bartz. I called him at 6:06,” she told Fortune. “When he got on the line, he started reading a lawyer’s prepared statement to dismiss me. I said, ‘Roy, I think that’s a script. Why don’t you have the balls to tell me yourself? I thought you were classier.’” While it’s unclear why Bostock lacked the pair or the grace to go extempore, Bartz is pretty sure she knows why she was canned.

“These people fucked me over.” She adds, “The board was so spooked by being cast as the worst board in the country. Now they’re trying to show that they’re not the doofuses that they are.”

Well consider your plot foiled, boys! If anyone thought Bartz was going to go quietly, or go period, they thought wrong. Girlfriend’s not going anywhere, this much she promises you. Continue reading »

As you know, Harbinger Capital has a big bet going on a wireless company called LightSquared. Should it succeed, Phil Falcone will make billions and his investors will receive the triple digit returns they scored on subprime. Should it fail…it’s an outcome to dire to even think about but will most likely involve the Grammy-award winning Wilbur Falcone being forced to go back to playing Three-card monte in the UBS parking lot just to put food on the table. While LightSquared has so far encountered some opposition (as one often does when one is doing groundbreaking, visionary-esque work), the company has most recently been making the case that its satellite system will be huge for “coordinating enforcement and emergency response teams during natural disasters, like Hurricane Katrina.” According to various US agencies, it’d be the least they could do, as LS might screw up the tracking of future natural disasters.

Philip Falcone’s LightSquared wireless service needs more testing because it may degrade precision services that track hurricanes, guide farmers and help build flood defenses, Congress is being told today. LightSquared’s signals may disrupt precise gear that reads data from the satellite-based global-positioning system, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, the Transportation Department and a federal advisory body said in testimony prepared for a hearing by the House science committee.

“We support further testing of LightSquared’s proposal,” Mary Glackin, a deputy under secretary at NOAA, said in the testimony obtained by Bloomberg News before the hearing. Concerns include LightSquared’s potential effect on a satellite system that increases accuracy of hurricane tracking, Glackin said. Options for mitigating interference would be limited because the GPS satellites are in orbit and cannot be modified, she said.

According to LightSquared, Glackin and her friends can go fuck themselves. Continue reading »

The truth, according to Bridgewater, being: 1) the world is going to hell in a handbasket and 2) 2011 will be the Year of the Hyena. Continue reading »

  • 08 Sep 2011 at 8:03 AM

Opening Bell: 09.08.11

Obama To Challenge Republicans On Jobs (Bloomberg)
The president’s address to a rare joint session of Congress on jobs, the top concern of voters as the 2012 election campaign gets under way, will frame the government’s response as one of either action or delay on reviving the economy. On taxes, the signature Republican issue, he will cast himself as a champion of relief for the middle class rather than for the wealthy. Obama will propose a more than $300 billion stimulus plan in the Republican-controlled House chamber as job growth stalls and the unemployment rate hovers above 9 percent. His job- approval ratings are scraping new lows as public doubts about his stewardship of the economy rise. “The president has had a difficult summer,” said Democratic political consultant Tad Devine, a senior strategist for the Al Gore and John Kerry presidential campaigns. “All of the polling is heading in the wrong direction. He needs a circuit breaker.”

ECB Holds Rates As Recession Fears Mount (Reuters)
The European Central Bank held interest rates at 1.5 percent on Thursday and is likely to indicate that a policy tightening cycle it began in April is on hold in the face of growing evidence the euro zone’s economic recovery is losing momentum.

German Finance Minister: Situation In Greece Is ‘Serious’ (Reuters)
FYI.

Market Conditions Leave David Tepper Cautious (II)
Sources say the Appaloosa manager has gone 30 percent to 40 percent in cash, which is very high for him. Some of his cash is invested in U.S. Treasuries…he is not preparing to aggressively start spending this cash any time soon, except to pick up some shares of stocks he already owns on the dips.

Financial Firms’ Ceilings (WSJ)
Ms. Krawcheck believes that her abrupt exit from Bank of America “is not a woman’s issue,” a person familiar with her thinking said. “She doesn’t feel that. This was a business decision. The music stopped, and she didn’t have a chair.”

Yahoo Seen Willing To Take Any Bid After Bartz (Bloomberg)
Carol Bartz’s ouster is giving companies from Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. to Microsoft Corp the chance to buy Yahoo! Inc.’s earnings virtually for free.

Rising Fears Of Recession (NYT)
“The chances that we are in something that is going to feel like a recession are close to 100 percent,” said Joshua Shapiro of MFR Inc. in New York, who has diagnosed the economy more accurately than many other forecasters lately. “Whether we reach the technical definition”—which is determined by a committee of academic economists and based on gross domestic product, employment and other factors—“I think is probably close to 50-50.”

Gumby Botches Robbery Of 7-11 (CBS)
San Diego police say a suspect, dressed up as Gumby, tried to rob a 7-Eleven on Labor Day. The botched robbery happened just after midnight Monday in Rancho Penasquitos. Surveillance tape shows the costumed bandit telling the clerk he is being robbed and reportedly demands a pack of cigarettes and cash. The flexible suspect then tried to pull out what he said was a gun from his costume. Apparently flustered, Gumby dropped 27 cents on the floor and left the convenience store empty-handed. Continue reading »

  • 07 Sep 2011 at 6:46 PM

Write-Offs: 09.07.11

$$$ Facebook doubles first half revenue to $1.6 billion (Reuters)

$$$ John Paulson has lost 34 percent this year in his largest hedge fund, according to two people familiar with the firm. (Bloomberg)

$$$ Bank of America’s executive-level exfoliation (MarketPlace/Heidi Moore) Continue reading »