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Wild And Crazy Predictions: Again

Call us crazy, but everywhere we go we hear hedge-fund failure buzz. Rumors are, of course, rumors, but the logic is occasionally compelling. Investors moving to cash, Treasuries, the VIX at 43, or to quote an old weather vane: "even the rich are bitching." It's not hard to see how September and October could be brutal months for hedge fund redemptions, and given the short-selling bans both hedge fund returns and investor confidence in hedge fund returns are likely to suffer. How likely are you, high net worth individual and Dealbreaker reader, to leave your money in a long-short fund, or a convertible arbitrage fund in this environment?
What's the over-under on number of hedge fund closures/collapses in the next 60 days? Winner gets a Bear Stearns emblazoned notepad.