Opening Bell: 11.09.11

Italy’s Focus Shifts To Forming New Government (Bloomberg)
Berlusconi said today that he favored early elections and that Angelino Alfano, head of his People of Liberty party, might be the candidate. Berlusconi last night said he’d step down as soon as parliament passed cost-cutting steps pledged to European Union allies in a bid to convince investors Italy can curb record borrowing costs. Parliament is due to vote on the measures in the coming weeks.

Exit From Italian Debt Spurs Fears (WSJ)
Italy has long relied on the fact that its debt level, although high at 120% of gross domestic product, isn’t rising much, thanks to Rome’s relatively small budget deficit. But the country still needs to borrow hundreds of billions of euros a year to repay its debts falling due. Next year, Italy must borrow enough money to repay more than €300 billion in maturing debts and cover a targeted budget deficit of up to €25 billion. If investors aren’t willing to lend Italy such sums, Europe will have to prop up the country with all the money it can muster—with help from the IMF—or risk a global financial crash.

Goldman Sachs Traders Lost Money on 21 Days in Third Quarter (Bloomberg)
Goldman, which relied on trading for 62 percent of revenue so far this year, recorded losses from that business on 21 days in the third quarter, the most since the fourth quarter of 2008. The firm’s traders lost more than $100 million on one of the days, according to the New York-based company’s quarterly filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. They produced more than $100 million on nine days out of 64 total days in the quarter that ended Sept. 30, the filing showed.

HSBC Hurt By Bad Loans (WSJ)
HSBC on Wednesday said revenue slipped in the third quarter as investment-banking clients sat on the sidelines, its Hong Kong business weakened and bad loans rose in the U.S. Adjusted pretax profit, which strips out a series of one-time factors and is closely watched by analysts, dropped 36% to $2.96 billion, from $4.60 billion. After factoring in a hefty, $4.11 billion accounting gain on the value of HSBC’s own debt, net profit in the three months to Sept. 30 was $5.22 billion, up 66% from $3.15 billion in the third quarter of 2010 and better than the second quarter’s $5.06 billion.

Yelp Eyes $2 Billion IPO (WSJ)
Like Groupon, which is currently valued at $15.9 billion, Yelp also rebuffed an earlier offer from Google, in Yelp’s case for approximately $500 million about two years ago, people familiar with the matter said. In January 2010, Yelp received a $25 million investment from private-equity firm Elevation Partners, which also bought shares from employees and earlier investors for a total investment of $100 million, people familiar with the matter said. That investment valued the company at about $500 million, the people said.

MF Global Clients May Have To Share Cash (Bloomberg)
“Distribution of the assets will be pro rata, if there’s insufficient there to fulfill all obligations,” said Stephen Harbeck, president of the Securities Investor Protection Corp., or SIPC. About $593 million in commodity customer funds are unaccounted for, according to a person with knowledge of regulatory probes into the failure of the New York-based firm.

Jim Rogers: Gold Will Hit $2,400 Bubble (CNBC)
“It will easily go to $2,000 but it will reach $2,400 over the course of the bull run, which has years to run,” said Rogers, the CEO and chairman of Rogers Holdings. ”It will end in a bubble when this is over. The way bull markets work is they go up and up and then by the end they turn into a bubble and that will happen to gold. He said, however, that such a bubble is still years from happening. “That could be five years, 18 years or six years,” he said. “I hope I am smart enough to sell but when that happens it will probably double.” He said that currently he would buy silver instead of gold because it’s cheaper on a historic basis. “I own both, I’m not selling either but if I had to buy one today I would buy silver,” he said.

JPM Analyst: UBS, Credit Suisse Should Pool Securities Units (Reuters)
UBS and Credit Suisse should focus solely on private banking and pool their investment banks if plans for curbing the latter’s risk-taking activities fail to appease shareholders, JPMorgan analyst Kian Abouhossein said. “If returns are still not adequate to shareholders, this is an alternative,” Abouhossein said, commenting on a research note published on Tuesday.

Cain says no way he harassed No. 4 (NYP)
Republican presidential contender Herman Cain denied that he even knew Sharon Bialek, a former underling he allegedly groped after she came to him for job advice — and flatly dismissed every other accusation of sexual harassment lobbed against him, too. “I have never acted inappropriately with anyone, period,’’ Cain said. “The charges and accusations I absolutely reject. They simply didn’t happen. They simply did not happen.’’

IMF Chief Warns World Economy Risks ‘Lost Decade’ (Reuters)
Christine Lagarde told a financial forum in Beijing that European plans to bolster a rescue package for Greece were a “step in the right direction”, but that the outlook for the world economy remained dangerous and uncertain. “There are clearly clouds on the horizon,” Lagarde said. “Clouds on the horizon particularly in the advanced economies and particularly so in the European Union and the United States.”

IEA: Oil Could Hit $150 a Barrel in Near Term (CNBC)
The price of oil could rise to as much as $150 per barrel in the near term if investment in the oil-producing countries of North Africa and the Middle East is lower than required to meet growth in demand from emerging economies, the International Energy Agency said on Wednesday.

Hedge Fund Manager Buys 4.9% Stake in MGIC (Deal Journal)
J. Kyle Bass, portfolio manager at Dallas-based Hayman Capital Management LP, bought the 4.9% stake in MGIC Investment Corp, according to federal filings. He said on Monday the bet reflected his view that the housing market’s losses had largely been absorbed. “You can see that the pig has moved through the python in terms of U.S. housing losses,” he said.

Occupy Guys On March To DC (NYP)
A group of “Occupy Wall Street” protesters will embark Wednesday on a two-week march from New York to Washington, D.C. The “Occupy The Highway” protesters are set to leave from New York’s Zuccotti Park at noon and march on foot to the capital, covering an average 20 miles a day for the next two weeks. They aim to reach Washington, D.C., by Nov. 23 — when a congressional committee will be deciding whether or not to uphold Bush-era tax cuts. “We will be in D.C. by Nov. 23 for the Congressional Super Committee meeting,” the protesters wrote on the “Occupy Wall Street” website. “This committee has the power to keep the Bush tax cuts (that only benefit the top one percent) or let them expire. We want to be there to fight for the 99 percent!”

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Comments (44)

  1. Posted by Hakuna Matata Guy | November 9, 2011 at 8:40 AM

    "The protesters will be walking from 9:00am to 5:00pm each day — what they call "banker hours." "

    Note to the brains of the Occupy movement: I believe there is a huge difference between "banker hours" and "bank teller hours". Another excuse to be lazy for you guys though.

  2. Posted by I went there | November 9, 2011 at 8:46 AM

    I hope they get run over by a tractor trailer or three.

  3. Posted by BrotherLehman | November 9, 2011 at 9:09 AM

    "Cain says no way he harassed No. 4 (NYP)":

    No one wants to talk about the tens of millions he didn't harass?

  4. Posted by Dr_Rosenrose | November 9, 2011 at 9:13 AM

    Yelp at $2bn is way overvalued, the service was terrible, and I got common when i ordered preferred. Won't be coming back here!

  5. Posted by Dr. Zaius | November 9, 2011 at 9:16 AM

    lt's not a case. The woman's a stone-faced liar. Let's not talk about that. l pulled out
    of her really early on that one.

    - Big Herm

  6. Posted by Guest | November 9, 2011 at 9:22 AM

    Dollars to donuts say they give up a few miles outside of NYC after finding there are no Starbucks in inner-city Jersey, and end up climbing on board the NY-to-DC bus.

  7. Posted by Guest | November 9, 2011 at 9:25 AM

    I think the attacks by the Cain campaign on these women are despicable – we did a thorough background check on them and didn't find anything that would question their credibility.

    - Fairfield Greenwich Due Diligence Team

  8. Posted by lex luthor | November 9, 2011 at 9:34 AM

    Key takeaway from the Raj VS Corzine situation: the VERY FIRST thing to do with your ill-gotten wall street gains is cut a check to the obama reelection campaign.

  9. Posted by guest | November 9, 2011 at 9:35 AM

    You're an idiot.

  10. Posted by guest | November 9, 2011 at 9:35 AM

    Raj hasn't been an Obama supporter, but please, don't let that effect your completely unfunny/moronic commentary.

  11. Posted by guest | November 9, 2011 at 9:36 AM

    Kill yourself.

  12. Posted by Merchant Refugee | November 9, 2011 at 9:54 AM

    I'm gonna kick that sorry Nigerian's @$$ and put a real brotha in the White House.

    -H.C.

  13. Posted by Guest | November 9, 2011 at 9:56 AM

    @JPM Analyst,

    Merging UBS with CS, that's just plain stupid. However, what if we were to build a skybridge to RBS?

    - UBS Board of Directors

  14. Posted by Guest | November 9, 2011 at 9:58 AM

    Today I would have been thankful for Dippin' Dots. Instead I am thankful I have the ability to shed tears.

  15. Posted by Tito | November 9, 2011 at 10:18 AM

    Raj was a major obama bundler, doofus, as was corzine.

  16. Posted by POW! | November 9, 2011 at 10:30 AM

    POW!

  17. Posted by HAM05 | November 9, 2011 at 10:34 AM

    i came to post about motives and examinations but it seems the db commentariat has gone soft. didn't even see a single comment removed by moderator.

    -disappointed in midtown

  18. Posted by Mr. Drysdale | November 9, 2011 at 10:38 AM

    Bankers used follow the 3-6-3 rule: pay 3% on deposits, charge 6% on loans, tee time at 3:00pm..

  19. Posted by Dumbass in Texas | November 9, 2011 at 10:39 AM

    Don't be Perry-noid!

  20. Posted by TheodoreBallgamePhD | November 9, 2011 at 10:42 AM

    Number 4? Not a chance. 1, 2, 3, 5? No comment.

    -H. Cain

  21. Posted by Youreandidiot | November 9, 2011 at 10:46 AM

    Yeah true! What the heck! And when did they stop giving out free toasters?!

  22. Posted by Texashedge | November 9, 2011 at 10:48 AM

    I think with company like Yelp or groupon, I'd rather have common than preferred.

    /guy who likes opentable

  23. Posted by PermaGuestII | November 9, 2011 at 10:51 AM

    I'm willing to bet they don't realize they have to walk the 10 miles up to the George Washington Bridge before they can cross the Hudson on foot.

  24. Posted by Guest | November 9, 2011 at 10:53 AM

    It appears HC has a thing for white pussy.

  25. Posted by PermaGuestII | November 9, 2011 at 10:54 AM

    What's wrong with #4?

    -Wm. J. Clinton

  26. Posted by trojan_ | November 9, 2011 at 10:54 AM

    What kind of sick man gropes an ailing legend like Lou Gehrig?
    -MF Global Sovereign Debt Trader

  27. Posted by I went there | November 9, 2011 at 11:00 AM

    What ever happened to the horse stable?

  28. Posted by An Accuser | November 9, 2011 at 11:07 AM

    Mr. Cain had also made suggestive hand gestures to me as well. He always held his hand out as if mimicking offering a handjob.
    -Soon to be Guy #1

  29. Posted by trojan_ | November 9, 2011 at 11:12 AM

    Amateur hour.
    -Ken Lay

  30. Posted by Guest | November 9, 2011 at 11:13 AM

    Me too.

    – White guy

  31. Posted by Client | November 9, 2011 at 11:23 AM

    Or No. 9??

    – Eliot Spitzer

  32. Posted by TheodoreBallgamePhD | November 9, 2011 at 11:23 AM

    Seriously.

    -J. Abramoff

  33. Posted by Dr. Zaius | November 9, 2011 at 12:12 PM

    "hey! buddy the elf made it through the lincoln tunnel, why can't we??"

    - OTH

  34. Posted by guest | November 9, 2011 at 12:15 PM

    yeah right

    -asian girl

  35. Posted by MeVC | November 9, 2011 at 12:23 PM

    No they are waiting for winter for the freeze over…

  36. Posted by philopatris | November 9, 2011 at 12:47 PM

    Didi Raj no good and will do Corzine no good either, just as all those contributions to W didn't keep Ken Lay out of a jail sentence–or even alive.

  37. Posted by Guest | November 9, 2011 at 12:54 PM

    “This committee has the power to keep the Bush tax cuts (that only benefit the top one percent) or let them expire. We want to be there to fight for the 99 percent!”

    I never realized lowering the marginal rates of every tax bracket only benefited the top bracket

  38. Posted by Toother | November 9, 2011 at 2:16 PM

    Kenyan. It's KENYAN.

  39. Posted by Cain Mutiny | November 9, 2011 at 3:04 PM

    He was trying to shake your hand, genius.

  40. Posted by one | November 9, 2011 at 3:59 PM

    Is there a problem with that?

    -Tiger Woods

  41. Posted by PermaGuestII | November 9, 2011 at 5:19 PM

    Further note: Washington is 230 miles from New York. If you march 20 miles/day for 14 days, you will have marched 280 miles. This will put you in Fredericksburg, VA.

  42. Posted by Guest | November 9, 2011 at 6:05 PM

    Who has tee times at 3pm on a weekday? Just show up, shoes on in the parking lot and walk to the first tee.

  43. Posted by Guest | November 9, 2011 at 6:09 PM

    For some it can be a costly problem.

  44. Posted by Guest | November 9, 2011 at 6:12 PM

    If it has anything to do with George Bush, the unshowered will go to great lengths to perform very futile and stupid gestures.

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