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Trade Gap Second Derivative Beats Estimates

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Some strong green-shoot material here for those possessed of a more sophisticated worldview:

The U.S. trade deficit widened less than forecast in June, reflecting a second consecutive gain in exports spurred by a pick-up in economies throughout the world.
The gap increased 4 percent to $27 billion from $26 billion in May, which was the lowest level in almost a decade, Commerce Department figures showed today in Washington. Exports gained 2 percent, helped by stronger demand for goods such as semiconductors and aircraft engines, while imports rose 2.3 percent, led by a higher cost for oil.

The shift also had dramatic effects on the Trade Gap's Third Derivative which hit all time lows because the rate of the rate of widening slowed so dramatically.
The Second Derivative of The Trade Gap Estimate To Actual Trade Gap Gap has increased in the meantime, though analysts have thusfar formed no consensus on the cause of the change, lower analytic skills or more difficult to predict gaps.
The big hero in the story is, of course, Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke, who was on about the potential almost a month ago in front of Congress:

Although the recession in the rest of the world led to a steep drop in the demand for U.S. exports, this drag on our economy also appears to be waning, as many of our trading partners are also seeing signs of stabilization.

U.S. Trade Gap Widens Less Than Forecast on Exports [Bloomberg]


Derivative Of Derided Derivatives In The Works

So credit-default swaps have a pretty bad rap in the wake of that whole financial crisis. And people apparently aren't interested in trading things that some parts of the general public (otherwise known retail investors) blame for the aforementioned unpleasantness without actually understanding anything about CDS. The IntercontinentalExchange has an idea to change all of that: