Bill Ackman

  • 26 Jan 2009 at 12:25 PM

I Want My Two Dollars

What will we miss most about the last few years? Well, the list is long, but high up on it is Bill Ackman’s skewing of MBIA. That trade was a brutally long campaign, and caught Ackman a lot of flak from MBIA’s PR efforts, but it paid off in the end. Apparently, he has unwound it, finally. Waiting on the last two dollars might have been bouncing the rubble. After a 78% drop in 2008, I’d think about unwinding too. Then again, while he’s been in MBIA with Pershing Square for some time, his short view on the stock dates back much longer: seven years or so.

Ackman first thought MBIA’s stock and bonds would fall in 2002 when he oversaw Gotham Partners, a New York-based investment firm. He wrote a 62-page report casting doubt on the AAA ratings at MBIA’s insurance unit, and last year seven bond insurers lost top rankings as losses on securities backed by subprime mortgages soared.

Sexy graphs after the jump.

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Certain seals-of-approval have vastly diminished in the last 36 months. Rumsfeld’s Iraq suggestions: low approval. Fannie Mae policy papers: low approval. Dick Fuld’s Feng Shui guide: low approval.
Others, however, have grown rather substantially in the public eye. Your mother’s paranoia about debt: high approval. Your father’s advice to become a doctor and ignore that banking thing: high approval. William Ackman’s advice on anything: high approval.
So when Ackman gives the Fed Reserve a gold star, well, you just want to smile at Beard after weeks of cat-calling him. Don’t you?

What I like is I think stocks are cheap and I think the Federal Reserve has taken some very important steps that will improve liquidity–the banking system–and that in turn will help the economy,” Ackman said on CNBC. “I think the most significant thing the Fed has done is committed to putting $250 billion in the banking system. I think they’re doing it the smart way.

Fed Taking Measures ‘the Smart Way’: Ackman [CNBC]

blaine.jpgI don’t think I’m alone here when I say we’re all still waiting for Jimmy Cayne’s sage counsel on how to save FNM and FRE, but, in the meantime, here are Pershing Square manager Bill Ackman’s recommendations. Seemingly missing from the plan is a part for David Blaine, but we assume it was left out in order to preserve the element of surprise.
How to Save Fannie and Freddie [Pershing Square, PDF]