Here's How Badly We Want To See You At Capital Connect On January 26th

We're giving out 100 free tix to Dealbreaker readers!
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The good folks over at Inman are still letting us co-host Capital Connect with them on January 26th, and we're psyched about it because it's shaping up to be a genuinely interesting morning of conversation about what is happening at the convergence of finance, tech and real estate.

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There will be venture capitalists, start-ups, private equity professionals, publicly traded tech firms, and other game-changers, all in one place for the first time ever. We've even got an agenda to show you, so just put this on your schedule and make a plan to spend you morning at the Marriott Marquis on January 26th.

In fact, the first 100 Dealbreaker readers to click here will get a free ticket using the code dontmissconnect. There's really no reason not to come and risk missing out on all this:

Capital Connect

The Real Estate Tech Game Changers

When: Friday, January 26, 2018

Where Marriott Hotel, Times Square, New York City

9:00 am to 9:15 am

Drawing the Real Estate Technology Heatmap

There was a lot of red in 2017; what are the hot investment coordinates for 2018?

Matt Harris, Managing Partner, Bain Capital Ventures

9:15 am to 9:30 am

The View from Silicon Valley: Opportunities in Tech Investing

Pete Flint, Founder Trulia

Moderator: Erin Griffith, Senior Writer, Wired

9:30 am to 9:45 am

Landing the Big Round: Is there more to come for real estate tech?

Maëlle Gavet, COO, Compass

9:45 am to 10:00 am

Figure Eights

Zillow is sporting a market cap of $7.5 billion dollars and newly publicly traded Redfin is valued at $2 billion. How is Wall Street sizing up these two innovators and what does it say about the future of real estate tech?

RJ Jones, VP of Investor Relations, Zillow Group

Ron Josey, Research Analyst, JMP

Moderator: Clelia Peters, Metaprop

10:00 am to 10:20 am

Behind the Veil: What is Wall Street Doing in the Real Estate Tech Investment Market

After cleaning up with foreclosures, private equity has moved on to single-family rentals. Is it a long-term play, a hedge or just trendy?

Gary Beasley, CEO & Co-founder, Roofstock

Matt Witheiler, Private Equity, Wellington Management Company

Moderator: Carleton English, New York Post

10:20 am to 10:40 am

Playing the Disruption Long Game

Why 2017’s darlings of disruption are still in the early innings

Dod Fraser, Capital Markets, Opendoor

Eric Eckardt, CEO, Purplebricks

Sean Black, Co-Founder & CEO, Knock

Moderator: Carleton English, New York Post

10:40 am to 11:00 am

Building a Better Mousetrap

A raft of new real estate software companies are making big plays for real estate customers. Can they scale?

Devu Gandhi, VP Business Development, HomeLight

Jed Carlson, CEO, AdWerx

Moderator: Clelia Peters, Metaprop

11:00 am to 11:20 am

Deal Flow: How the Sausage Gets Made

Breaking down the trends and players in M&A

Chris Gough, Managing Director & Head of Real Estate Tech Banking, GCA Savvian Advisors

Ryan Abbe, Managing Director, JMP Securities

Moderator: Erin Griffith, Senior Writer, Wired

11:20 am to 11:40 am

Mortgage the Future

Placing big bets on digital mortgage, title and other process enhancements

Erin Collard, CFO, Blend

Pat Stone, CEO & Chairman, Williston Financial Group -

Moderator: Matt Harris, Managing Partner, Bain Capital Ventures

CLICK HERE and we'll see you there!

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Maddeningly Bad Luck

March Madness has been a disaster: two of my best customers, who know each other, combined to go 2-for-39 on the first two weekends. Faithful Assistant has been laughing at their tought breaks, but I've been trying to soothe them. I need these guys to keep playing, losing, and paying. Their luck really has been atrocious. 18 of the losses have been by three points or less. One of them asked me if I'd ever heard anything worse. I guess there's Tsotomu Yamaguchi. Yamaguchi was on a business trip in Hiroshima when the A-bomb dropped. Wounded, he figured he'd better get out of Dodge ASAP, so he barrelled home the next day – to Nagasaki. I reminded the client that his bad luck paled in comparison to Yamaguchi's, and that Yamaguchi lived another 65 healthy years...plenty of time to make more bets. But now I'm dealing with more than bad luck. These guys have now declared that sports are rigged. This month's point-shaving scandal at Auburn hasn't helped, and it brings others of recent years to mind. The NBA has Tim Donaghy. Overseas, it looks like half the Turkish soccer league is going to jail, and half of Italy has already been. I actually believe that most of sports are on the level. Disagree if you want, that's OK. But what really gets my goat are the people who think the bookies want the games rigged. We don't. If people think the games are fixed, and thus become afraid to bet, I'm out of business. It's the same story for the guy running a poker game or the CEO of a retail brokerage. No faith, no business. There's a really simple reason somebody with the available cash or credit can get down a $500,000 bet on the NFL, but might not be able to easily bet $50 on Wrestlemania: the market can take the $500,000 football bet, adjust the price slightly, and bettors will come for the other side. There is no market for Wrestlemania, because nobody trusts it. So these clients are generally miffed, but also fixated on one game: Syracuse vs. Kansas State. The price started moving 20 minutes before tip when a K-State star was ruled ineligible. These guys took the new price on K-State thinking they got a deal, when it was just the market reacting to information. Well, Syracuse rolled and now it's allegedly a “fix”. Of course it's not a fix—it's just betting dumb with less info than everybody else. They should have checked why the spread was moving. Emotion trumps reason, though, and there was no reasoning with these guys. And maybe that's why these guys bet with me instead of going online somewhere—they're so Old School, the building probably only had one room. If you want to be a pro gambler these days, there's a ton of free information all over the Internet. I'm not saying it's easy to win over time—it's not. But there's a bucket of info out there on any game you want to study, and all sorts of arcane stats to help inform your decisions. And since everyone else is studying, you better too. When I worked in Chicago, we had a good customer who worked at O'Hare. He would bring us out-of-town sports sections that travellers left behind as they boarded planes. We got useful injury information from beat writers in other cities that the rest of the Chicago market just didn't have. That was 20 years ago, but when I tell that story to Faithful Assistant, he usually asks if Orville and Wilbur Wright were flying the planes. He's been on the Internet since middle school, and pretends he can't remember life without it. So I'm not sure what to do with these guys—they bet six times a day, but haven't called since Saturday. I think I'll give them a free bet equivalent to what they lost on Kansas State. I know I don't have to, but I'm not willing to risk losing the business. That's the worst part of all this—and the reason why I'm trying to get out of this racket. I don't just need the customers to lose, I need them to lose slowly and have fun doing it. I'm not a psychiatrist trained to actually convince people that betting really is a random thing for the vast majority of gamblers and losing streaks just happen. I wonder if I should join the Army. I'm not much for getting shot, but I hear the poker games are good. Baseball starts next week and the guys who just bet bases are much easier to deal with. They understand the nature of a game where the very best teams win 65% of their games and the absolute worst teams still win 35% of the time. I can't wait. Anybody know if Tim Tebow needs someone to take his action? He's on every channel, everywhere.