predictions

Let the outflow begin: as of last week, headhunters say UBS’s investment banking staff have banked their (allegedly paltry) cash bonuses for 2012 and are ready and willing to leave the bank. “Cash bonuses hit their accounts on March 25th,” one fixed income headhunter told us, speaking on condition of anonymity. “A lot of UBS fixed income people are trying to leave and already under offer. You will see around 20% of their fixed income people leaving over rest of this year,” he predicted. [eF]

  • 04 Jan 2013 at 6:15 PM

Wien Pronounceth. Invest Accordingly.

Assent. Dissent. Abjure. Embrace. Mock. Mock each other’s mocking. Generally talk among yourselves. Read more »

He’s calling it now. Read more »

According to “revenue compensation trends,” though good vibes and happy thoughts could prove them wrong. Read more »

Each year, after a long and very comprehensive background check, a lucky group of Goldman employees are abducted from their desks, blindfolded, gagged, and led by candlelight through a dark hallway and into a subterranean conference room. Standing on the table before them are Lloyd Blankfein, Gary Cohn and the rest of the management committee, who ask if they are prepared to pledge their devotion to the firm above all else. Those who agree have their nether regions dipped in a vat of gold and, at the stroke of midnight, are inducted into the Brotherhood of the Sach. While there are many ways that becoming a member of the club will change one’s life, the most important one involves the partaking of astronomical profits on payday. As a result, when people are not invited to join the group, they tend to get very upset. For instance, hedge fund manager David Tepper, who became a billionaire many times over after leaving the firm, was still so upset about the snub twenty years later that he bought and bulldozed the house of the guy who passed him over. Others probably wouldn’t have even gone to the trouble of buying the place first, and operated the wrecking ball themselves. Which is why we say in full seriousness that the Partnership Committee might want to watch its back this year. Read more »

According to Meredith Whitney, banks will be cutting another 100,000 employees in the near to very near future. [Bloomberg]

Facebook will lose dominance as a major web company in less than a decade, Eric Jackson, founder of Ironfire Capital said Monday on CNBC’s Squawk on the Street. “In five to eight years they are going to disappear in the way that Yahoo has disappeared,” Jackson said. “Yahoo is still making money, it’s still profitable, still has 13,000 employees working for it, but it’s 10 percent of the value that it was at the height of 2000. For all intents and purposes, it’s disappeared.” [CNBC]

“I think we could have a global recession either in Q4 or early 2013.” When asked what were the odds, Faber replied, “100%.” [CNBC]

CNBC: You’re very optimistic about the future not only of this country but also of the stock market. If you have a list of worries, what’s at the top of that list? Buffett: Nuclear, chemical, and biological attacks. Whether by government or some rogue group. That will happen some day in our future and it will be anything from a large tragedy to an unbelievable tragedy. [Video]

George Soros is here to tell you a bedtime story about what happens to little boys and girls who don’t listen to every damn word he has to say! Read more »

Unlike past predictions, no one has to die for Dennis to nail this one (that we know of). Read more »