Archive for November 2011

Remember September 2008? Remember how American International Group was doing in September 2008? Kind of not so hot? Maybe needed the government to front it some cash to the tune of $85 billion? Maybe needed even more money after that, even though they swore they just needed that one hit, just to get them by? Maybe would’ve been- how to say this?- fucked, if not thrown a bone? Well Hank Greenberg’s been thinking about September 2008, for a while now, and what he’s concluded is that as an AIG shareholder, he was screwed, big time. And, the window of opportunity for apologies being long closed, he figures the only way he can be made to feel better about the situation is for the US to cough up $25 billion. At least. Continue reading »

  • 21 Nov 2011 at 11:23 AM

Jefferies: Nothing Is Fucked

Whatever you’ve heard, whatever you’ve read, whatever you’ve seen, whatever you saw- lies, all lies, spread by a hedge fund that Jefco isn’t going to dignify with a name-check. Continue reading »

Opening Bell: 11.21.11

U.S. Debt Supercommittee Ready to Announce Failure (Bloomberg)
A debt-reduction committee with special powers that was supposed to dissolve congressional gridlock in Washington is instead on the brink of failure, setting the stage for $1.2 trillion in automatic spending cuts. The 12-member bipartisan supercommittee likely will announce today that it can’t reach agreement on deficit savings, according to a Democratic aide…U.S. Senator Jon Kyl of Arizona, the chamber’s No. 2 Republican who sits on the panel, said Democrats turned down a final offer that included $250 billion in new revenue by eliminating some tax breaks even as it lowered income tax rates. “There’s a group of folks that will not cut a dollar unless we also raise taxes,” Kyl said on NBC’s “Meet the Press.” Senator John Kerry, a Massachusetts Democrat who serves on the committee, called Kyl’s statement “patently not true” and said Democrats agreed to $917 billion in spending cuts with no new revenue as part of the August agreement to raise the debt ceiling. The latest Republican plan, said Kerry, “still results in the biggest tax cut since the Great Depression.”

Buffett Doubts Euro Survival (CNBC)
“The system as presently designed has revealed a major flaw. And that flaw won’t be corrected just by words. Europe will either have to come closer together or there will have to be some other rearrangement because this system is not working,” Buffett said in an interview. Asked whether the union would survive this crisis, Buffett said: “That’s in doubt now.”

Moody’s Warns France On Rating (WSJ)
Moody’s Investors Service warned Monday that its stable outlook on France’s triple-A rating is under pressure, in another sign the euro zone’s sovereign-debt crisis is spreading from the bloc’s smaller and weaker states toward core economies.

Buffett Invites Analysts To Berkshire Meeting (WSJ)
After decades of largely shunning Wall Street analysts, Warren Buffett is preparing to give them a prominent voice at his company’s biggest event. Three research analysts will join Berkshire Hathaway Inc. shareholders in questioning the billionaire and his business partner, Charlie Munger, at the conglomerate’s annual meeting next year. The event started with 12 attendees 30 years ago and now draws tens of thousands of people to Mr. Buffett’s hometown of Omaha, Neb., each spring to pay homage to the world’s most famous investor and hear him speak.

Buffett Could Spend $10 Billion On Next Investment (Bloomberg)
“We like the A part better,” Buffett said in an interview with Bloomberg News in Fukushima prefecture in northern Japan, referring to a preference for acquisitions over mergers. “On the Lubrizol transaction I think we spent about $8.7 billion. We’d love another one like that — we can handle that. We can manage somewhat larger. We can handle a $10 billion deal very comfortably.”

Theodore Forstmann, Private Equity Pioneer, Is Dead at 71 (Dealbook)
Theodore J. Forstmann, a colorful financier and philanthropist who helped pioneer leveraged buyouts, died on Sunday at the age of 71. The cause was brain cancer, his spokesman said. Mr. Forstmann, who lived in Manhattan had been diagnosed with a malignant glioma earlier this year.

Picking Carcass Of MF Global (WSJ)
Centerbridge Partners, a $10 billion private-equity and hedge-fund firm, purchased as much as $15 million of MF Global’s bank debt on the heels of the firm’s collapse in late October, according to people familiar with the matter. David Tepper, who manages about $14 billion at hedge fund Appaloosa Management LP, bought nearly $50 million worth of MF Global investments, including shares, bonds and bank debt…Big hedge fund Elliott Management Corp. is on MF Global’s creditor’s committee, and traders say the firm owns a significant amount of MF Global’s debt, though it isn’t clear when it was accumulated. Other hedge funds say they also bought MF Global’s shares, which traded at about 13 cents on Friday, down from nearly $8 six months ago.

As Bears Multiply, Human Clashes (WSJ)
Bear populations have surged so much that several states, including Nevada, Oklahoma and New Jersey, have started or expanded bear hunting seasons. Texas is circulating a brochure that tells hunters what to do if a bear wanders into camp. (“Talk in a calm manner…Do not run!…Do not play dead!”)…”There are now bears in areas of the country where there haven’t been bears since the colonial days,” said Rick Winslow, a carnivore biologist with the New Mexico Department of Game and Fish…Black bears aren’t as menacing as grizzlies, which can top 800 pounds. In recent months, grizzlies have attacked and injured hikers in and around Glacier, Yellowstone and Grand Teton national parks. Two hikers were killed by grizzlies in Yellowstone this summer.

Occupy Wall Street takes drum circle to Bloomberg’s doorstep (AMNY)
Hundreds of demonstrators marched to Bloomberg’s Upper East Side home Saturday for what they hoped would be a 24-hour drum circle outside his building. Some danced, a few played on wind and brass instruments, and others banged on snare drums, pots and pans. Police blocked off the sidewalks on Bloomberg’s street and corralled the demonstrators on Fifth Avenue between 78th and 79th streets, kettling them into a pen where they were drumming and dancing. As of press time, the scene was generally peaceful and without incident. A police spokesman said they had no plans to make the protesters leave. Continue reading »

Guest on Wall Street Protests 2011: Snapple Guy Doesn’t Take Shit Or Prisoners: Continue reading »

Today’s all-the-things-are-the-same-thing news, sort of, is Bloomberg’s report of the tiff between BlackRock’s Larry Fink and a guy at “Lyxor,” which is the name of SocGen’s ETF business and also a good way to make me think of the words “pyramid,” “casino,” “typo” and now “SocGen” all at the same time, which does not make me want to invest with them. Anyway, the crux of it is this:

So-called synthetic ETFs, offered by firms including Societe Generale’s Lyxor Asset Management and Deutsche Bank AG, introduce a layer of complexity and counterparty risk that investors may not be aware of, Fink said yesterday. Synthetic funds generate returns through derivatives contracts rather than owning underlying securities as traditional ETFs do.

“If you buy a Lyxor product, you’re an unsecured creditor of SocGen,” Fink, who heads the world’s largest asset manager, said at a conference held in New York by Bank of America Corp.’s Merrill Lynch unit. Providers of synthetic ETFs should “tell the investor what they actually are. You’re getting a swap. You’re counterparty to the issuer.”

Lyxor says au contraire mon Fink, physical ETFs are just as bad:
Continue reading »

Instead he was left feeling pretty meh about the whole thing. Continue reading »

“This is alleged to have occurred…what? Twenty years ago?” Jim Boeheim said in an interview with Syracuse.com. “Am I in the right neighborhood? It might be 26 years ago? So we are supposed to what? Stop the presses 26 years later? For a false allegation? For what I absolutely believe is a false allegation? I know [the accuser is] lying about me seeing him in his hotel room. That’s a lie. If he’s going to tell one lie, I’m sure there’s a few more of them…The Penn State thing came out and the kid behind this is trying to get money. He’s tried before. And now he’s trying again. If he gets this, he’s going to sue the university and Bernie,” Boeheim said. “What do you think is going to happen at Penn State? You know how much money is going to be involved in civil suits? I’d say about $50 million. That’s what this is about. Money.” [WaPo, related]

Are you a down on your luck hedge fund manager who hasn’t had a good and/or original idea in a while? Did you get your face ripped off the last two years by going the wrong way on everything? Do you sense that your investors are only sticking around to be nice and/or because you won’t let them leave but will desert you the second you give them an option better than illiquid shares of a walkie-talkie passion project, unless you come up with something and fast? Then you might want to consider sticking their money in this: Continue reading »

As you may have heard, following the middle of night raid on Zuccotti Park by the NYPD, Occupy Wall Street protestors kicked things up a notch Thursday, with full-scale gatherings in downtown Manhattan, a rally outside the stock exchange and a march back to the Brookefield-owned place they call home. Things escalated quite quickly, with officers reportedly punching protestors (and journalists), sealing off the park and making arrests inside and, apparently, bloodying one man’s face and possibly also removing his pants, for some reason. One guy not affiliated with the police but who also had a bit of a confrontation with the demonstrators chose a less violent, more effective tack to get his point across. Continue reading »

A thing about credit ratings is that issuers pay for ratings, and the issuers who pay more get better ratings. This is a problem that many people want to solve either by the obvious approach of having someone else pay for ratings or by the fancier approach of having issuers pay for ratings but not letting agencies compete directly for that money.

Today a paper by three accounting professors reminds us that the first approach has been tried, and not just by Egan-Jones. In the early 1970s, while Moody’s was charging issuers for ratings, S&P was still charging investors, so there was a period where you could directly compare the ratings of two big established agencies, one of whom had incentives to give actionable advice to investors, the other of whom had incentives to give good ratings to issuers. You will not be surprised at what happened: Continue reading »

Unlike the life-changing partnership ritual that takes place every two years, the managing director promotions, announced Wednesday, are more of a light pat on the ass that says, you’re doing a pretty okay job so far, but don’t get cocky. Stay hungry for the reach-around. In even more day-making news, Goldman decided to shine the light on much fewer employees than in prior times (down 19 percent from 2010′s 321), making the chosen feel extra special. Continue reading »