Traders

Addicted To Trading?

“The human brain, these researchers say, responds to high-stakes trading just as it does to the lure of sex. And the riskier the trades get, the more the brain craves them,” Jenny Anderson of the New York Times reports. According to one study, the “brain images of drug addicts who are about to take another hit are indistinguishable from those of traders who are making money and about to place another trade.”

Craving the High That Risky Trading Can Bring [New York Times]

Trade Of The Year: Reverse Margin Call

Trader Montlhy Trade of The Year.jpgTrader Monthly’s annual Trade of the Year issue is out, and as you might expect the words “short” and “mortgages” are all over the top trades. The top short equity trade goes to Bill Ackman’s shorting MBIA while the top overall trade goes to John Paulson of Paulson Credit Opportunities for his subprime play, which Trader Monthly says may be the “greatest trade of all time.” (If you don’t have a subscription to Trader Monthly, you can read excerpts of the issue at FT Alphaville.)

It’s got some good detail on how Paulson achieved his 590% return by taking position shorting the ABX and shorting individual CDOs. According to Trader Monthly, Paulson bought credit default swaps that required the seller to post cash collateral if the protection premiums hit a certain threshold.

Two sources close to the action describe how, at one point last summer, Paulson put the touch on a major bulge-bracket brokerage for $500 million — a reverse margin call, as it were. A 24-hour tension-filled tussle ensued over whether the brokerage would pony up. Paulson prevailed.

This tale of the hedge funder wrestling down a bulge-bracket brokerage is pretty amazing but we’re disappointed that Trader Monthly plays all coy with the name of the brokerage. Does anyone seriously doubt that we’re talking about Bear Stearns here?

Best of 2007 : The Fourth Annual Trades of the Year [Trader Monthly]

The (Face Of The) $7.14 Billion Man

jerome kerviel small.gifThe man picture at left is, purportedly, Jerome Kerviel, the Société Générale employee who executed a bunch of “elaborate, fictitious transactions” that cost the bank a bunch of money. Not to treat him like an object because obviously he’s a person with feelings, but we’re a bit taken a back by how good looking he is. And not like “rogue trader hot,” like “hot, hot” without qualifiers (direct quote from Ron Blarney: “I’m don’t even like Two and A Half Men and I still fuck him”). This attractiveness will serve him well in the event of a nationally televised trial, and even better in prison.

Continue Reading »

The Hunt Is On: Who Paid $100 A Barrel For Oil?

How exactly do you get bragging rights for being the guy who paid the most ever for a barrel of oil? When we first heard that a single, small trade had finally broken the $100 mark we were convinced it was a stunt, and possibly a prank. There were indications that the order might be a fugazi.

And, apparently, there was an early trade at $100 that turned out to be phony. But after an investigation by the NYMEX, it quickly became apparent that the trade was real. A guy trading on his own money bought 1,000 barrels of crude—the smallest trade allowed—from a colleague on the floor. (There are still whispers that these two arranged the trade and agreed to kick back the excess profit but we’ve found no evidence of this.)

The Financial Times tags Richard Arens as the trader. He runs some sort of brokerage called ABS. We’ll give him this: off the floor of the NYMEX (and maybe on the floor) no-one had ever heard of him before. Or, you know, we certainly hadn’t. This is no slight to Arens—the oil traders who are household names are few and far between. We found Arens name on a list of donors to a NYMEX related charity—he gave less than a thousand bucks.

Arens still isn’t talking so its possible he’s only famous by mistake. For very personal reasons, we were hoping the $100 man was former Amaranth trader Brian Hunter. But let’s not go there just now.

Independent trader claims $100 oil record [Financial Times]

JP Morgan’s Commodities Trading Troubles

Almost lost among the widespread relief that JP Morgan Chase didn’t suffer a Citigroup or Bank of America like third quarter was the poor performance of the bank’s commodities trading operations.

It’s hard to believe, but it was just last year that Jamie Dimon was telling analysts that bulking up its commodities and asset-backed securities trading would diversify the banks trading business and smooth out volatility. In March of this year, JP Morgan’s co-head of investment banking, William Winters, was telling investors that the bank expected energy trading to add somewhere between $100 million and $160 million in annual earnings in 2007. As late as June, JP Morgan was announcing plans the expand its commodity-trading staff by more than 30 percent, or 40 more people.

The plan hasn’t quite worked out, and now might be a good time to ask what happened. Last year, the plan seemed to be working. The bank scored a windfall by scooping up the assets of Amaranth and then flipping them to Citadel. But shortly afterwards it lost several top commodities traders.

Parker Drew, who was recruited in 2005 to run the gas trading business after his own hedge fund folded, left the bank at the end of 2006. George Taylor, who ran the bank’s energy business, left in May 2007, and shortly after words Trevor Woods, who had replaced Drew, left. Three others also followed Taylor out the door.

At the time of these high level departures, there was a lot of speculation that they were connected to the bank’s role in the collapse of Amaranth. JP Morgan’s was the clearing firm for energy traders at Amaranth, and it’s margin calls reportedly helped bring the hedge fund down. When the bank then bought Amaranth’s positions as it struggled to meet margin calls and return money to investors, many raised an eyebrow at how the bank seemed to be profiting from the troubles of its client. There was speculation that the bank may have decided that some of its traders were on too many sides of Amaranth’s collapse.

This was hardly an undisputed position, however. The bank said the departures had nothing to do with Amaranth. Others say the traders left because they were unhappy with their compensation following the massive profits the desk made for the bank in 2006.

In June, the bank hired Foster Smith from Deutsche Bank to head U.S. power and natural-gas trading. Deutsche was tied with JP Morgan as the fifth largest energy trading bank in 2006. It’s clear that the energy trading operation’s performance has been a huge disappointment for the bank, and that Smith seems to have stepped into a mess. We haven’t found solid numbers on the energy trading performance, but JP Morgan describes it’s commodities trading performance—a broader category—as “weak.” That’s still not much solid guidance about what went wrong but it’s a starting place.

Derivatives Trader Lets His Watch Talk For Him. But What Is It Saying?

andrewmitchellderivativestrader.jpgToday’s “Look Book,” a New York Magazine feature that displays the island’s residents at their sartorial best and (most often, statistically-speaking) worst, is about pre-schoolers. You know—kids. But since small ones don’t really give a rat’s A about this sort of stuff, and old people don’t really have much left to live for, almost all of the shots are of kids looking away or running from or glaring at the camera, with the parents being all “take that one again, you didn’t get my good side, if it’s important, I’ll make the time.”

First up are Andrew Mitchell, a derivatives trader, and his daughter, Hannah (pictured at left). Actually look like a pretty cute couple, and maybe the most normal of the bunch. Hannah’s wearing white after Labor Day, but her red Jellies are a perfect take on this season’s Wizard of Oz theme and she’s two, so we’ll issue a pass, this time. Kind of seems like Amy Larocca, LB editor, was asleep at the wheel on this one (she’s better known for featuring subjects dressing in the parlance of boho-freak).

But look closer, and Larocca’s buried a question mark within an enigma inside of a mystery, that only people like you can solve—Andrew’s watch. It appears to be plastic, possibly an Ironman. It may even be, as one Dealbreaker commenter suggested, “a $17 Casio.” Not Breitling, or Panerai, or Piaget, or Rolex, for god’s sake. Not even Rolex. Certainly not the limited edition version of Hermès’s “Cape Cod 1928” watch (the “Cape Cod Wall Street”).

What does Andrew’s choice of piece say about him, not as a man, but as a trader? We’re told he works at Barclays, so perhaps he took himself, and his accessories, off the fast track a long time ago? That after he drops off Hannah, he’s going to the gym? New York notes that it is 9 a.m. Is Andrew’s timepiece indicative of the fact that his presence at the office is fast becoming unnecessary? Or is he—to use that horrible phrase—a “big hitter,” who can come and go as he pleases, and is, as another commenter posits, “Above such flashy displays of wealth”? Does Andrew’s plastic say, “I have nothing to prove”? Or “This was all I could afford”? One friend of Dealbreaker is inclined to go with the former, pointing out that “You need only look parallel to Hannah’s left foot. Andrew wears an Ironman because he, quite visibly, has no need to overcompensate via watch.” But that’s just one slut’s opinion. Tell us what you think.

Preschool Drop-off [New York Magazine]

“You better get a bucket ‘cause I’m gonna want to vomit in it”

tradekingcopyranter.jpg

[Nice to see Eddie Lampert supplementing last month’s losses with some choice endorsement work, isn’t it?]

Trading IS Sex, Baby [copyranter]

Bigger Than The War In Iraq: “30 Under 30” Imbroglio Continues

A representative from the “Trader Monthly” community just called to let us know that Tim Sykes was disinvited from the mag’s Tuesday night party for reasons greater than “the pink bathrobe.” They include the fact that:

a. Tim doesn’t behave like a responsible member of the financial community.

b. He showed no remorse for losing other people’s money (TM cited an e-mail from Cilantro in which the fund’s manager noted, “At least I didn’t lose double digits this month,” which Global Alpha only wishes it could say to investors).

c. Other traders didn’t want Tim at the party.

d. On this episode of Wall Street Warriors, Sykes refers to himself as a “cheap Jew.”

If Tim promises to atone for his self-loathing comments tomorrow, TM will consider allowing him to attend next year’s celebration. In other news, we’re told that Zach Michaelson was also banned from the party, and resorted similarly unsuccessful begging tactics, as well. E-mail exchanges (should they exist) TK.

Earlier: ‘Trader Monthly’ Will Not Have Its Reputation Tainted By Tim Sykes (Zach Michaelson, Sure)

Corn - The Silent Killer

corn.jpg …of obesity (since food manufacturers may be forced to start using a cheaper and almost by default healthier substitute for corn syrup), and comedy, as judged by the following joke, courtesy of Freakonomics:

One night, a trader gets home from work, late as usual. As he’s getting undressed in the bedroom, for some reason he is overcome by curiosity and decides to go snooping in his wife’s dresser. In the very first drawer he opens, he discovers something truly strange: $12 in cash and three loose kernels of corn. Downstairs, he admits to his wife that he went snooping.

“Oh, so you found it,” she says.

“Yes,” he says, “but what is it?”

The husband and wife have not been close for years, and now the wife admits that she has had affairs, and that in remembrance of each affair, she stashed a kernel of corn in her drawer. The husband is taken aback, but also relieved. He, too, has had affairs — and so he says, quite slickly: “Well, look, I’m willing to forget about all this if you are.” After all, he has had far more than three lovers on the side.

“Fine,” she says.

There is an awkward silence. Then he asks: “But what about the $12 in the drawer along with the corn?”

“Oh, that,” she says. “When corn hit $4 a bushel a month ago, I decided to cash in.”

This joke would have been much funnier with pork bellies. If anyone has any rising commodity price jokes, please share.

What’s That Have to Do With the Price of Corn? [Freakonomics Blog]

Poll Shows Traders Like Money, Stevie Cohen; Jail, Beards Not So Much

bubblicious.bmpThe results of a recent poll conducted by Trader Monthly on 2,500 of the trading kind shocks and offends us. More than half the traders questioned said that they would gladly trade on illegal insider information, provided the deal would score them a $10 million profit, and there was zero chance of getting caught. Do we give a rat’s a about the fact that Wall Street’s finest are cool—breezy, even—with committing felonies? No we do not. (We’re more offended by the fact that they’d do it for a mere ten mill. What is this, amateur hour?) No, what really rubs us the wrong way is the notion that approximately 1,250 traders—trā’dərs—, the guys who are supposed to be taking the most risks (and intravenous drugs), said they would only take a risk on going to jail provided no risk of going to jail at all.

Look, when I shoplift gum from Duane Reade, I don’t do it for the payoff—big whoop, a pack of Bubblicious—I do it because you can’t beat that thirty second adrenaline rush, wondering, will I get caught? Will I get taken downtown? Will I get booked? Will they make me spit out my gum or swallow it, where it will remain in my body for seven years? And I’m a generally risk-averse human being. If we can’t count on our traders to live for that “will using this information increase my odds of having a roommate named Bubba?” moment of uncertainty, what can we count on them for?

Other results revealed that 62 percent of the pussies surveyed hate Eliot Spitzer, 52 percent think “Grasso got a bad rap” and earned every penny of his $100+ million compensation, and only 6 percent would swap lives with James Simons for a year, versus the 42 percent who would gladly inhabit the body of dead shark aficionado Stevie Cohen.

When asked what super power the traders desired to have so as to get ahead in the game but without posing a risk of jail time, 68 percent said the ability to mind read, 19 percent said invisibility, and 13 percent said “superhuman speed, so I could click my mouse faster.”

Traders Will Commit Felony For Profit [NYP]

We Kid The Floor Traders

SHOEshine.bmpWe haven’t yet read Confession$ of a Wall Street Shoeshine Boy, the latest piece of Wall Street “fact-based fiction” from Doug Stumpf, but since we’ve always wanted to know what 3 pounds of partially digested lasagna looks like, we’ll have to get on that (narrator Shoeshine Boy Gil apparently “sees into traders souls”). Michael Wolff calls the book “extraordinary” and we’re inclined to believe him, but one of these lines from today’s CNBC interview with Wolff and Stumpf, re: floor traders seems…off:

“Trading floor culture is the wildest thing in America.”

“Testosterone-driven pressure cooker”

“Such great frat boy humor”

“So uninhibited”

“A lot of them [floor traders] are reading the book right now.”

Bonfire of the Wingtips
[CNBC]

Next You’ll Be Telling Us That Lemon Juice Doesn’t Prevent HIV

chitown.jpg

Trader Monthly (a long-term investing publication) submits that Chicago, and not New York, is the “greatest trading city in the world.” Discuss. (And see related).

Chicago is “greatest trading city” [Reuters]

Caption Contest Wednesday

traderandrew.bmp

[click to enlarge. via Gawker]

DealBreaker’s Version of Service Journalism: An Invitation To Insider Trading

Recently we received an email from a reader asking for good short recommendations. We’re not in the business of stock analysis. Sure, we called Vonage correctly but that was about as hard as scoring with a sailor during fleet week. But we’re always looking to help readers, and so we thought we might as well marshall the wisdom of this particular crowd. Here’s what our readers asks for.


I’m looking for good short ideas if you have any material, non-public information about turnover in C-level positions, deteriorating balance sheets, dilutive follow-ons, etc, etc.

Feel like publicly engaging in insider trading? Drop a comment below and lets make public some non-public information!

Optiver: All Bar-Raising Positions Welcome

Check out the latest recruiting advert from Amsterdam based derivatives trading firm Optiver. The firm, with other branches in Sydney and Chicago, employs 280 people, but emphasizes:

At the moment there are only 20 women in Optiver, so female applicants for all positions are welcome!

We’re not sure if the double entendre is intentional, but it’s clear the firm is not shy about its motives (DealBreaker’s own BL is filling out an application for the positions of “non-stop hotness” and “wheelbarrow”). The “Culture” page of the firm’s website has a picture of a guy playing pool, which granted isn’t the wildest thing you can do in Amsterdam, but does suggest that there are photos you aren’t seeing. You are cordially invited to go to Amsterdam and party with the Optiver crew during one of the firm’s many “in-house days” to, in the firm’s words, “find out whether our culture suits you.” (We’re working on this… tell me it wouldn’t be the greatest photo essay ever)

Here’s the ad, definitely a better pick-me-up than coffee this morning:

Are Married Wall Street Traders Sexually Frustrated?

40_year_old_virgin.jpg New York Magazine profiles “Six real New Yorkers” in a segment called “Sex Diaries” to determine who’s getting some. The article literally counts the episodes.

The inevitable Wall Street entry clocks in with an end of week count that includes one act of fellatio, one act of cunnilingus and one act of intercourse with the woman on top. The only hitch is that he’s married, seemingly faithful and lost all his model and bottle instincts. The magazine labels this as sexual frustration. Is it?

Do single (or at least sleazier) traders do any better on average (does someone want to make a market here)? Judging by how frantically the pinstriped sect is trying to cram into Tenjune (or Joshua Tree) most nights we’d have to say the jury’s still out (and those callouses are not from working out, or a Bloomberg terminal).

Here’s the breakdown of a frustrating week, from NY Mag:

THE SEXUALLY FRUSTRATED DAD
Male, 43, Wall Street trader, Bay Ridge, married, three kids.

DAY 1
7:00 A.M. Wake up feeling frisky. My wife says, “Let’s all go to early Mass.”
7:30 P.M. She tells me she really wants to make love with me. It’s too early; the kids are still up.
9:30 She says she’s tired, just snuggles, and falls asleep. Oh, well.

DAY 2
7:00 A.M. Wake up kind of excited, but it’s time to get everybody up.
7:15 Get a nice flash of tits before my wife goes into bathroom.
9:00 P.M. Been a long day and I really want her, but she won’t be home from work for three more hours.
MIDNIGHT Think I said good night to her. May have dreamed it.

DAY 3
6:30 A.M. Awake to put on coffee. She is comatose.
4:00 P.M. Go for a drink. See a bartender friend. She is really hot, but not my wife.
8:00 Home and missing her—another late night.

Read more about this guy’s riveting week after the jump…

Continue Reading »

Capitol Hill Gets All Gassy

naturalgasburningblue.jpgSometimes when one door closes, another opens. And sometimes just when you try to crawl out, they pull you back in.

So even if Brian Hunter is ready to open his own hedge fund shop, not everyone is moving on so quickly. (By the way, if you’ve got a copy of the Solengo prospectus, please send it our way! Your anonymity is guaranteed!) Specfically, a US Senate probe into the natural gas futures market has reportedly unleashed a tidal wave of information from all over the market about experiences with market manipulation and regulatory proposals.

After Amaranth’s trading woes came to light, there were lots of allegations of market manipulation floating around Wall Street. Mysterious firings of prominent traders from big banks, rumors of breached Chinese Walls and talk about a “hit on the kid” were passed back and forth like a dusty mirror in this guy’s dorm room.

Wall Street has moved on but now the mirror has been passed to Capitol Hill, according to Platts news service.

Platts, which has done some of the best reporting on the Amaranth collapse, writes that lots of people have been talking to lawmakers and their cronies about the energy trading biz.


The amount of information submitted unsolicited to the committee is “enormous and surprising,” the spokesman said, and came from a wide variety of
sources.

“Wall Street, hedge funds, big financial players,” were just some of the bodies communicating directly with the committee, the spokesman said, but he declined to name names.



US Senate energy panel ‘flooded’ with market monitoring feedback
[Platts]

Daylight Savings Time Is The New Arabs

daylight-savings-time.jpgWe’re not exactly fans of the government meddling with our time—daylight savings time is like the metric system or Presidents Day—but we had to crack a smile when we heard this morning that traders are blaming America’s “go it alone” switch to early daylight savings time on this week’s market volatility. For all we know there might be something to it. Maybe the European markets being open an hour longer into the American markets really is causing the sell-off. But, really, that’s not the point.

The point, as we said this morning, is to spin a plausible yarn, a logical lie. It’s irrefutable. And no one really knows what’s moving the market so this story is as good as any other.

If Paula Abdul Can Bounce Back From Her Marriage To Emilio Estevez, Why Can’t Nick Leeson Start Trading Again?

leeson.jpg…is what Market Watch’s David Weidner (basically) wants to know. According to Weidner, Leeson, who you all know single-handedly brought down Barings Bank in the early 90’s, has picked the perfect time to get back in the biz.

Nick Leeson contemplating a return to trading is kind of like Donald Rumsfeld considering another crack at Iraq or Jeff Skilling thinking about a return to management, or a sequel to “Gigli.”

But what better time could there be for a man who once stole $1 billion to make bad currency bets. The road to redemption has been paved of late by ex-former analyst Henry Blodget, ex-former investment banker Frank Quattrone and I-promise-this-hedge-fund-won’t-require-a-multi-billion-dollar-bailout John Meriwether. If the Police can reunite for a tour, surely Leeson can make a stop in Singapore. After all, Judas Priest played a few dozen reunion dates a couple of years ago.

[In the time since Leeson went to prison,] rogue traders continued to have their way. Regulators at the New York Stock Exchange prosecuted nearly 200 cases, barred 130 individuals — 35 permanently — and collected $27.7 million in fines from member firms in 2005, the last year such statistics are available. The violations run the gamut, but it’s safe to say most had some kind of failed supervisory function. In other words, no one was watching closely.

All of this would make for fertile ground for Leeson, who could dazzle us and his clients with his trading prowess. In an interview with the local paper in Ireland where he now lives, Leeson assured the locals he wasn’t about to snooker the bank.


Don’t bet against him [Market Watch]

The Return of the Original Rogue Trader!

TheRogueTrader.jpgWelcome back Nick. Glad to see you trading again!

Nick Leeson was surely not the first trader to conduct illegal trades or hide losses in client accounts. But the phrase “rogue trader”—now used in all sorts of contexts, most recently to smear Amaranth energy trader Brian Hunter—was made famous in connection with Leeson after his trading losses brought down the venerable British merchant bank Barings.

And now he’s trading again, according to Bloomberg.


Nick Leeson, the rogue trader whose wrong-way bets on Japanese stocks ruined Britain’s oldest merchant bank, said he may go back to trading full-time with only his own money at stake.

Leeson said he trades “when I get the time” and has been buying and selling currencies for the past few months. He is considering “watching screens” for a living when he decides to leave his current job as commercial director of Irish soccer team Galway United FC.

“You wouldn’t believe how many people have asked me to manage their money,” Leeson, 40, said in an interview in Galway, on Ireland’s west coast on March 2. “If I make a decision and lose money, fair enough. If I make a decision for somebody else, then I would feel obligated to make it up to them.”

Nick’s apparently been cleaning up by betting against the dollar and trading on recent currency volatility. He’s staying away from trading stocks—his biggest losses were from bets on Japanese stocks—although he is free under British law to trade them if he wants. Once bitten, twice shy? Not by a long-shot. The article makes clear that Nick’s considering returning to trading full time.

[Note: Picture is Ewan McGregor playing Nick Leeson. It was just more interesting than any picture of the real Leeson.]

Leeson, Who Ruined Barings, May Return to Trading
[Bloomberg]