Opening Bell: 10.11.11

Goldman Sachs Earnings Collapse, Wells Fargo Thrives (Bloomberg)
Goldman Sachs, whose shares have fallen 43 percent this year, may report its lowest quarterly profit since the 2008 financial crisis. Far from Wall Street, Wells Fargo is headed for record earnings…Goldman’s earnings will collapse to breakeven in the third quarter from $2.98 per share a year earlier, according to the average of 24 analysts’ estimates compiled by Bloomberg. That would be the lowest since the fourth quarter of 2008, when the firm posted its only quarterly loss since going public in 1999. Twelve of the analysts expect Goldman Sachs to report a loss for the three months on Oct. 18, driven by declines in its investments in companies such as Industrial & Commercial Bank of China (1398) Ltd., which fell 35 percent in the quarter in Hong Kong trading, and other assets such as real estate.

Wall Street Shrinkage (WSJ)
New York City’s securities industry could lose nearly 10,000 jobs by the end of 2012, New York state’s comptroller predicted, a painful blow to the area’s economy and government budgets. In a report set to be released Tuesday, Comptroller Thomas P. DiNapoli also said bonuses are likely to shrink this year, reflecting lower profits on Wall Street.

‘Millionaire’ Home Visits Add To Wall Street Protests (Crain’s)
The coalition of labor, community and advocacy groups that organized last week’s 15,000-person march to support the protest in lower Manhattan is planning a “Millionaires March” for Tuesday afternoon that will visit homes of some of the city’s wealthiest residents. JP Morgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon, billionaire businessman David Koch, financier Howard Milstein, News Corp. CEO Rupert Murdoch and hedge fund maven John Paulson are all expected to receive visits at their homes.

Rio Tinto Says Greece Risk Overdone (Bloomberg)
“My sense is that the expectations are actually more gloomy than what is taking place on the ground,” Tom Albanese, chief executive officer of Rio Tinto, said today in an interview in Seoul. “From what I’m seeing, the actual real economy is probably doing better than the financial markets are worrying about.”

Blankfein Cancels Barnard College ‘Power Talk’ (Bloomberg)
Sorry, ladies: “Mr. Blankfein’s office informed us that he would be unable to deliver his lecture as planned, due to an unavoidable scheduling conflict,” Kathryn Kolbert, director of Barnard’s Athena Center for Leadership Studies, said in an e-mailed statement. “We expect that his talk will be rescheduled for a future date.” The “Power Talk” with Blankfein was cancelled because he “must be in Washington D.C. that evening,” the Athena Center said on its website.

NBA’s First Two Weeks Cancelled (WSJ)
The cancellation came after a seven-hour meeting at a Manhattan hotel on Monday. There are no further meetings scheduled and no timetable for when more games could be axed. Mr. Stern said that any financial losses incurred in the stretch will be factored in as negotiations move forward. The league has said it stands to lose hundreds of millions of dollars.

Pimco’s Balls Doesn’t See Buy Signal for European Sovereigns (Bloomberg)
“They need a medium-term plan for greater fiscal integration and to promote growth,” said Balls, head of European portfolio management at Pimco in London, in a Bloomberg Television interview on “In the Loop” with Betty Liu. “Everybody expects a default in Greece. You need to have a plan to prevent contagion. You need to make it credible.”

Bond Yields Show 60% Odds Of Recession (Bloomberg)
“The adjusted curve is giving a powerful signal for an upcoming U.S. recession,” said Ruslan Bikbov, a fixed-income strategist in New York at Bank of America, one of the 22 primary dealers of U.S. government securities that trade with the Fed. “If that happens, the Fed’s target rate could remain near zero beyond 2014,” more than a year longer than the central bank has indicated, he said in an interview on Oct. 3.

China Props Up Bank Shares (WSJ)
“The government clearly sent a message that it wants to boost confidence in the market,” said Wu Dazhong, an analyst at Shenyin Wanguo Securities. Some are skeptical. “Unless market participants can get a more credible picture of balance-sheet risks…we expect share prices to remain quite volatile,” said Sarah Wu, an analyst with UBS, in a note before Monday’s intervention. She said banks face a “credibility gap” between what they “are actually reporting and what the market is willing to believe.”

Jon Corzine: Occupy Wall Street ‘Bookend To Tea Party’ (CNBC)
“It happens to have a more left-wing point of view but it’s the same as the Tea Party in 2009. People are not satisfied that government is resolving the problems that matter in their lives.”

Bloomberg: Occupy Wall Street Can Stay Indefinitely (Metropolis)
Bloomberg said on Monday that he’ll allow the Wall Street protesters to stay indefinitely, provided they abide by the law, marking his strongest statement to date on the city’s willingness to let demonstrators occupy a park in Lower Manhattan. “The bottom line is – people want to express themselves. And as long as they obey the laws, we’ll allow them to,” said Bloomberg as he prepared to march in the Columbus Day Parade on Fifth Avenue. “If they break the laws, then, we’re going to do what we’re supposed to do: enforce the laws.” Bloomberg said he has “no idea” how much longer the Wall Street demonstration will last. “I think part of it has probably to do with the weather,” he said.

Kanye West, Russell Simmons Lend Support To Occupy Wall Street Protestors (NYDN)
West and Simmons They caused a brief frenzy in the crowd of protesters before Simmons went to appear on Al Sharpton’s radio show and West took off. “I love how sweet and tolerant he was to the crowd,” Simmons tweeted about West. On Sharpton’s show, which was being broadcast from the sunny park, Simmons said that as a member of the wealthy “1%,” he is willing to pay more taxes. “I’m happy to pay a little more taxes if it means better education for our children,” he said. “I don’t pay enough taxes and I know it.” He said it shouldn’t just be him, though. “I want to write a check when everybody else does,” he said.

Comments (46)

  1. Posted by AIG Quant via LEH | October 11, 2011 at 8:17 AM

    Roll the tanks in. Yes, that'll fix it.

  2. Posted by Mexi_Cant | October 11, 2011 at 8:32 AM

    John Paulson is getting taxees back this year on his negative net income, why are the mobs bothering him?

  3. Posted by Hamilton | October 11, 2011 at 8:38 AM

    Where Jamie saw a need to buy home insurance, I saw an opportunity to sell pitchforks.

    - Lloyd Blankfein explaining Goldman's recent purchase of thefind.com, Barney's Senate Circus, Washington DC, 2011 http://www.thefind.com/crafts/info-glitter-pitchf...

  4. Posted by Zoroz | October 11, 2011 at 8:44 AM

    The all-female Barnard College had obtained the slides for Blankfein's powertalk, entitled "Who's Your Daddy?", covering topics such as "no questions asked ride home at any time", "the h-j", "don't worry, it is normal", "you're not fat and ugly" and "I want you to know that you my and your mother's full support".

  5. Posted by guestapo | October 11, 2011 at 9:00 AM

    Don't quit your day job.

  6. Posted by guest | October 11, 2011 at 9:00 AM

    How long do you think it'll be before you have sex for the first time?

  7. Posted by anon | October 11, 2011 at 9:01 AM

    "I want you to know that you my and your mother's full support".

    got that?

  8. Posted by bartleby | October 11, 2011 at 9:04 AM

    Thank goodness! If they were marching on us greedy Thousandaires, my bass boat and trailer could get torched.

  9. Posted by Mexi_Cant | October 11, 2011 at 9:12 AM

    This level of savagery is unmatched, please let Matt make a venn diagram or something equally as complicated comparing race, gender and inequality implications.
    http://www.nypost.com/p/news/local/subway_girls_g...

  10. Posted by Hakuna Matata Guy | October 11, 2011 at 9:20 AM

    not to mention you and the boys would be heckled on your way to get steaks

  11. Posted by B2b MD | October 11, 2011 at 9:23 AM

    Wouldn't it be quicker for the protesters to take the subway? Does this mean they are "unoccupying" Wall Street?

    - Guy who has worked his whole life and only understands protesting NFL officiating (aka the other 1%)

  12. Posted by NowOnePerson | October 11, 2011 at 9:42 AM

    PMCO – your balls are talking to me again.

  13. Posted by Observerator | October 11, 2011 at 9:48 AM

    In January, do you think anyone is going to be pining for the return of the NBA? Somehow, I think not. I have a feeling that this lost season is going to be a big wake-up for the players and owners as to their overall relevance, or lack thereof, to the sports landscape.

  14. Posted by Guest | October 11, 2011 at 9:54 AM

    When the Chinese become the BSDs, that's when we'll have real shrinkage

  15. Posted by login | October 11, 2011 at 9:56 AM

    nobody wants you here

  16. Posted by guest | October 11, 2011 at 9:57 AM

    you think he has a job ?

  17. Posted by guest | October 11, 2011 at 9:58 AM

    you do realize that no one ever clicks on that shit rite ?

  18. Posted by Mexi_Cant | October 11, 2011 at 9:59 AM

    ? Its the post I didn't post some spam link, why wouldn't they watch a video of 4 14-16 year old girls fighting 4 cops. I know I would.

  19. Posted by Nailz6 | October 11, 2011 at 10:10 AM

    Kanye sure looks like he's happy in that picture. Pretty sure one of his songs goes, "stackin money till it gets sky high."

    Sounds like a banker to me.

  20. Posted by Hakuna Matata Guy | October 11, 2011 at 10:13 AM

    oh well,

  21. Posted by pazzo83 | October 11, 2011 at 10:16 AM

    Maybe if we're lucky the entire NBA season will be cancelled.

    - Washington Wizards fan

  22. Posted by Sleeper | October 11, 2011 at 10:20 AM

    True. I can't take another year like last year.

    - Carmelo Anthony's defensive skills

  23. Posted by HFguy | October 11, 2011 at 10:20 AM

    Floods are coming at House of God. Hope two of each animal are on board the Ark. You know it if you are on it.

  24. Posted by pazzo83 | October 11, 2011 at 10:23 AM

    Tell me about it.

    - every single person in the NYC metro

  25. Posted by Bandersnatch | October 11, 2011 at 10:24 AM

    There will be a huge outcry
    - The 2004 NHL

  26. Posted by Guest | October 11, 2011 at 10:27 AM

    Anyone who makes over 250K (not living in NYC isn't aloud to protest against wealth. I say outside NYC because unfortunately 250K in NYC is middle class, sad but true.

  27. Posted by AIG Quant via LEH | October 11, 2011 at 10:57 AM

    remedial English required.

  28. Posted by guest | October 11, 2011 at 11:08 AM

    I suspect you in fact are not 'middle class' in that case

  29. Posted by Montgomery Burns | October 11, 2011 at 11:15 AM

    Home visits?

    Smithers, release the hounds…

  30. Posted by NowOnePerson | October 11, 2011 at 11:24 AM

    ror! You rear funny, round-eye.

  31. Posted by NowOnePerson | October 11, 2011 at 11:26 AM

    I didn't realize defense was part of the game.

    -99% (of white people)

  32. Posted by Some Guy | October 11, 2011 at 11:30 AM

    Someday a real rain will come and wash all this scum off the streets.

  33. Posted by H8sPoorppl | October 11, 2011 at 11:42 AM

    observator, you allowed to be gay just not that gay

  34. Posted by NowOnePerson | October 11, 2011 at 11:47 AM

    we so smart… we awready recruit warr street runger. Awready made honorary asian.
    http://dealbreaker.com/2011/08/will-ball-flashing...

  35. Posted by Guest | October 11, 2011 at 12:06 PM

    yo ows i'm really happy for you, and imma let you finish, but egypt had the best protests of all time

    -kanye west

  36. Posted by Guest | October 11, 2011 at 12:08 PM

    it seems like we've made an error – all of these millionaires have jobs, so they're not going to be home in the afternoon

    -OWS quant

  37. Posted by Guest | October 11, 2011 at 12:20 PM

    The video won't play. My day is ruined

  38. Posted by Guest | October 11, 2011 at 12:31 PM

    I suggest a bullhorn

    - UBS Volume Quant (middle class)

  39. Posted by whowhawhen | October 11, 2011 at 12:32 PM

    right on homey – 99% of every kid who ever played

  40. Posted by Ameri_Can | October 11, 2011 at 12:53 PM

    English motherfucker, the word is taxes.

  41. Posted by Guest | October 11, 2011 at 12:55 PM

    Don't get so close to them.

  42. Posted by Speak N Spell | October 11, 2011 at 12:57 PM

    You'd earn more if you knew how to spell.

  43. Posted by trojan_ | October 11, 2011 at 1:37 PM

    nice try, you tried to stretch a double into a triple and got thrown out at third. hit the showers kid

  44. Posted by Guest | October 11, 2011 at 1:50 PM
  45. Posted by FKApmco | October 11, 2011 at 5:19 PM

    Noppy: I do a double take every time there is a post about PIMCO. PIMCO's Balls made me laugh.

    PS I'm a girl, ergo I don't have balls (except in the metaphorical sense of "She's got balls")

  46. Posted by HFguy | October 12, 2011 at 6:25 AM

    Hey GS Banksters, time spent thumbing me down could have been well spent either disguising yourself as an exotic animal to sneak onto the Ark or building your own boat.

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