Don’t Rely On Rating Agencies To Tell You Who Will Get A Bailout » This is a graph of “Bank Total Risk” as measured by “6-Months Rolling Risk Measures.” You could have questions about these measures, which are a combination of (1) stock market measures (basically the vol of a bank’s stock) and (2) balance sheet measures like Z-scores. So you could ask yourself “does this reflect the bank’s risk-taking, or the market’s perception of the bank’s risk, and are those meaningfully different things to measure?” ANYWAY. Up is riskier.
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