Which is why the bank is pretty confident that Goldman Sachs is totally wrong and that Spain’s highly-compensated players will repeat as World Cup champions this summer.

On a related note, ING’s pretty sure that Colombia has been spelling its name wrong for the last 200 years.

While Goldman used past performances to make its predictions, ING has tried to forecast which team will win the tournament based on the quality of its players, measured by the market value of the squad. To determine each team’s market value, ING used the transfer value of each member of the 23-man squads….

Which national team has the highest market capitalization? Reigning champions Spain, followed by Germany and Brazil. ING has used the transfer value of each member of the 23 man squad to make its calculations.

Colombians, already peeved at people misspelling their country’s name, may not be too happy.

Who Will Win the World Cup? Goldman Says Brazil; ING Says Spain [WSJ MoneyBeat blog]
Goldman Sachs Predicts the World Cup Winner [WSJ MoneyBeat blog]

10 comments (hidden to protect delicate sensibilities)
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Comments (10)

  1. Posted by Guest | June 5, 2014 at 1:08 PM

    I wouldn't pay 37 Euros to see the US win the world cup. It's only worth a fiver at most.

  2. Posted by Guest | June 5, 2014 at 1:12 PM

    The US's value is probably primarily due to Tim Howard.

  3. Posted by Guest | June 5, 2014 at 1:15 PM

    Just because they are on the highest salaries doesn't make them the best. They should know this by looking at their own payroll.

  4. Posted by UFOinsider | June 5, 2014 at 2:08 PM

    We're terribly sorry for the misspelling of Columbia. In yesterday's publication, it was written as "gangsta's paradise".

    – ING PR

  5. Posted by Klinnsy | June 5, 2014 at 2:30 PM

    Salary != transfer value. Other than that no concerns.

  6. Posted by Guest | June 5, 2014 at 3:25 PM

    not many IB firms sell team jerseys with star employees names on them nor do they use the star employees to sell football boots.

  7. Posted by W. Walter | June 5, 2014 at 4:41 PM

    I'd pay 37 Euros if I could get the 200:1 odds for US with the bookies.

  8. Posted by klhoughton | June 5, 2014 at 5:21 PM

    You would take 200:1 on the US winning =this= World Cup?

  9. Posted by Guest | June 5, 2014 at 5:35 PM

    that's beacuse of teamwork. there are no numbers in teamwork.

  10. Posted by GUEST | June 5, 2014 at 9:09 PM


    Coolio, Resident, Gangsta's Paradise