Archive for May 2012

Write-Offs: 05.31.12

$$$ Spain reveals €100bn capital flight [FT]

$$$ Spain Says It Has Months to Raise Bank-Bailout Funds [WSJ]

$$$ Market Braces for What Could Be Another Weak Jobs Report [CNBC]

$$$ Goldman’s Cohn Warns Of Poaching Risks From Further Cuts [Bloomberg]

$$$ Larry Fink’s hedge-fund-manager son Josh isn’t having a great time of it [AR-Alpha]

$$$ “T. Boone Pickens, who apparently follows Drake on Twitter, sure isn’t [impressed], replying ‘The first billion is a helluva lot harder’ with a mic-drop retweet.” [Gizmodo]
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Mr. Jain, 49 years old, played a central role in building Deutsche Bank’s investment-banking business over nearly two decades as it reached beyond its staid commercial-banking roots. Investment banking now generates about 70% of the overall bank’s profits most quarters. He takes the [CEO] post at a time when many analysts consider the lender one of the least well capitalized among its investment-banking peers. The bank also faces a litany of legal problems on both sides of the Atlantic. Those who know Mr. Jain say he will cut the fat at the banking giant, sell businesses that don’t meet profit goals and shutter others. [WSJ]

Tomorrow morning, Anshu Jain will start his new job as co-CEO of Deutsche Bank. Despite having previously overseen operations that produce 90 percent of the firm’s profits in any given quarter, sitting on the management committee, and generally being considered a “star” both within the company and among those who follow his work, chief executive officer is a title no one thought AJ would be given if he remained at DB, because 1) people back in Germany don’t like that he’s an investment banker and 2) “In Germany, no one can imagine an Indian working in London who does not speak German being CEO of Deutsche Bank.” To the haters’ chagrin, though, that’s exactly what’s about to happen. And if they want to continue bitching about it, they can be Jain’s guest– their insults go in one ear and out the other. Read more »

Do you want to write things on Dealbreaker? We are looking for a few more regular columnists to write regularly on the areas of their expertise and interest. Topics could include private equity, hedge funds, b-school, stripping one’s way through b-school, or something that has absolutely nothing to do with any of those things but which you are particularly passionate about. Topics like “what I am thinking about this week” or “finance!” will probably be less successful. Read more »

Are you among the people who mistakenly believe working for Goldman Sachs has lost its luster? That the youth of America no longer spend nights dreaming about what it’d be like to bask in the glow of Lloyd Blankfein? That a guy who couldn’t tie his shoes ’til he was 22 was able to ruin the picture they had their minds of what it would be like to one day, if they worked really hard, have Gary Cohn hike up one leg, plant his foot on a their desk, his thigh close to their face, and ask how markets were doing? Then you don’t have a clue. Read more »

CFA 2012: Good Luck To All

As those of you who took the week off to study are well-aware, Saturday is CFA exam day, for all levels. And while we have complete confidence in each and every one of your abilities, some people have expressed feeling a bit jittery about the test. For the vast majority, those fears, while normal, are unwarranted. You just need to talk it out and should consider this space a safe place to do so. For a smaller group of people, though, your fears are totally founded because, statistically speaking, you will fail. Having said that… Read more »

Just a quick update re: yesterday’s story about the group of Piedmont Driving Club golfers one member wanted to see shamed for various offenses committed during a tournament that included (but was not limited to) slapping people in the face with appendages other than their hands: Read more »

Morgan Stanley has announced that it will be buying 14% of its Morgan Stanley Smith Barney joint venture from Citi in a sort of glacially negotiated way. MS currently owns 51% of MSSB (plus $5.5bn of preferred interests), and Citi owns the other 49% (plus $2bn of preferred). You can read how they’re going to figure out the price here. Basically they each hire an advisor to value MSSB like a public company, and then get together and see how close they are. If they’re within 10% of each other, they average their prices; if not, they hire a third advisor to figure out who got closer to the right answer. Don’t get too excited about pitching to be one of those advisors, though, at least not in the first round:

Morgan Stanley and Citigroup each will engage one investment bank or financial advisory firm of national standing and with experience in the valuation of securities of financial services companies (an “Appraiser”) for purposes of estimating FMV. All fees and disbursements of the first two Appraisers shall be the responsibility of the party that engaged such Appraiser. Either or both of the first two Appraisers may be an affiliate of the party engaging such Appraiser, and Morgan Stanley has engaged Morgan Stanley Investment Banking as its Appraiser.

MSSB’s net income was about $300mm last year*, and recent Morgan Stanley Investment Banking valuation precedents suggest about a 100x P/E, so I’ll go ahead and predict we’ll see a $30bn-ish valuation from them, no? (Too easy? Actually, ha, it’s not that wildly off; press reports suggest a $15bn bid from MS and a $23bn offer from Citi.) Here’s how they’ll do their math: Read more »

Opening Bell: 05.31.12

At Core Of Greek Chaos, A Reviled Tax (WSJ)
So despised is the property tax that its critics—which is to say, most of Greece—refer to it as the haratsi, after a per capita tax imposed by the occupying Ottomans. About three-quarters of Greece’s households own their homes. Like many other European countries, Greece already has some property taxes. But those have been aimed mostly at higher-value properties and raised little revenue.

JPMorgan To Spin Out ‘Special Investments’ (FT)
The unit, whose investments include LightSquared, the wireless internet provider, will be moved to the bank’s corporate division and prevented from seeking fresh investment opportunities, bankers were told on Wednesday.

Woman Who Wouldn’t Be Intimidated By Citigroup Wins $31 Million (Bloomberg Markets)
Sherry Hunt never expected to be a senior manager at a Wall Street bank. She was a country girl, raised in rural Michigan by a dad who taught her to fish and a mom who showed her how to find wild mushrooms. She listened to Marty Robbins and Buck Owens on the radio and came to believe that God has a bigger plan, that everything happens for a reason. She got married at 16 and didn’t go to college. After she had her first child at 17, she needed a job. A friend helped her find one in 1975, processing home loans at a small bank in Alaska…In March 2011, more than two years after Citigroup took $45 billion in bailouts from the U.S. government and billions more from the Federal Reserve — more in total than any other U.S. bank — Jeffery Polkinghorne, an O’Fallon executive in charge of loan quality, asked Hunt and a colleague to stay in a conference room after a meeting. The encounter with Polkinghorne was brief and tense, Hunt says. The number of loans classified as defective would have to fall, he told them, or it would be “your asses on the line.” Hunt says it was clear what Polkinghorne was asking — and she wanted no part of it.

Jobless Claims Increased Last Week (Bloomberg)
First-time claims for jobless benefits increased by 10,000 to 383,000 in the week ended May 26 from a revised 373,000 the prior week, the Labor Department said today. The initial claims exceeded the median estimate of 370,000 in a Bloomberg News survey of economists. The number of people on unemployment benefit rolls dropped.

For French CEO’s, Politics Means Big Pay Cuts (WSJ)
Top managers at France’s state-owned companies are expected to face significant pay cuts next month, when Socialist President François Hollande plans to begin enforcing salary caps as part of his broader electoral pledge to get tough on the rich. During the presidential campaign, Mr. Hollande vowed to curb “excessive” remunerations at France’s 52 state-controlled or partially state-owned companies by ordering that executive pay not exceed 20 times the salary of the lowest-ranking employees.

New York Plans to Ban Sale of Big Sizes of Sugary Drinks (NYT)
The proposed ban would affect virtually the entire menu of popular sugary drinks found in delis, fast-food franchises and even sports arenas, from energy drinks to pre-sweetened iced teas. The sale of any cup or bottle of sweetened drink larger than 16 fluid ounces — about the size of a medium coffee, and smaller than a common soda bottle — would be prohibited under the first-in-the-nation plan, which could take effect as soon as next March. Read more »

Write-Offs: 05.30.12

$$$ EU Weighs Direct Aid To Banks As Antidote To Crisis [Bloomberg]

$$$ Tempted, U.S. Funds Hop the Pond [WSJ]

$$$ Two top Fed officials cool to more easing [Reuters]

$$$ “Mr. Gupta’s lawyer sought to depict the Rajaratnam brothers and other Galleon employees as braggarts who lied about having inside sources to impress their colleagues. … Mr. Naftalis asked Mr. Cardillo about a recommendation by Mike Fisherman, a former Galleon colleague, to bet that shares of the women’s retailer Chico’s would fall. When pressed by his colleagues for his reasons for shorting the stock, Mr. Fisherman said that he had a tip from Chico’s chief financial officer, according to Mr. Naftalis. Mr. Fisherman later told Mr. Cardillo that he fabricated his inside source at Chico’s, Mr. Naftalis suggested.” [DealBook]

$$$ Nicolas Sarkozy’s brother is dating Mary-Kate Olsen [NYP]
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Then we’ll see what’s what. Until then? Step off, bitch. Read more »